Dan Favale | Mon 21/10/2019 - 11:54 EDT

2019 World Series Betting Odds: Nationals vs. Astros Will Be MLB Classic

2019 World Series Betting Odds: Nationals vs. Astros Will Be MLB Classic

After 162 regular-season games, a handful of postseason series and plenty of emotional roller coasters, the 2019 World Series is finally here. The Houston Astros are looking to win their second title in three years, while the Washington Nationals enter as the darling underdog. Which team should you bet on? Let’s get into it now!

Here are the latest 2019 World Series odds, courtesy of the folks over at Bovada:

  • Houston Astros (-150)
  • Washington Nationals (+160)

Odds to win the World Series will continue to change, not just in the lead-up to Game 1, during the best-of-seven set itself. Be sure you’re double-checking lines and remaining up to date with the latest MLB news before placing your wager. Now, onto our official preview, which will cover:

  • Analysis of World Series odds
  • Case for the Nationals to win
  • Case for the Astros to win
  • Statistical projections
  • World Series Picks

2019 World Series Betting Breakdown

Case for the Nationals (+160)

Hardly anyone expected the Washington Nationals to make it this far. 

It’s hard to refute the logic that went into the doubt. The Nationals had lost Bryce Harper to free agency over the offseason.

They weren’t necessarily rebuilding, but few people, if anyone, could have predicted they’d win 93 regular season games, steal the wild card postseason game, edge out the Los Angeles Dodgers in the division series and then stick it to the St. Louis Cardinals in the NLCS with a four-game sweep.

And yet, here they are.

Bettors need to take them seriously. The Houston Astros may have been the best team in baseball during the regular season, but it’s the Nationals who are working on extended rest and coming off a sweep. 

That matters for so many reasons. First and foremost, their pitchers are fresher. That’s huge, considering many of the best arms go from pitching every fifth or sixth day in the regular season to every third or so day in the postseason. 

Max Scherzer will get the ball in Game 1, followed probably by Stephen Strasburg in Game 2. They also have Patrick Corbin and Anibal Sanchez to play around with. That’s scary in the first place. It’s even scarier when they’re coming off so much rest.

Equally important: The Astros are the ones making the bigger adjustment in this series. They’ll have to play games without a DH when they’re in Washington and instead include their pitcher.

That’s a potential pitfall for a team that was so reliant on home runs to get them by in their ALCS matchup with the New York Yankees.

Meanwhile, not only are the Nationals more used to working around a pitcher in their batting rotation, but they’ll get to add a bat to their lineup during the games that take place in Houston.

That’s a much easier tweak to make, and it allows them to plan around some of their bigger liabilities.

Case for the Astros (-150)

Truth told, the Astros don’t need anyone to argue in their favor. They’re the favorites for a reason.

What makes them so terrifying exactly? Try everything. They can beat you in almost any way. 

Gerritt Cole and Justin Verlander make up one of the best one-two starting-pitcher punches in MLB. And we haven’t even gotten to Zack Greinke. MLB doesn’t have a more deadly pitching trio.

Houston’s offense struggled a bit during the ALCS, but we’re better off paying no mind. Their batting order has so much depth that they have no trouble winning tight games, and we should absolutely believe they’ll be less home-run reliant in the World Series. Jose Altuve is among the most lethal hitters in baseball, bar none.

Even the Astros’ bullpen is on the deeper side. They churned through six different arms in their Game 6 victory over the Yankees in the ALCS. They have a special kind of optionality. 

2019 World Series Prediction

And our winner is…the Houston Astros.

This should come as no shock to anyone. We picked them to win the whole dang thing in our initial MLB preview. There’s no reason to back down now. 

Maybe fatigue plays a role. It can certainly impact the offense. But we’re betting the Astros have the depth to navigate a fresher Nationals squad.

Remember: No team had a higher slugging percentage than Houston during the regular season. And while their home-run dependence is getting a little unsettling, all six of their most-used bats cleared a .275 average ahead of the playoffs. No matter how ugly things seem, this team is going to get hits eventually.

Heck, the Astros proved as much against the Yankees in their ALCS-clinching Game 6. They pieced together a 4-2 lead, went cold, blew said lead and then Jose Altuve came through in the bottom of the ninth with a walkoff home run.

Not every game will have that same fairy-tale ending, but the fashion in which they beat out the Yankees proves a larger point: They don’t need to be at their best to actually beat the best.

Mind you, Houston’s pitching is a slight concern this late into the year. Then again, they acquired Greinke at the trade deadline to overcome these moments. They can stretch their rotation four deep if they really want to. The Nationals don’t have that luxury. Not in the World Series.

OSB World Series Prediction: Houston Astros (-160)

Check out this list of the best online sportsbooks so that you can decide which to use for your World Series betting:

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