Dan Favale | Tue 07/11/2017 - 05:59 EST

NBA Tuesday Night Five Favorite Spread Picks

Spreads for all five of these games come via TopBet and are accurate as of 12 a.m. ET. Like always, please be sure to refresh the lines before placing a wager, as NBA odds often change multiple times on game day. 

Milwaukee Bucks (+4) at Cleveland Cavaliers (-4)


Roll With The Slumping Cavaliers

Betting on the Cleveland Cavaliers is a risky gambit these days. They are 4-6, have lost five of their last six games, rank dead last in points allowed per 100 possessions and not a single one of their starting-lineup combinations registers as a net plus.

Knowing they'll be without Tristan Thompson, perhaps their best (regular-season defender), how can we pick them over the lanky Milwaukee Bucks? Because LeBron James is pissed. He posted as much on Instagram Monday night. And you don't want to mess with LeBron when he's angry. The last time he played mad was Friday...when he hung 57 points on the Washington Wizards.

Plus, the Bucks aren't great themselves. Giannis Antetokounmpo is a top-five player, but their defense is a mess. They've also been owned by the Cavaliers since last season. Cleveland is 4-1 over it last five meetings with Milwaukee, and each of those four victories has come by an average of more than 10 points.

The Pick: Cleveland Cavaliers (-4)

Los Angeles Clippers (+3.5) at San Antonio Spurs (-3.5)


Who Needs Kawhi? The Spurs Are Your Team

Throwing money at the San Antonio Spurs and their 24th-ranked Kawhi Leonard-less offense is another risky gambit. The Los Angeles Clippers are a quality team, with tons of offensive firepower. If they get going, the Spurs don't have the juice to fight from behind—not when they've been uncharacteristically inefficient from downtown, hitting on just 34.4 percent of their three-point attempts.

But the Clippers will, in all likelihood, be traveling to San Antonio with Danilo Gallinari, who suffered a hip injury midway through their Sunday loss to the Miami Heat. They'll be able to survive without him on the offensive end, but he's proven to be particularly switchy on defense this year. They won't be able to replicate his rotations between small forwards and power forwards, beside Blake Griffin, with Wesley Johnson, Sindarius Thornwell or Austin Rivers.

This game should fall short of a blowout, because of how much the Spurs' primary playmakers have struggled thus far. Griffin is also a megastud, and athletic teams like the Clippers have given the Spurs fits in the past. But San Antonio is at home, riding a two-game winning streak, fully aware it crapped the bed not too long ago with four straight losses. 

The Pick: San Antonio Spurs (-3.5)

Philadelphia 76ers (+7) at Utah Jazz (-7)


Feel Good About Picking Utah

Seven points is a huge spread for any Utah Jazz game. They play with the third-slowest pace in the league, which inherently drives down the scores of their contests, and their offense has cratered following the departures of George Hill and Gordon Hayward.

Utah is now 23rd in points scored per 100 possessions. Its leading scorer is...Ricky Rubio, a non-scorer. Donovan Mitchell, a rookie, has often become their lifeline.

None of which bodes well relative to the Western Conference. Against the Philadelphia 76ers? That's a different story.

Joel Embiid won't be suiting up for this one, and the Sixers have been absolutely killed when he's not on the floor, getting outscored by 11.1 points per 100 possessions. Their three other best players—Robert Covington, J.J. Redick and Ben Simmons—are demonstrative minuses without Embiid as well.

The Pick: Utah Jazz (-7)

Memphis Grizzlies (+3.5) at Portland Trail Blazers (-3.5)


Count On The Grizzlies

This game is a tough one. The Portland Trail Blazers are typically tough to dethrone at home, while the Memphis Grizzlies are just plain tough in general.

Memphis gets the nod because the Blazers appear to be one of the most overrated teams in basketball. Their point differentials remain inflated from the beatdown they laid upon the Phoenix Suns to begin the year, and they're 1-4 against projected playoff teams so far this season. They've enjoyed roughly one of the 12 easiest schedules to date.

Maybe the Blazers still pull this one out, but with both Mike Conley and Marc Gasol expected to suit up, we have to bank on this one at least being a nail-biter.

The Pick: Memphis Grizzlies (+3.5) 

Oklahoma City Thunder (-10) at Sacramento Kings (+10)


Take The Thunder Running Away

The Oklahoma City Thunder are not your typical 4-6 team. They own the league's second-best defensive rating and are outscoring opponents by 6.6 points per 100 possessions overall—akin to a 54- or 55-win squad.

So what's up with the sub.-500 record? Lots of things.

Carmelo Anthony, Paul George and Russell Westbrook have needed time to learn each others' tendencies. Patrick Patterson is only just rounding into form off the bench. They've blown a couple leads down the stretch of games.

Basically, the Thunder are way, way, way better than their record shows. They should have little trouble trouncing the Sacramento Kings (who just might be the worst team in the NBA)—especially given how the Thunder lost to the Blazers on Sunday, with Anthony being inexplicably ejected from the action midway through the third quarter.

The Pick: Oklahoma City Thunder (-10)

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Category : Sports Betting News

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