NFL Betting Lines Week 9
Spreads for each of the following games were taking from TopBet as of 9:30 pacific standard time.
Denver Broncos (+8) At New Orleans Saints (-8)
Easy Investment In The Big Easy’s Finest
This line spiked a little bit once it became official that the Denver Broncos would be starting Brock Osweiler at quarterback. And we cannot blame oddsmakers.
Osweiler doesn’t improve their 18th-ranked passing game, so there’s a good chance the offense lays an egg. More than that, where the defense once instilled fear, it is now understatedly blah.
The New Orlean Saints’ new-and-improved defense, along with their itching-for-a-monster-performance-from-Drew-Brees offense, should have a field day in the comfy confines of their dome.
The Pick: New Orleans Saints (-8)
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (+8) At Philadelphia Eagles (-8)
Keep Riding Philly’s Wave
Eight points is a lot to lay against a Tampa Bay Buccaneers team that is piloted by quarterback Jameis Winston. If he keeps his interception rate under control, they have the potential to pop. Many still believe he’s one of the subtly best players under center in the game.
Still, the Bucs are a mess in the stats department. Their so-called above-average quarterback has led them to an 18th-place ranking in points scored per game, according to ESPN.com’s data. And their defense is 24th in points allowed per contest.
This doesn’t bode well for them against a Philadelphia Eagles squad that sports a top-10 defense and just bolstered a top-five offense with the trade acquisition of running back Jay Ajayi from the Miami Dolphins.
Account for Carson Wentz’s play in Philly, which is a perfect 4-0 at home, and forget it.
The Pick: Philadelphia Eagles (-8)
Washington Redskins (+7) At Seattle Seahawks (-7)
Legion Of Boom All The Way
This is another generous spread. Laying seven points against an at-times quality team like the Washington Redskins is a tall task—particularly with the way these Seattle Seahawks have been winning.
But quarterback Russell Wilson seems to be hitting a groove on the offensive end. The Seahawks are averaging 32.5 points over their past two games, and the 31 points their defense coughed up, at home, against the Houston Texans last week is an anomaly.
Yes, Washington enters with a top-12 offense in terms of points per game. But they also bring a bottom-five defense into Seattle, which could mean yet another 30-plus-point outing for Wilson and crew.
The Pick: Seattle Seahawks (-7)
Kansas City Chiefs (-1) At Dallas Cowboys (+1)
Trust The Chiefs To Get It Done
Something’s just plain off here.
Sure, the Kansas City Chiefs are on the road. But the Dallas Cowboys probably won’t have running back Ezekiel Elliott, whose previous suspension was recently reinstated. They won’t be able to live up to their top-five billing on the offensive side without him. Their system is predicated on illustrious runs, while their passing attack ranks outside the top half in the league.
The Cowboys’ spotty defense only complicates matters. They are 20th in points allowed per game and giving up more than 105 rushing yards every week. That’s a dangerous combination when it feels like Chiefs running back Kareem Hunt is overdue for an explosive performance.
And if the Cowboys are able to bottle up Hunt, it will likely come at the expense of their secondary approach. And that, in turn, spells great things for Kansas City’s big-play extraordinaire, Tyreek Hill.
The Pick: Kansas City Chiefs (-1)
Detroit Lions (-2.5) At Green Bay Packers (+2.5)
Steer Clear Of The Packers
Feel free to roll with the Green Bay Packers.
Lambeau Field is a freezing hellhole for opponents no matter who the team has trotting out under center. It doesn’t help the Detroit Lions’ cause that they’re coming off an anemic loss to the Pittsburgh Steelers, either.
But we cannot just gloss over the Packers playing without the injured Aaron Rodgers. Including the week he first left the field, they’re averaging under 14 points per game without him. They don’t have a good enough defense to lean on in his absence (20th in points allowed per game), and the Lions, despite last week’s 15-point dud, still own one of the 10 most potent offenses in football.
Packers head coach Mike McCarthy had a Bye Week to cook up something creative on offense. We cannot discount that. But with the Lions fighting for their playoff lives, we cannot trust a team that will be deploying Brett Hundley under center—not even when they’re playing in the winter wonderland that is early November in Wisconsin.
The Pick: Detroit Lions (-2.5)
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