Mon 25/05/2015 - 19:00 EDT

Dodgers Biggest Favorites On Baseball Board Tuesday Behind Clayton Kershaw

Dodgers Biggest Favorites On Baseball Board Tuesday Behind Clayton Kershaw
Clayton Kershaw hasn't resembled his Cy Young self much this season but his Dodgers are the biggest favorites in baseball on Tuesday as the lefty takes on the Braves and their ace, Julio Teheran.

Clayton Kershaw has had one of the greatest four-year runs in baseball history, winning three Cy Young Awards and four straight earned run titles, the first pitcher ever to do that. However, he already has suffered as many losses in 2015 than he did all of last year and we aren’t even to June  yet. Is it time to panic for the Dodgers? They are the biggest favorites on the board in Tuesday’s action at -240 behind the lefty against Atlanta. The total of 6 on Bovada is the lowest of all the games.

Giants Own Kershaw In 2015

Last time out, Kershaw lost to the Giants and reigning World Series MVP Madison Bumgarner for the third time this season. Bumgarner even homered. Bumgarner became the first pitcher ever to homer off Kershaw (2-3). The Giants’ star connected for his seventh career home run, hitting a solo shot into the left field bleachers in the third. Kershaw allowed four runs on seven hits and two walks in 7 1/3 innings. He has a 4.32 ERA this year. Kershaw lost for the third time in 13 starts in San Francisco. He entered the game with a career 0.97 ERA at the Giants’ park.

by now. Kershaw is making hitters swing and miss at wondrous rates, even more so than last season. His 11.65 strikeouts per nine innings, 31 percent strikeout rate and 24.5 percent strikeout-to-walk ratio all ranked in the top five of major league starters. Those are the things Kershaw can control.

But stranding runners is out of a pitcher’s hands—for the most part. Unless Kershaw is striking out hitters at an elite rate once runners reach, which he did in 2014 with the second-highest rate in the majors (32.2 percent), leaving men on is reliant on factors such as defense. This season, going into Thursday’s start, Kershaw was still good (30.6 percent, fifth in the majors) but was relying more on his defense.

That led to his strand rate dipping to 65 percent, by far a career worst and light years away from his 2014 career-best 81.6. And it doesn’t help that his .349 BABIP would be the worst of his career and 29 points higher than his second-worst mark (.320 in his rookie season), according to FanGraphs.

He’s had success against Atlanta in  his career though: Braves hitters are a combined .151 against him. Atlanta starts right-hander Julio Teheran (4-1, 3.91). Teheran pitched seven strong innings, striking out eight and giving up only one run on two hits and one walk, to pick up the win against the Brewers last Thursday. Teheran was perfect in all seven of his innings but one. In the fourth inning, he walked Carlos Gomez, gave up a single to Gerardo Parra, then a sac fly to Ryan Braun for his only run of the evening. It was by far Teheran’s best outing of the season. Since struggling in his final three April starts, Teheran has allowed one run or fewer in three of his past four starts. Jimmy Rollins hits Teheran well, going 7-for-22 with a homer and four RBIs.

Key Betting Trends

Braves are 4-1 in Teherans last 5 starts with 4 days of rest.

Braves are 7-3 in Teherans last 10 starts.

Braves are 9-4 in Teherans last 13 starts with the total set at 6.5 or lower.

Braves are 3-7 in Teherans last 10 starts vs. National League West.

Braves are 2-5 in Teherans last 7 starts vs. a team with a winning record.

Braves are 0-4 in Teherans last 4 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.

Dodgers are 0-4 in their last 4 vs. a team with a winning record.

Dodgers are 24-5 in Kershaws last 29 starts vs. National League East.

Dodgers are 21-5 in Kershaws last 26 starts as a favorite of -201 or greater.

Dodgers are 18-6 in Kershaws last 24 starts with the total set at 6.5 or lower.

Dodgers are 4-0 in Kershaws last 4 home starts vs. Braves.

Dodgers are 5-1 in Kershaws last 6 starts vs. Braves.

Over is 4-1-1 in Kershaws last 6 starts vs. Braves.

Category : Sports Betting News

Tag : braves dodgers , clayton kershaw , julio teheran , mlb baseball odds

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