Villanova Favored To Be First Top Seed Out Of NCAA Tournament
The 2015 NCAA Tournament kicks off in full with Kentucky the overwhelming favorites to cut down in the nets in three-plus weeks in Indianapolis. Bovada has a ton of interesting props for the Big Dance. Let’s examine them.
Which top seed will be eliminated first? To no surprise, Kentucky is the longest shot at +700. UK is an opening 33-point favorite against No. 16 Hampton on Thursday and the Cats get to play their first two games down the road in Louisville, so a trip to the Sweet 16 appears a lock. Big East tournament and regular-season champion Villanova is the +150 favorite. The Cats are atop the East Region and open the tournament on Thursday against No. 16 Lafayette in nearby Pittsburgh. The next game could be tough against either No. 8 NC State or No. 9 LSU. Next up, if form holds, would be either No. 4 Louisville or No. 5 Northern Iowa in the Sweet 16 in Syracuse. The Elite Eight matchup could be against No. 2 Virginia.
Wisconsin is the +200 second favorite. The Badgers won the Big Ten regular-season and tournament titles. They are atop the West Region and open in Omaha against No. 16 Coastal Carolina. Next up would be either Oregon or Oklahoma State. The Sweet 16, in Los Angeles, could feature either No. 4 North Carolina or No. 5 Arkansas. The Elite Eight matchup most likely will be vs. No. 2 Arizona.
Finally, Duke is +300 to be the first top seed out. The Blue Devils are a No. 1 despite not winning the ACC regular-season or tournament titles. They open in Charlotte against either No. 16 North Florida or Robert Morris with San Diego State or St. John’s next. In the Sweet 16 in Houston, it could be either No. 4 Georgetown or No. 5 Utah. The Elite Eight matchup likely will be against No. 2 Gonzaga.
How many No. 1 seeds will reach the Final Four? The co-favorites are one and two at +200, with the longest shot all four at +1500. There’s also an over/under of 1.5 No. 1 seeds in the Big Dance, with the over a -200 favorite.
What will the sum of the seeds for the Final Four be? That’s set at 9.5 , with under a -130 favorite. So if a No. 7 or higher gets there, you would win automatically on the over.
Which conference will the tournament champion come from? The SEC is the even-money favorite, but you are putting all your eggs in Kentucky’s basket because no other SEC team has a shot at the Final Four. The second-favorite is ACC at 7/2 and there you get Duke, Virginia, Louisville and North Carolina. The longest shot? American Athletic at 66/1. where you likely are counting on SMU.
What seed will the tournament winner be? A No. 1 is the 1/2 favorite, followed by No. 2 at 3/1. A No. 3 then jumps up to 10/1. The longest shot is a No. 8 seed at 75/1. That’s what Villanova was in 1985 against Georgetown.
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