2019 NBA Finals Betting Odds: Can the Raptors Really Beat the Warriors?
- Golden State Warriors (-275)
- Toronto Raptors (+400)
The Golden State Warriors are heavier favorites after their Game 2 victory over the Toronto Raptors. They’re now heading back to Oakland having stolen home-court advantage, which is always a good spot to be in. That said, these NBA Finals Odds assume that Kevin Durant will return, and that no one else will miss time. That might be a mistake. We’ll break it all down with the following:
- Complete NBA Finals Betting Odds
- Injury Updates
- Analysis on Warriors
- Analysis on Raptors
- Series Prediction
Note that all of our betting odds are accurate as of early Monday morning, June 3. These series lines have already shifted a great deal since it began, so be sure to recheck them before deciding on a wager.
2019 NBA Finals Betting Breakdown
Here is the remaining schedule for the 2019 NBA Finals so you know when your future and single-game bets need to be placed by:
- Game 3: June 5 at 9:00 p.m. EST
- Game 4: June 7 at 9:00 p.m. EST
- Game 5: June 10 at 9:00 p.m. EST
- Game 6 (if necessary): June 13 at 9:00 p.m. EST
- Game 7 (if necessary): June 16 at 8:00 p.m. EST
Keys to a Warriors
Anyone who thinks the Warriors cannot take down the Raptors without Durant needs a reality check. They don’t have to be at full strength to win. But they do have to be some semblance of healthy, and right now, it remains to be seen whether they’ll ever get there.
Durant wasn’t the only player banged up in Game 2. The Warriors lost Klay Thompson to a hamstring injury in the fourth quarter, and Kevon Looney suffered a sprained collarbone that limited him to under 11 minutes. Though Andre Iguodala hit a dagger three to tie the series, he’s dealing with his own leg injury that has made it difficult for him to guard Kawhi Leonard on defense for long stretches of time.
And let’s not forget about DeMarcus Cousins. He turned in a gutsy performance in Game 2, but he’s still making his way back from a ruptured left quad he suffered in the first round against the Los Angeles Clippers. There will be nights when he slows the Warriors down and harshes their half-court offense. Not all of his outings will look like they did on Sunday.
Getting Durant back is key. He is one of the NBA’s three very best players, and if the Warriors are going to navigate injuries to everyone else, they’ll need their two primary sources of star power, him and Stephen Curry, to carry their from-scratch offense.
As of now, though, betters must be careful. The Warriors haven’t committed to a return date for Durant. People have hinted that he might rejoin the team in Game 3, but many others think he’ll be out for Game 4. The longer he’s out, the harder it is for the Warriors to do their job.
Keys to a Raptors Victory
The Raptors must ask themselves one question: Is their supporting cast around Leonard enough? It’s a question they’ve been asking all playoffs, and it will ultimately determine whether they have the juice to be crowned NBA champions.
Sure, the Raptors are dealing with injuries of their own. Leonard himself is playing through a left leg issue, while Kyle Lowry is coping with a torn ligament in his left thumb. Still, the Raptors’ injuries aren’t on the scale of the Warriors’. They are objectively healthier and deeper.
And yet, it was Golden State who dictated terms of play for most of Game 2. After a slow start, their half-court offense took off behind Curry and Thompson, and Draymond Green spearheaded an exhaustive defensive attack that made life difficult on Leonard.
The Warriors know that Leonard isn’t the best passer. If they trap him above the break and on drives to the basket, they’ll burn through more fouls but force far more turnovers. And while throwing an extra body on him will leave someone else open, they appear to be fine with letting Danny Green, Pascal Siakam and Fred VanVleet launching wide-open jumpers.
Unless Leonard’s running mates, including Lowry and Marc Gasol, hit a higher percentage of their looks like they did in Game 1, the Raptors are going to find themselves at an insurmountable disadvantage.
NBA Finals Prediction
It became trendy after Game 1 to pick the Raptors. It doesn’t feel like that anymore. Some brave souls will jump on them at a +400, because it won’t get any better. But those investments are, at the very least, predicated on Durant missing Game 3 or not playing like himself upon return.
That’s a big risk to take, even if it’s enticing following injuries to Iguodala and Thompson. The Raptors’ supporting cast has been too inconsistent to count on them to take advantage of a potentially shorthanded Warriors squad.
Gasol and Lowry still pass up too many open shots, Siakam’s jumper has been a roller coaster all postseason, and the Warriors will live with big games from VanVleet, Green and Norman Powell should they ever come so long as it means Leonard encounters two or three bodies on every attack.
Feel free to reassess the situation if the Raptors do, indeed, steal Game 3 or Durant is ruled out for the series. Otherwise, betting on the Warriors to win their third consecutive title continues to make the most sense.
OSB Pick: Golden State Warriors (-275)
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