Dan Favale | Thu 19/10/2017 - 04:48 EDT

NFL Betting Lines Week 7

New Orleans Saints (-5.5) at Green Bay Packers (+5.5)


Trap game for the New Orleans Saints, or nah?

We're going with nah.

Though the Saints' offense isn't the same outdoors, Lambeau Field doesn't pose as big of a threat before November. Plus, the Green Bay Packers are playing without quarterback Aaron Rodgers. They aren't equipped to rely on their defense when going up against a top-four New Orleans offense.

Beyond all that, we have to admit something this far into the season: The Saints' defense, long the eyesore, may not be absolute trash. They rank 21st in points allowed per game this year, which is, for them, pleasantly mediocre. They should feast with Green Bay throwing Brett Hundley under center in Rodgers' stead.

Take this 5.5-point spread with relative confidence.

The Pick: New Orleans Saints (-5.5)

Carolina Panthers (-3) at Chicago Bears (+3)


Taking the middling Carolina Panthers on the road represents a risk. They have a top-10 defense, as many expected them to, but their placement is buoyed in large part by Week 1 and 2 performances. Since then, they're coughing up a disastrous 29 points per contest.

The Panthers' offense doesn't inspire much faith either. They're 17th in points scored per game on the season, though they are putting up close to 28 points over their last three outings.

This pick comes down to the Chicago Bears, who are straight awful. They hover around the bottom five in both points scored and allowed and are only working off a Week 6 victory because the Baltimore Ravens, their opponent, are in fact that crappy.

The Pick: Carolina Panthers (-3)

Washington Redskins (+5) at Philadelphia Eagles (-5)


It's about time we start taking the Philadelphia Eagles seriously.

Very seriously.

They've won four games in a row, the most recent of which came in a thriller over the Panthers. Quarterback Carson Wentz looks like a first-half MVP candidate, and they're destroying opponents at both ends of the field.

Philly sports a top-five offense and defense—a sweet spot when talking about legitimate contenders and powerhouses. It has found success both rushing and passing the ball, and on the flip side, its own run prevention ranks as the best in the league.

The Washington Redskins, meanwhile, are coming off a near miss at the hands of the terrible San Francisco 49ers. You know where we're going with this.

The Pick: Philadelphia Eagles (-5)

Arizona Cardinals (+3.5) at Los Angeles Rams (-3.5)


Should we really read into the Arizona Cardinals' Week 6 victory over the Tampa Bay Buccaneers?

Yes. Yes, we should.

Adding Adrian Peterson in the backfield, to help offset David Johnson's absence, is an offensive boon. It both greatly improves the running game and opens up Carson Palmer's options in the air.

That Larry Fitzgerald is also clowning fools on his routes only helps make this selection even easier. At least one of him or fellow wideout John Brown, if not both, should totally own a Los Angeles Rams defense that places 20th in points allowed.

Indeed, the Rams currently sport the NFL's most potent offense, which makes this a risk. But they've cooled off a bit over the past two weeks. Count on more regression to the mean.

The Pick: Arizona Cardinals (+3.5)

Atlanta Falcons (+3.5) at New England Patriots (-3.5)


Okay, okay, okay. We get it. The New England Patriots have been burning us. They're 1-5 against the spread this season and haven't covered in four weeks. 

To which we say: All the more reason to keep working this. Tom Brady and crew are overdue.

Rolling with them against the Atlanta Falcons, whom they nearly lost to in the Super Bowl, isn't the easiest decision. But the Falcons' offense isn't what it was last year, and while the Patriots' defense is bad (30th overall), their offense is fifth in points totaled per week.

This doesn't feel like a game that'll be decided by a field goal or less. It also doesn't feel like one the Patriots, the home team, are going to lose.

The Pick: New England Patriots (-3.5)

Category : Sports Betting News

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