Dan Favale | Thu 23/01/2020 - 07:13 EST

Super Bowl 2020: Betting Odds, Best Props, Analysis, Prediction

Super Bowl 2020: Betting Odds, Best Props, Analysis, Prediction
The NFL Conference Championship round unfolded as many expected: by setting up a Super Bowl 54 showdown between the Kansas City Chiefs and San Francisco 49ers. Sportsbooks have pegged this as an almost dead-even matchup, which means you have a decision to make. We're here to help make sure you place the right wagers.

Here are the latest odds to win the 2020 Super Bowl, courtesy of the folks over at Bovada

As always, make sure to double-check all 2020 NFL Super Bowl odds. With two weeks between the conference championships and the big game, these Vegas 2020 Super Bowl odds will most definitely move leading up to kick-off. That includes 2020 Super Bowl prop bets.

But don't worry about remaining up to date on the smartest betting trends. Our preview is odds-proof, and it will cover all of the following:

  • Most accurate 2020 Super Bowl odds
  • Analysis of Chiefs
  • Analysis of 49ers
  • Best 2020 Super Bowl prop bets
  • Predictions

Super Bowl 54 Betting Breakdown

Chiefs vs. 49ers Predictions

We're going to pick our favorite bets for the three main categories: moneyline, spread and over/under. Here is where each stands at the moment:

  • Moneyline: Chiefs (-120); 49ers (+100)
  • Spread: Chiefs (-1.5); 49ers (+1.5)
  • Over/Under: 52.5

Moneyline Prediction

At this stage of the game, we're inclined to invest in the Chiefs at -120.

Sure, many advanced metrics paint the Niners as the superior team, mainly because they navigated a stricter schedule during the regular season. But the Chiefs have the best quarterback in the league, Patrick Mahomes, and their style of play matches up well with that from San Francisco.

Elite defenses are always powerful in the playoffs. The Niners are proof. They've gotten this far. But the Chiefs just carved up the Tennessee Titans in the AFC Conference Championship game, chopping down what is yet another top-tier defense.

Beyond that, we also have concerns about the 49ers' ability to score. The Chiefs aren't world-beaters on defense, but run-heavy offenses are inherently easier to contain. It helps the Niners that the Chiefs are 29th in rushing yards allowed per attempt, but Kansas City is much better at preventing the ground game in the end zone. They ranked a pleasantly mediocre 17th in that department during the regular season.

For the Niners to really have a chance, they'll need to show faith in quarterback Jimmy Garappolo. Head coach Kyle Shanahan has been reluctant to do that, even when San Francisco was up big on the Green Bay Packers in the NFC Championship. Jimmy G attempted just eight passes in that game, and he threw only 11 in the previous week's win over the Minnesota Vikings.

Maybe the Niners have been playing too conservatively, but Garoppolo hasn't exactly earned the benefit of the doubt. He's prone to a couple of big mistakes per game, which has forced San Francisco to rely heavily on their running backs and defense. The limited passing attack is what we believe will ultimately cost them.

OSB Moneyline Prediction: Chiefs (-120)

Spread Prediction

Nothing changes here. We're going with the Chiefs at -1.5.

Perhaps if the spread were larger, say around four points or higher, we'd be inclined to gamble on the 49ers. They have a penchant for engaging in slugfests, so you can usually count on their losses being tightly contested.

But 1.5 points is too thin of a margin. It is almost the equivalent of saying whoever wins will cover. And put in that context, we have to go with Kansas City.

OSB Spread Prediction: Chiefs (-1.5)

Over/Under Prediction

Forecasting the over/under of 52.5 is a lot harder than predicting the moneyline and spread. Super Bowl results have trended toward the over in recent years, but the Niners defense has been known to grind games down to a halt.

Then again, that hasn't been the case as much in recent weeks. The Niners themselves sport one of the league's best-run attacks, and they're going up against one of the NFL's weaker ground-game defenses. This feels like a game destined to clear the over, even if just barely.

That'll hold doubly true if Kansas City jumps out to an early lead and forces San Francisco to try staging a comeback.

OSB Over/Under Prediction: Over 52.5

Best Super Bowl Betting Props

Below you'll find some of our favorite Super Bowl props, complete with the most up to date odds. Keep checking sportsbooks for props as the big game gets closer. The field of options always widens. All of our prop bets are from GTBets.

Super Bowl 2020 MVP

Here are the players laying the best odds to win Super Bowl MVP:

  • Patrick Mahomes - KC (+110)
  • Jimmy Garoppolo - SF (+200)
  • Raheem Mostert - SF (+800)
  • Damien Williams - KC (+1200)
  • Tyreek Hill - KC (+1600)
  • Travis Kelce - KC (+1600)
  • George Kittle - SF (+2000)

Bear in mind that quarterbacks have dominated the Super Bowl MVP voting. For our money, we like Patrick Mahomes. That said, if you're looking for a dark horse, Travis Kelce's odds are intriguing. TopBet also allows you to bet on the field of unlisted players at +1400, though that only includes defensive players when all's said and done.

Which Score Will Happen First?

Your options:

  • Touchdown (-175)
  • Field Goal (+145)

Although a touchdown seems most likely, making more than even money on a field goal would be fire. Considering that the early part of the game is a feeling-out process, and considering how much the Niners love to run, we're not opposed to rolling with a field goal.

Length of National Anthem

Demi Lovato has the mic this year. Your choices:

  • Over 1 minute, 59 seconds (-250)
  • Under 1 minute, 59 seconds (+170)

While Lovato hasn't performed publicly in quite some time, her last rendition of the National Anthem spanned well over two minutes. Just saying.

Will the Super Bowl Go To Overtime?

Here are your options on this:

  • Overtime (+1000)
  • No overtime (-2000)

Look, only one Super Bowl has ever gone to overtime before. But we endorse a low-volume bet on Super Bowl 54 getting there. The potential return is too good to pass up.

What Will the Team That Wins the Coin Toss Do?

These odds are attractive: 

  • Defer to second half (-500)
  • Receive ball (+300)

We are leaning towards to defer. But Bill Belichick isn't coaching in this game, so it might be less predictable.

Check out this list of the best online sportsbooks so you can decide which one best suits you for your 2020 Super Bowl betting:

Category : Sports Betting News

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