2019 Champions League Final: Best Bets for Tottenham vs. Liverpool
- Liverpool (-105)
- Tottenham (+305)
Champions League winner odds aren’t always this cut and dry in the ultimate head-to-head matchup. The participating teams are usually on something closer to equal footing. But while the lines have moved on Liverpool since opening, oddsmakers continue to treat the Tottenham Hotspur as the definitive underdog. We’re here to help figure out whether that’s accurate by:
- Analyzing the Champions League Final Odds
- Relaying important betting information
- Breaking down Liverpool’s keys to victory
- Breaking down Tottenham’s keys to victory
- Predicting the winner
Do note that all of our odds in this article are accurate as of Friday, May 24. Make sure you’re double-checking these lines if you haven’t already placed your wager. There’s a chance they will move in the coming week.
2019 Champions League Final Betting Breakdown
- When: Saturday, June 1
- Where: Madrid Spain
- Venue: Wanda Metropolitano Stadium
- Start Time: 3 p.m. ET
Key to a Tottenham Victory: Health
Don’t be surprise of Tottenham’s line starts to move closer toward Liverpool’s own mark. Part of the reason why they have been labeled strong underdogs is it initially looked like key midfielder Harry Winks wouldn’t be able to play.
The 23-year-old has been coping with a groin injury for quite some time. He has made just one start for Tottenham over the past two months—against Manchester City in the quarterfinal—and ultimately elected for surgery on April 29, barely four weeks out from the Champions League Final.
Though the hope all along has been he would get right in time to join his teammates, it wasn’t until Monday that he resumed full activities. And while manager Mauricio Pochettino didn’t commit to starting or even playing Winks, his presence alone stands to galvanize Tottenham. He even posted an Instagram update about his progress for good measure.
In the event Winks does start, he’ll join Moussa Sissoko in midfield. And that would be huge for Tottenham’s overall depth. After all, Winks is not the only one of their players fighting through injury. Striker Harry Kane, central defender Jan Vertonghen and center back Davinson Sanchez are all working their way back from injuries.
Getting back to full strength—or close to it—is critical to Tottenham’s offensive approach. They’ve struggled to score in creative ways. Missing Winks has complicated their ability to target the goal from the outside area, and a banged-up Kane has not been good for their header opportunities around the posts.
If Tottenham doesn’t have both available for a good chunk of playing time in the Final, don’t expect them to pull off the upset. They don’t have the necessary firepower without them, and their defensive attack could be sorely compromised depending on how healthy Vertonghen and Sanchez are.
Key to a Liverpool Victory: Mohamed Salah
Liverpool is dealing with its own fair share of injuries—most notably to forward Roberto Firmino—but their expected availability isn’t as up in the air. Instead, their championship hopes are more so tethered to the play of star Mohamed Salah.
There’s not much of a surprise here. At the same time, the 26-year-old has struggled of late. He has four goals in Champions League, the same as Tottenham’s stud scorer Heung-Min Son, but he has yet to find the net during the knockout rounds.
Salah can still be of use when he’s not putting the ball between the posts. He is among the world’s best diversions. Tottenham’s left back Danny Rose will have to decide between giving Salah space to operate or sticking to him like a wet blanket, in which case he may leave the strong side of the pitch open to attacks from Firmino or winger Sadio Mane.
Still, Salah is at his most valuable when he’s able to control possession. Analysts don’t expect this to be a quick-scoring match. The spread stands at just 0.5, in Liverpool’s favor. But if Salah isn’t able to find space when Tottenham loads up against him, it could end up being a long afternoon for him and his team.
Champions League Final Prediction
Risk-takers will view Harry Winks’ prospective return as cause to roll the dice on Tottenham. That’s not entirely off base. But it is a relatively flawed way of thinking.
Injuries to Winks and Harry Kane mean two of Tottenham’s most valuable goal-getters will, in all likelihood, but lining up at less than 100 percent. That not only puts more pressure on Heung-Min Son and Lucas Moura, who is tied with Kante for the team lead in Champions League goals with five. It also affords Liverpool the chance to consolidate their coverage closer to the goal at the other side of the pitch.
Furthermore, with Roberto Firmino on the mend from a thigh injury, the math just isn’t working out in Tottenham’s favor. All three of Liverpool’s most important scorers—Firmino, Sadio Mane and Mohamed Salah—will be ready to rock. That’s depth Tottenham just cannot feasibly match.
Expect Liverpool to win in regulation.
OSB Prediction: Liverpool (-105)
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