Dan Favale | Wed 27/09/2017 - 05:23 EDT

NFL Betting Lines Week 4

Indianapolis Colts (+13) at Seattle Seahawks (-13)


So much for Russell Wilson versus Andrew Luck.

The Indianapolis Colts will instead be trotting out Jacoby Brissett under center once again—which is good news for the Seattle Seahawks. The Colts are working off a win over the Cleveland Browns, but, well, they're the gosh darn Cleveland Browns. They're contending with the Cincinnati Bengals to be the worst team in football. The Colts get nothing other than brownie points for that victory.

Going up against the Seahawks poses a different challenge altogether. Seattle has to be pissed that it's 1-2. It has to be even more angry that the offense is hovering around the bottom seven of points scored per game, according to Pro-FootBall Reference.

You know what's a good remedy for that? Playing the Colts' 31st-ranked defense that has been as bad as advertised. The Seahawks' shoddy frontline won't have any problems opening up holes for the run game or staving off the pass rush. Wilson should get plenty of time, and points should come in bunches, from all angles.

What's more, the Colts' offense doesn't stand a chance against the Seahawks' defense. They're allowing 16 points per game to date, and Indianapolis' attack has only thus far fended off bottom-10 status because it mustered 31 points against a crummy Cleveland blockade.

The Pick: Seattle Seahawks (-13)

San Francisco 49ers (+7) at Arizona Cardinals (-7)


Things are not going well for the Arizona Cardinals. They don't rank in the top half of the league on either side of the ball, and they're running out of time to forge an identity in the aftermath of running back David Johnson's injury.

Quarterback Carson Palmer at times looks lost with the options in front of him. The Cardinals squandered a masterful performance from wideout Larry Fitzgerald in a loss to the Dallas Cowboys on Monday night, in large part because they have nowhere else to turn. 

Worst of all: The offense isn't even the worst of it. The Cardinals are coughing up 25.3 points per game, the 27th-best mark in the NFL—and that's with a 16-13 victory over the Colts factored in.

That the Cardinals only beat those same Colts by three points really starts to make you think: Can they actually beat the San Francisco 49ers by a touchdown or more?

We're rolling with yes, because they're at home, and they're a different team at home. The defense also won't be totally screwed matching up against quarterback Brian Hoyer, who is currently piloting an offense that places 29th in total passing touchdowns.

The Pick: Arizona Cardinals (-7)

Washington Redskins (+7) at Kansas City Chiefs (-7)


Sure, the Kansas City Chiefs are going to lose a game at some point. That point just isn't Week 4—not while playing host to the Washington Redskins.

Indeed, the Redskins are off to a better start than anticipated. Quarterback Kirk Cousins is once again steering an above-average offense, and the defense is presently ninth in points allowed per game.

But the Chiefs are faring even better on both sides of the ball. Yes, both. Their defense is seventh in points allowed per contest, because that's what the Chiefs do. The offense, however, is third in scoring at the moment. And while this could be a three-week aberration, anchored by matchups with cupcake defenses, it's really not.

Alex Smith has always been a judicious playmaker under center. We're only now getting to see what he can do with a bunch of big-play specialists like wideout Tyreek Hill and running back Kareem Hunt at his disposal. 

Bet on the Chiefs getting to a perfect, statement-making 4-0.

The Pick: Kansas City Chiefs (-7)

Oakland Raiders (+2.5) at Denver Broncos (-2.5)


Singling out a winner from an Oakland Raiders-Denver Broncos tilts is always difficult. It's even harder now, though, with the Broncos' defense slumping and the NFL's ninth-place offense coming to town.

Knowing the Broncos have thus far overachieved on the offensive end themselves, do we dare roll with the Raiders? 

Not quite.

The Broncos' defense will be better. They're allowing under 20 points per game through two home-field sparrings this season. Something about the altitude gives them a distinct advantage, particularly on the offensive end, too.

Make no mistake, this game should be close, and it has bite-us-in-the-butt potential. But the Broncos have been prolific enough at home over the past few seasons for us to feel pretty good about this pick.

The Pick: Denver Broncos (-2.5)

Pittsburgh Steelers (-3) at Baltimore Ravens (+3)


Paging the Pittsburgh Steelers' offense.

Despite coming in with a 2-1 record, the Steelers have been mildly disappointing. Their offense lacks a certain oomph. They're a blase 16th in points scored per game, with seemingly no end to their malaise site.

Actually, never mind.

Playing the Baltimore Ravens should fix everything. They're coming off a 44-7 loss to the Jacksonville Jaguars in London last Sunday, and history hasn't been kind to the teams who play the week after international travel. Plus, quarterback Joe Flacco suddenly looks lost. Pitting him against the Steelers' third-ranked defense feels unfair, because it is.

You're right to be scared by the Ravens' own fifth-ranked defense. But they've yet to square off with a top-tier offense, and the Steelers' machine is overdue for some big-play action.

The Pick: Pittsburgh Steelers (-3)

Category : Sports Betting News

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