Dan Favale | Wed 22/11/2017 - 21:05 EST

NFL Betting Lines Picks Week 12

Lines for Week 12 NFL games come via TopBet. Make sure, however, you're confirming these odds whenever you actually place your wagers, as they can often shift before kickoff.

New York Giants (+7.5) at Washington Redskins (-7.5)


Pick Big Blue To Pull Off The Upset

Picking the 2-8 New York Giants to cover single-digit spreads is typically bad practice these days. But Ben McAdoo is now coaching for his job, even though he might be a lame duck at this point. That means he won't be benching quarterback Eli Manning. It also means he'll put a little extra creative oomph into his game-planning.

Plus, the defense, still 21st in points allowed per game, is getting better. The Giants have held opponents to under 11 points in two if their past six games and under 30 in four of their past six. Although the Washington Redskins' attack can be dangerous, their quarterback, Kirk Cousins, will have his work cut out for him against a progressively more aggressive secondary.

The Redskins' offense is part of this projection, too. They'll be without running back Chris Thompson, who has thus far rated as both their best rusher and pass-catcher. Replacing him isn't possible; they've looked disjointed on many of the offensive snaps he hasn't played already.

Stir in the Redskins' 31st-ranked defense, and this game not only has the makings of a Giants cover. It has the potential to be a Giants win.

The Pick: New York Giants (+7.5) 

Minnesota Vikings (-3) at Detroit Lions (+3)


Matthew Stafford And The Lions All The Way

The Minnesota Vikings enter their Thanksgiving Day tilt against the Detroit Lions on a six-game win streak. Quarterback Casey Keenum, a glorified placeholder, is playing well, the defense is suffocating, and they're working off a Week 11 victory over the Los Angeles Rams, one of the NFL's best squads to date.

But something about the Vikings' success feels artificial. Statistically speaking, they haven't enjoyed the easiest schedule. And yet, they've caught a bunch of teams at the right time: a struggling Redskins faction; a Green Bay Packers team that was missing Aaron Rodgers; and convenient road trips to face the Cleveland Browns and Chicago Bears.

Squaring up with the Lions will be a different test altogether. Pro-Football-Reference's Simple Rating System (SRS) ranks them as the 10th best team in the league based off point differential and strength of schedule—just a couple spots behind the Vikings. Their offense is rolling, and they, too, have rattled off six straight victories.

All of which makes this a fairly even matchup. And when that's the case, the smart play is always to go with the better offense—particularly when it's owned by the home team.

The Pick: Detroit Lions (+3)

Buffalo Bills (+10) at Kansas City Chiefs (-10)


Do Yourself A Favor, And Pass on Kansas City

Pounce on this line while you have the chance.

Ten points is entirely too many to lay on the Kansas City Chiefs. They're no doubt due for a victory after dropping consecutive games to the Dallas Cowboys and Giants, but the Buffalo Bills' aren't the best recipe for a rebound.

For one, the Chiefs' offense is stuck in a half-malaise, and the Bills' defense is better than their 22nd-place ranking suggests. The latter is also throwing Tyrod Taylor back under center after last week's catastrophe, and the combination of him and LeSean McCoy should be able to put some points on the board.

The Chiefs should win. But they've done nothing on the offensive side in recent weeks to make us think they're worth double-digit favoritism.

The Pick: Kansas City Chiefs

Seattle Seahawks (-7) at San Francisco 49ers (+7)


Legion Of Boom Rides (At Least) One Last Time

Kam Chancellor and Richard Sherman are (likely) done for the season. This doesn't spell anything good for the Seattle Seahawks' 10th ranked defense. They're vulnerable now—more susceptible to big-time plays than they've been over the past handful of years. Some team will make them pay for their injuries.

The San Francisco 49ers just aren't it.

San Fran is 1-9 and ranks in the bottom five of both points allowed and scored per 100 possessions. They don't have the offense to make Seattle pay for its absences, and quarterback Russell Wilson should have no trouble running the defense ragged.

The Niners allow more net yards per passing attempt than any team in the league, so even with a cruddy l line, Wilson should have a field day—the kind that, just this once, overshadows the hits being doled out to the Legion of Boom on the other side of the ball.

The Pick: Seattle Seahawks (-7.5)

New Orleans Saints (+2.5) at Los Angeles Rams (-2.5)


The Big Easy's Finest Get Another "W"

What a matchup we have here.

The New Orleans Saints enter third in points scored per game and eighth in points allowed. The Los Angeles Rams open up their doors placing second in points scored and sixth in points allowed. SRS rates the Saints as the second-best team in the NFL; the Rams check in at third. The Saints have won eight in a row; the Rams are a stout 7-3.

So, who really has the edge?

The Saints are our pick. Their offense feels more reliable with Drew Brees under center, and the running back duo of Alvin Kamar and Mark Ingram III neutralizes the Rams' best asset—their defense—at least to some degree.

The Pick: New Orleans Saints (+2.5)

Results / FixturesNFL

*All stats come courtesy of Pro-Football-Reference and are accurate leading into games being played on Week 12.

Category : Sports Betting News

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