Odds to win the 2019 NBA Championship
Arming yourself with the intel necessary to make an effective NBA championship bet can be difficult this time of year. The race to the Finals is often too hectic to fully understand. That’s where we come in. We have everything you need to make your best futures bet possible as the league nears its halfway pole:
- Updated 2019 NBA title odds
- Best dark-horse championship bets
- Wagers to avoid
- Invaluable breakdowns
2019 NBA Title Odds
Here are the updated championship lines for each team. Please note that all our odds come from Bovada and are accurate as of Monday, December 17.
- Golden State Warriors (-155)
- Toronto Raptors +700
- Boston Celtics +950
- Houston Rockets +1400
- Philadelphia 76ers +1600
- Los Angeles Lakers +1600
- Milwaukee Bucks +1900
- Oklahoma City Thunder +2100
- Denver Nuggets +4500
- Los Angeles Clippers +5500
- Utah Jazz +6000
- New Orleans Pelicans +6500
- San Antonio Spurs +6500
- Indiana Pacers +8500
- Portland Trail Blazers (+8500)
- Detroit Pistons +9000
- Memphis Grizzlies +9000
- Charlotte Hornets +9000
- Dallas Mavericks +10000
- Minnesota Timberwolves +10000
- Washington Wizards +11000
- Miami Heat +13000
- Orlando Magic +15000
- Sacramento Kings +15000
- Brooklyn Nets +30000
- New York Knicks +100000
- Atlanta Hawks +200000
- Chicago Bulls +200000
- Phoenix Suns +200000
- Cleveland Cavaliers +200000
Best Dark-Horse Championship Bets
Sportsbooks have not yet caught on to how viable of a threat these teams are in the championship race. Jump on their odds before that changes.
Utah Jazz (+5500)
It isn’t hard to see why the Jazz are on the outskirts of the favorites circle. They sit under .500 as they head towards the Christmas Day mark, and the lowly Suns are the only Western Conference team with a worse record.
Things start to feel worse when you realize how much their offense is struggling. They’re sixth in three-point percentage since trading for Kyle Korver, but they’re just 23rd in points scored per possession on the season.
Still, now’s not the time to pass on the Jazz’s odds. Their schedule hasn’t been particularly easy, and they’ve shown encouraging signs during victories. They’re third in point differential in games that they win, trailing only the Bucks and Celtics.
Consistency is an issue, but this team will get better.
Denver Nuggets (+4500)
Injuries have hit the Denver Nuggets hard. They’re currently without Paul Millsap, Will Barton, Gary Harris, Isaiah Thomas and Michael Porter Jr. Even Jamal Murray is banged up.
However, you still need to take them seriously. They’ve staged impressive shorthanded wins versus the Grizzlies, Thunder and Raptors while getting hammered by injury bugs, and center Nikola Jokic is a legitimate MVP candidate.
Denver’s fourth-place defense will be tested during this trying stretch. Overall, though, they should be fine. Whatever they sacrifice on the less glamorous end, they’ll make up for with a surging offense. And once they’re full strength, or close to it, after the All-Star break, they’re be uniquely positioned to throw a wrench in the West’s championship hunt.
Indiana Pacers (+8500)
Look, in all likelihood, the Pacers probably aren’t winning a title. But the same can be said for any team that isn’t the Warriors. The trick is spotting high-value bets for teams that have a feasible path to winning their conference and reaching the NBA Finals.
The Pacers are that value wager. Their shot profile needs some revamping, but their defense is shining. They’re second in points allowed per possession, trailing only the league-best Thunder.
With All-Star Victor Oladipo back from injury and Thaddeus Young percolating at the offensive end, Indiana has never been more dangerous. Scroll up and down the Eastern Conference, and there isn’t a team that should scare them over the course of a seven-game series.
Fool’s Gold Title Bets
Are these teams good? Sure. Are they championship threats? Some might be. Are they laying good value at sportsbooks? Not at all
Los Angeles Lakers (+1600)
Perhaps you’re tired of hearing how overrated the Lakers are. We get it. But it needs to be said until something changes. And nothing has changed.
Indeed, the Lakers do have a realistic path to the Western Conference Finals if they avoid the Warriors in the first two rounds. They are 11th in defensive efficiency, their offense is creeping closer to the league average, and LeBron James is, once again, a top-five MVP candidate.
None of that warrants top-five championship odds, though. The Lakers might be better than expected, but they’re not juggernauts. You shouldn’t be buying stock in them until they’re, at minimum, laying a +2500. And even that might be no-go territory.
Philadelphia 76ers (+1600)
It’s not that the 76ers are a terrible championship bet. They’re just being wildly overrated.
Having Jimmy Butler, Joel Embiid and Ben Simmons gives this team playoff appeal. But that star power isn’t everything. The Sixers are still trying to find their way on offense while playing three non-shooters at a time, and more importantly, they need to make a move to deepen their roster.
Philadelphia’s bench is being outscored by 2.2 points per 48 minutes on the season. That ranks 16th overall, and their standing only figures to get worse. Unless they acquire a shooter or two by February’s trade deadline, they’re a bad bet at anything under +3000.
New Orleans Pelicans (+6500)
Even with underdog odds, the Pelicans profile as a fool’s gold investment.
Much like the Sixers, they don’t have the depth of a genuine title threat. Unlike the Sixers, they don’t have a ton of starpower to fall back on.
After Anthony Davis, the Pelicans lack a marquee performer. Jrue Holiday comes close, but he isn’t enough. New Orleans is outscored by 11.5 points per 100 possessions when he plays without Anthony Davis, and the outlook doesn’t get any better when filtering in alternative players.
Without acquiring another high-impact talent, the Pelicans are a championship mirage. They’re not guaranteed to make the playoffs, let alone reach the NBA Finals should they even get there.
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