Sat 05/05/2012 - 22:27 EDT

Track Conditions Affect Kentucky Derby Predictions

Lightning Storms Cancel Derby Day Morning Training

After overnight thunderstorms dumped over an inch of rain on the Blue Grass State – and Churchill Downs, track vice president Butch Lehr cancelled the morning training runs as lightning was persistent throughout the area. The National Weather Service forecast is calling for scattered showers and thunderstorms throughout the day. Post time conditions will be partly cloudy, with a high temperature near 85, and a light west wind forecast at between 3 and 5 mph. When the horses head to the gate, there is a 50% chance of rain.

 Track Conditions Won’t Hurt Bodemeister’s Chances

On top of being the morning-line 5-1 second favorite in the Kentucky Derby, a less than perfect track doesn’t seem to bother Bodemeister one bit. An overwhelming winner (9 lengths) in the 2012 Arkansas Derby back on April 14, 2012, Bodemeister galloped through the slop and cruised through his  5-furlong prep in a time of 59.48 seconds – after heavy rains last weekend. If any crew can get a track in good shape, the one at Churchill Downs will – but don’t be affraid to back the favorite because of last night’s downpour of rain.

Online Sports Betting – 2012 Kentucky Derby Exacta Betting Slips

Leaving Bodemeister off any exotic betting slip would be a wagering blunder in our opinion, so the 6/1 second favorite gets on the ticket. We have liked Hansen since he edged Union Rags by a head to win the $2 million Breeders’ Cup Juvenile back in September 2011, at Churchill Downs – so at 13/1 odds – he is in as well. We are going to stick with middle of the pack favorites with Creative Clause at 11/1, and I’ll Have Another at 13/1 to round out our main Exacta betting slip.

Our long shots with the favorite exacta betting ticket features Union Rags at 9/2, along with Take Charge Indy at 10/1, Alpha at 20/1 and Rousing Sermon at 36/1. Riders Up so let’s giddy-up as the horses head to the post parade – being serenaded by over 160,000 live race fans singing My Old Kentucky Home.

All horse handicappers should and can wait for the post parade before they place their Derby Day wagers. That’s because with our top rated online Racebooks there are never any long lines. Registering a personal wagering is quick and easy – with just over an hour until the Run for the Roses heads to the post, horse handicappers still have plenty of time to wager and win on Derby Day!

Category : Sports

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