Andrew Luck Favored To Have Most Passing Yards In NFL Final Four
As usual, Bovada has released dozens of props on the NFL playoffs again this week for conference championship Sunday, and since quarterbacks are the most important position by far in the NFL let’s examine the site’s odds for which signal-caller will throw for the most yards on Sunday.
Andrew Luck, Colts (+125): Luck led the NFL in passing yards most of the regular season before slowing down a bit at the end, partly as the Colts had nothing to play for in the final two games. He finished with a career-high 4,761 yards, about 200 behind league leaders Drew Brees of the Saints and Ben Roethlisberger of the Steelers. Luck leads the postseason with 641 yards passing, although he has played two games. He threw for 376 in the wild-card win vs. Cincinnati and 265 in the win last Sunday in Denver — Luck’s first-ever playoff game with less than 300 yards passing. When Luck faced the Patriots on Nov. 16 in Indianapolis, he completed 23 of 39 passes for 303 yards. The Patriots were middle of the pack in pass defense during the season.
Tom Brady, Patriots (+200): Brady led all quarterbacks in the divisional round with 367 yards, which was a career playoff high, a moderate surprise considering all his success. The Patriots couldn’t run the ball at all, managing just 14 yards on 13 attempts against Baltimore so Brady put the ball in the air a season-high 50 times. Surely the Patriots will attempt to run more on Indy. The Colts ranked 12th this season in pass defense, allowing 229 yards per game. Brady had 257 yards on New England’s 42-20 win at Indianapolis on Nov. 16.
Aaron Rodgers, Packers (+300): Rodgers is likely to be named the NFL MVP this season for the second time in his career. One of Rodgers’ best traits is an ability to throw on the move but he is almost surely going to be hampered again this week with his slightly torn calf muscle. He was two different quarterbacks in last week’s 26-21 win over Dallas. The calf seemed to bother Rodgers early in the game but then less so in the second half. Rodgers was 9-for-15 for 90 yards and a TD in the first half and 15-for-20 for 227 yards and two TDs in the second half. He completed his final 10 passes. Rodgers threw for 189 yards in Week 1 at Seattle, which has the NFL’s No. 1 pass defense.
Russell Wilson, Seahawks (+700): No surprise at all that Wilson is the long shot on this prop as Seattle is a run-first club, ranking No. 1 overall in rushing during the season and 27th in passing yards at 203.1 per game. Wilson threw for 268 yards last week against Carolina, one of his best yardage games of the season. He had just two 300-yard games. In the Week 1 win over Green Bay, Wilson threw for 191 yards in the 36-16 blowout. The Packers were 10th against the pass this season, allowing 226 yards per game.
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