Fri 12/05/2017 - 18:44 EDT

Does Always Dreaming have a shot at winning again?

Does Always Dreaming have a shot at winning again?
The second jewel of the Triple Crown, the Preakness Stakes, is scheduled to be run on Saturday, May 20 at Pimlico Race Course in Baltimore, Maryland. Can Always Dreaming continue his quest towards the Triple Crown?

Kentucky Derby winner chances at Preakness

By Jessica Paquette

Early betting lines brought to you by Bovada.

Always Dreaming delivered as the favorite in the Kentucky Derby on May 6, and in doing so, earned his fourth straight victory. He won convincingly over an off-track by 2 ¾ lengths and was either near or on the lead the entire way. Now that he has made history and given trainer Todd Pletcher a long-coveted second Kentucky Derby win, the question remains whether or not he can continue the momentum into the Preakness Stakes at Pimlico in Maryland.

Always Dreaming

The athletic son of Bodemeister will try to avenge his sire’s narrow defeat.

In 2012, Bodemeister lost the Preakness Stakes by a neck to I’ll Have Another after setting the pace. Always Dreaming does have history on his side – 35 horses have won the Kentucky Derby and have gone on to win the Preakness Stakes.

Of those horses, 12 went on to win the Triple Crown and 23 faltered in the Belmont Stakes. However, looking to the Belmont is getting ahead of ourselves – the next step is to win the Preakness Stakes. In the past five years, three horses have won the Preakness after winning the Run for the Roses – I’ll Have Another (2012), California Chrome (2014) and American Pharoah (2015).

There is only two weeks between the Kentucky Derby and the Preakness Stakes. For some horses, the quick turnaround can be too much to overcome and they can “bounce” or regress off of their effort in the Kentucky Derby. Always Dreaming has reportedly come out of the race in excellent condition and the plan seems to be just to gallop and maintain conditioning into the Preakness Stakes. The concern is that Always Dreaming, on paper, looks like a horse poised to take a big step backwards.

He is coming into the Preakness Stakes off of four consecutive victories. The lightly-raced colt got a crash course in horse racing after breaking his maiden – he stepped up to an allowance race and then took on Grade 1 competition with ease in the Florida Derby.

The colt was notoriously difficult to gallop in the week leading up to the Kentucky Derby and required both a change in exercise rider and the addition of draw reins to keep him from trying to run off. On one hand, he was clearly feeling very good and it showed when it mattered in the race. On the other hand, one could wonder if he peaked and is prime to bounce in his next start.

Preakness 2017 betting lines

Always Dreaming will not be unopposed in the Preakness Stakes, either.

In addition to several fresh faces, he will have to contend with some familiar rivals as well. The most intriguing is Classic Empire, who may have the best chance to hand out a defeat. Though his spring campaign was tumultuous, he was the model of professionalism in the Kentucky Derby and his fourth-place finish was better than it appears on paper.

The colt had the worst trip of all and got banged around throughout the race and still ran on gamely. With a better trip, he still may not have defeated Always Dreaming but would have made the race a lot more interesting.

What about the new shooters?

There are going to be several horses who did not compete in the Kentucky Derby. They will try to dethrone Always Dreaming in the Preakness. These horses include Royal Mo, Term of Art and Cloud Computing. Of these competitors, Term of Art is a fascinating longshot.

Owned by Calumet Farm and trained by Doug O’Neill, the big, strapping colt has not yet proven he is truly a graded stakes sort of racehorse. However, he is coming in fresh and that may give him an advantage if he can make a major step forward.  

Category : Sports Betting News

Tag : betting , Horse Racing , Horse Racing Betting , preakness , triple crown

Leave a comment
More articles...
Sports Betting News - 18/08/17
First NFL Head Coach Fired Betting Lines for 2017: Who’s Your Pick? 
There is added pressure of being a head coach in the NFL, especially on struggling teams. Which head coach will be the first to get fired in 2017? We break it down and give you our top candidates as well as our prediction.
Read this article 
Sports Betting News - 17/08/17
NFL Props: Player to Record the Most Passing Yards in 2017 
Defending passing yards champ Drew Brees may be the frontrunner to repeat that feat in 2017, but there are a handful of elite quarterbacks that will be looking to take that title away. We look at the top QBs that will challenge Brees for the most passing yards this season.
Read this article 
Sports Betting News - 15/08/17
NFL Player Props: Adrian Peterson vs Marshawn Lynch 
Two of the top running backs over the last decade — Adrian Peterson and Marshawn Lynch — are back on the field for the 2017 National Football League season with new teams. Which veteran running back will have a better season? We break it all down for you with a few prop bets to consider.
Read this article 
Sports Betting News - 14/08/17
2017 NFL Regular Season Most Receiving Yards Props 
In an increasingly pass-first NFL, the list of elite wide receivers looking to rack up the most yards is growing each day. Antonio Brown and Julio Jones may be the frontrunners, but which star wideout will post the most receiving yards in 2017? We break it down for you with our top five contenders.
Read this article