2019 Preakness Stakes: Best Betting Odds and Analysis for Pimlico Showdown
These are the top five favourites according to the racebooks (odds updated after lineup confirmation):
Among these most important storylines: The ever-shifting field of favorites. The Preakness Stakes odds are moving at a fairly frequent pace this year, as the public reacts to both Country House and War of Will missing the second race in the Triple Crown series. The latest odds for Preakness Stakes have Improbable sitting atop the mountain, but will that hold? Our breakdown covers all of the following:
- Preakness Stakes 2019 Odds
- Notable Absences
- Notable Storylines
- Best Bets for Preakness Stakes Winner
- Race Prediction
Please note that all of our Preakness Stakes betting odds come from Bovada and are accurate as of Sunday, May 11 unless otherwise noted.
2019 Preakness Stakes Betting Breakdown
- When: Saturday, May 18 2019
- Where: Pimlico Race Course in Baltimore, Maryland
- Track Length: 1.19 miles
- Post Time: 6:48 p.m. ET
Latest Preakness Sweepstakes Betting Odds
The field has thinned since the Kentucky Derby, but there is still a relatively deep well of horses to choose from in advance of May 18’s showdown. Here is every participating racer’s odds less than a week before post time:
- Improbable (+150)
- Alwaysmining (+650)
- Bourbon of War (+700)
- Owendale (+800)
- Anothertwistafate (+900)
- Mr. Money (+1000)
- Win Win Win (+1000)
- Signalman (+1200)
- Bodexpress (+1400)
- Warrior’s Charge (+1400)
- Laughing Fox (+1600)
After winning the Kentucky Derby and delivering one of the longest-shot payouts in Triple Crown history (65-to-1), Country house will not be participating in the Preakness Stakes. Since pulling off the upset, he has developed a cough and was deemed out of action long before post time.
The truth of the matter is that a potential Triple Crown winner may have been out of the question no matter who won the Kentucky Derby. Though Maximum Security crossed the finish line first before being disqualified later on, he apparently suffered some abrasions on his hind legs that most likely would’ve prevented him from taking to the track at Pimlico.
War of Will
It seemed like War of Will would be making the trip to Baltimore after getting banged up in the quasi-collision at the Kentucky Derby. As it turns out, though, his right foot is in no shape to race, so he too will miss the festivities.
Bettors who have already placed a wager on him should be in the market for an immediate replacement. War of Will came in eighth at the Kentucky Derby, but he was so close to the leader prior to getting knocked back a few lengths that he was considered one of the headlining favorites for this Saturday’s race.
Best Preakness Stakes Bets
Improbable always figured to be the favorite at Pimlico. He was pegged as the odds-on winner at the Kentucky Derby, and he actually got off to a great start and held fantastic position until fading down the stretch after the traffic jam that ultimately cost Country House his crown.
Plus, Improbable’s trainer, Bob Baffert, has seven victories in Preakness. If he gets another, he’ll set a record. Rest assured, Improbable will be adequately prepared to run this track.
While Alwaysmining is now the forecasted runner-up with War of Will on the sidelines, he’s not laying typical odds for his position. That speaks to the opening-run speed of Improbable, but it’s also a nod towards a lack of familiarity. Alwaysmining has never raced at this level before.
Still, he’s considered one of the fastest horses around. He has six straight victories at Laurel Park, another Maryland racetrack, and has worked his way up the distance ladder. His last win came on a one-and-one-eight-mile runway. The Preakness is slightly longer, but only by one-tenth of a mile. It seems okay to trust in Alwaysmining’s speed.
Some will be skeptical of rolling with Anothertwistafate after he was yanked from the Kentucky Derby docket. Don’t be worried.
Anothertwistafate is fast, and his gait is perfect for both the Pimlico track and cutting tight, crowded turns. He was fast becoming a sexy dark horse to win the Kentucky Derby before being pulled from the ledger. He should definitely be on your radar now.
Warrior’s Charge (+1400)
Betting on Warrior’s Charge entails stepping out on a limb. Embrace it. His ownership group is putting up north of six figures in fees to let him run, because he wasn’t Triple Crown nominated. That says something.
Granted, it doesn’t say everything. But Warrior’s Charge has fared well in races that span longer distances. Of all the potential long shots, he’s the one best suited to surprise.
Going with the favorite is often a copout in these scenarios. This time, it isn’t. The Preakness field has thinned relative to what we expected prior to the Kentucky Derby, and that only bodes well for Improbable.
Remember: He was favored to win at Churchill Downs, and although he ended up in fourth, it took a quasi-collision for him to drop a few lengths behind the leader. Besides, all three horses that finished in front of him are out at Pimlico. There’s a strong possibility Improbable decidedly wins this one.
OSB Prediction: Improbable (+150)
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