UFC 229 Odds: Conor McGregor vs Khabib Nurmagomedov
UFC 229 figures to be another record-breaker with Conor McGregor getting between the ropes to face Khabib Nurmagomedov. In advance of October 7’s bout, we breakdown all the information you need to know:
- Complete betting lines
- A guide to proper UFC betting odds Fight analysis
All lines for this matchup come via Bovada and are accurate as of Wednesday, September 26 unless otherwise indicated. Make sure you’re rechecking these odds leading up to the opening bell. They should hold relatively steady but are subject to move.
Odds for McGregor vs Nurmagomedov
Find your perfect bet here as we segue through the most popular available lines for this Nurmagomedov-McGregor showdown.
Outright Odds: McGregor (+225) vs Nurmagomedov (+166)
Nurmagomedov has held favorite status among oddsmakers since lines were released a few months ago. He continues to garner acclaim for his stamina. Whereas McGregor is a force earlier in bouts, Nurmagomedov’s grappling gives him the inside track after the first two or three rounds.
On the flip side, though, underdog gamblers shouldn’t be deterred by McGregor’s odds. He isn’t in the hole by much, and he’s actually gained ground at the sportsbooks over the past seven weeks—in no doubt because of how dangerous his power is right out of the gate.
Alternative Round Odds
- Khabib Nurmagomedov victory between Rounds 1-3: +280
- Khabib Nurmagomedov victory between Rounds 4, 5 or by decision: +340
- Conor McGregor victory between Rounds 1-3: +280
- Conor McGregor victory between Rounds 4, 5 or by decision: +850
For those considering an investment in McGregor, his betting odds make sense. Experts are worried he’ll have a tough time matching up with Nurmagomedov the longer the fight goes, so his latter-round and decision lines are of the long-shot persuasion. You know what you’re getting into no matter which of the two alternative-round odds you choose.
Nurmagomedov’s lines are a little tougher to reconcile. Most of the action thus far has him winning in the first three rounds, which is neither his style nor something that feels particularly likely against McGregor. Meanwhile, his later-match numbers actually increase your potential return. Investing in the latter feels appropriate for Nurmagomedov supporters given how he likes to wear out, rather than knockout, his opponents.
Method Of Victory Odds
- Khabib Nurmagomedov by KO, TKO or DQ: +433
- Khabib Nurmagomedov by Decision: +550
- Khabib Nurmagomedov by Submission: +375
- Conor McGregor by KO, TKO or DQ: +262
- Conor McGregor by Decision: +1400
- Conor McGregor by Submission: +2600
- Draw: +6700
One trend emerges above all else based on these betting odds: Few expect this fight to go the distance. That’s probably the smart decision.
If you’re going to wager on McGregor, definitely consider a flier on his KO/TKO/DQ or Submission odds. But if you are compelled to bet on this fight going a full five rounds, you’ll probably want to look at Nurmagomedov’s by-decision lines.
McGregor vs. Nurmagomedov Predictions
Nurmagomedov is favored from all angles for sound reasons. But we’re not quite sold.
Indeed, if this fight lasts all five rounds, his odds dramatically improve. We don’t expect it to last that long, though. McGregor is a fast worker, and no fighter, including Nurmagomedov, can soldier on when he connects with his best stuff.
Perhaps McGregor is a little rusty at this level. That’d open the door for Nurmagomedov. We’re betting McGregor isn’t too far out of practice. His onset speed and power should be too much for Nurmagomedov to handle, increasing the likelihood of a knockout.
Our prediction: Conor McGregor by KO/TKO/DQ (+262)
See below the top sportsbooks where you can wager online and choose the best one for you.
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