Sports - 26 December 2012

NFL Week 17 Point Spread Odds: Historic Betting Trend Review

As we wait for the online bookmakers to get their heads fully wrapped around the 2012 National Football League Week 17 schedule, today we take a look at historic point spread betting lines as we feature the results since 2006. Being as some teams are fighting for their playoff lives, while others are playing for nothing more than pride, Week 17 is always loaded with handicapping conundrums. With this post our resident Stats Guru breaks down the numbers against the spread. We wish everyone a Happy and Prosperous New Year!

Week 17 Point Spread Odds: Favorites hold the advantage

Please Note: As you read along, unless other wise stated, the statistics in this article are for the 96 games that have been played during Week 17 dating back to the 2006 NFL season. When it comes to point spread lines the favorites hold their own fairly well as they come in with a 52-40-4 winning record. Favorites covered the line by a very slim 8-7-1 margin back in 2011, while the numbers were even at 7-7-2 ATS during NFL 2010.

Home favorites are the vastly superior betting side over road chalk

Home favorites own a 38-26-2 edge over the visiting pups, while the battle between road chalk and home underdogs is dead even at 14-14-2. On lines of 6.5 points or less, favorites hold a 32-21-4 advantage, while spreads of a touchdown or more come in very even at 20-19 in favor of the dogs. Search out some quality home favorites, preferably teams that have something to play for, and invest wisely is the bottom line here.

Online Sports Betting NFL Week 17 Wagering Lines and Prediction

Checking in at the betonline.ag wagering website we find four games with odds of ten points or more. The Patriots (-10), Seahawks (-10.5), Broncos (-16) and 49ers (-16.5) are all huge home chalk as they battle to improve their playoff positions. The Seattle D may score enough to cover the line against the Rams so give us the Hawks at -10.5 ATS with a 5% bankroll wager at BetOnline. Again, Happy New Year Everybody!