Gary | Thu 27/04/2017 - 13:01 EDT

NBA Playoff Betting Tips On Thursday

By Eric Uribe

All odds courtesy of BetOnline

Over/under 195.5 points: Toronto Raptors at Milwaukee Bucks (-1.5)

When the Raptors went down 2-1 in this series, they looked within to turn their fortunes. Head coach Dwane Casey went to a smaller lineup, inserting shooting guard Norman Powell into the starting rotation — and it's worked to perfection.  

Powell went off for a whopping 25 points in Game 5, his second start of the series, and Toronto rocked Milwaukee 118-93 to put the young Bucks on the ropes. 

Milwaukee's once-staunch defense has been exploited by the Raptors quicker and more versatile lineup since Powell joined the mix. Toronto had a field day in Game 5, shooting 57 percent from the field for their highest scoring effort of the series.

It's especially demoralizing for the Bucks that Giannis Antetokounmpo had a playoff career-high 30 points in Game 5 and they still lost by 25 points. A quick fix to their scoring woes is free-throw shooting.

On the regular season, Milwaukee shot 22 shots per game from the charity stripe. In this series, they've gotten to the free-throw line more than 20 times just once. Even worse, they're shooting poorly when they do draw a foul. They shot an embarrassing 57 percent from the line in Game 5.

For all the great things Antetokounmpo does, his free-throw shooting isn't one of them. He's hitting on just 55 percent of his free throws this series. That needs to change and playing at home will help in Game 6.

In such an unpredictable series, it's important to weigh recent history. This Toronto team doesn't like making it easy on themselves. Aside from a long string on series opening-game losses, they also like to extend series to the full seven games — including two last year. That'll remain the case here as Bucks pull of a close one.

Pick: Bucks (-1.5)

Total: Under

Over/under 190 points: San Antonio Spurs (-4) at Memphis Grizzlies

At first glance, San Antonio's Game 5 116-103 victory seems impressive. But a closer look at the box score suggests the Spurs should have ran away with this one.

San Antonio hit 14-of-28 shots from beyond the arc — two off of the franchise's postseason record. The team also received two podium-esque performances from Manu Ginobili and Patty Mills. After failing to score in the series first four games, Ginobili scored 10 and gave a jolt of energy to the team. Mills finished with 20 points, too.

Despite two big performances from unlikely sources and an almost record shooting night, Memphis battled tooth and nail. It was as close as a four-point game in the last quarter before San Antonio ripped off a 12-0 run and pulled away.

Quite frankly, Ginobili and Mills won't do that again in Game 6 and the threes won't fall as easily. The home team has won each game in this series and there's reason to believe that trend will continue. After all, San Antonio are 1-4 in their last five road playoff games.

Point guard Mike Conley has been a Spurs killer throughout the series. Take away a bad Game 1 and Conley is averaging 27 points and seven assists per game. The NBA postseason is many times about superstars taking over and Conley, along with Kawhi Leonard, have traded heroic performances back and forth.

The key to a Grizzlies victory is containing San Antonio's supporting cast. As he's done all series long, Leonard will likely go nuclear. But you can't have Mills, a soon-to-be-retiring Ginobili, and old man Tony Parker beating you. We like the Grizzlies chances at slowing down every Spur not named Leonard.

Pick: Memphis (+4)

Total: Under

Results / FixturesNBA

Category : Sports Betting News

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