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2021 Australian Open Outright Winner Prediction
We are nearing one of the biggest, most important tennis tournaments of the year: The 2021 Australian Open. And if you're wondering whether we have some piping-hot Australian Open outright odds for you, the answer is a resounding yes!
Before we get started, let's take a look at the latest tennis betting odds for the men's draw, courtesy of the folks over at Bovada:
| Potential Winner |  |
|---|---|
| Novak Djokovic | +110 |
| Rafael Nadal | +500 |
| Dominic Thiem | +500 |
| Daniil Medvedev | +550 |
| Stefanos Tsitsipas | +1200 |
| Alexander Zverev | +1200 |
| Andrey Rublev | +2500 |
| Nick Kyrgios | +2800 |
| Andy Murray | +3300 |
| Denis Shapovalov | +3300 |
| Milos Raonic | +3300 |
| Jannik Sinner | +3300 |
| Alex De Minaur | +4000 |
| Stan Wawrinka | +4000 |
| Felix Auger Aliassime | +6600 |
| Matteo Berrettini | +6600 |
| Karen Khachanov | +6600 |
| Roberto Bautista-Agut | +8000 |
| Kei Nishikori | +8000 |
| Grigor Dimitrov | +8000 |
| David Goffin | +10000 |
| Gael Monfils | +10000 |
| John Isner | +10000 |
| Diego Schwartzman | +10000 |
| Fabio Fognini | +10000 |
We will be getting to the Australian Open outright betting lines for the women's draw in just a little bit. For now, please remember to quadruple-check all Australian Open tennis outright odds before deciding on a wager.
2021 Australian Open Betting Picks
Predicting this tournament is always a challenge. It's even harder this year given the nature of the player pool amid the coronavirus pandemic. However, we have a number of Australian Open 2021 outright odds we think will be useful to you.
Australian Open Men's Picks
Since we've already dropped the Australian Open betting odds for the men's draw, let's hop right into our favorite picks.
Novak Djokovic (+110)
Highlighting Novak Djokovic is non-negotiable. We have to do it. He's too dominant.
Sure, Djokovic is working off a rough year, one in which he became mired in controversy both on the court—he was disqualified from the US Open for accidentally hitting a line judge with a ball—and off it. But he still finished atop the world rankings for a sixth consecutive season.
Nothing about his playstyle suggests he'll collapse at the Australian Open, which he has now won eight times. He is the quintessential blend of power and tact—and a heavy favorite for a reason.
Dominic Thiem (+500)
With Rodger Federer recovering from knee surgery, Djokovic has two primary threats as we see it: Rafael Nadal (+500) and Dominic Thiem.
The latter is our favorite.
For starters, Thiem dispatched Djokovic himself during the ATP Finals, so he's no stranger to going up against the world's best player. Mostly, though, he's just never been playing better. He closed 2020 converting 63 percent of his first serves and winning 74 percent of his first-serve points. Controlling the pace of play is a must against Djokovic, and he's among the best to do it.
Alexander Zverev (+1200)
If you're sleeping on the 23-year-old Alexander Zverev, it's time to wake up. He is a threat to win the 2021 Australian Open.
Zverev verged on dominant during the 2020 playing year. He has worked his way up to No. 7 on the world rankings while really buttoning up the fundamentals of his game. He won 77 percent of the points in which he converted his first serve and 80 percent of his service games overall. He also saved a whopping 61 percent of his breakpoints.
Given his uptick inaccuracy, he's a threat to beat anyone he faces.
Men's Australian Open Prediction
This might come as a slight shock, but we're rolling with Dominic Thiem.
Novak Djokovic is always a threat to blow everyone out of the water, but we've noticed a few too many red flags in the way The Joker has played lately. In addition to falling to Thiem himself last year, he was also destroyed by Rafael Nadal at the French Open. Something just feels off with the 33-year-old.
Thiem, on the other hand, is at the top of his game. The pressure he puts on opponents with his consistency during rallies and at the net has become underrated. He'll need to convert a slightly higher number of his first serves if he ends up facing Djokovic or Nadal to win it all, but he's fully capable of doing so.
OSB Prediction: Dominic (+500)
Australian Open Women's Picks
Here's a look at the latest Australian Open odds for the women's draw:
| Potential Winner | |
|---|---|
| Naomi Osaka | +600 |
| Ashleigh Barty | +800 |
| Serena Williams | +800 |
| Aryna Sabalenka | +900 |
| Simona Halep | +1000 |
| Sofia Kenin | +1000 |
| Iga Swiatek | +1000 |
| Bianca Andreescu | +1200 |
| Garbine Muguruza | +1200 |
| Victoria Azarenka | +1400 |
| Karolina Pliskova | +1600 |
| Petra Kvitova | 1600 |
| Elina Svitolina | +1600 |
| Cori Gauff | +2000 |
| Belinda Bencic | +2000 |
| Madison Keys | +2000 |
| Jennifer Brady | +2500 |
| Dayana Yastremska | +3300 |
| Elena Rybakina | +3300 |
| Amanda Anisimova | +3300 |
| Angelique Kerber | +3300 |
| Donna Vekic | +3300 |
| Elise Mertens | +4000 |
| Marketa Vondrousova | +5000 |
| Sloane Stephens | +5000 |
| Johanna Konta | +5000 |
| Maria Sakkari | +5000 |
| Danielle Collins | +5000 |
Just another reminder to confirm these lines before deciding on any wager. They will shift a tad in the coming days.
But now, let's get to some picks!
Naomi Osaka (+600)
It seems like only yesterday Naomi Osaka had just beaten Serena Williams as an immense underdog. Now she's the third-ranked player in the world. Life comes at you fast—sort of like Osaka's play style.
The 23-year-old spent 2020 winning more than 85 percent of the games she served and more than 70 percent of the breakpoints she faced. She can be prone to unforced errors, but she's really honed the mental part of her game, too. She deserves to be the favorite.
Serena Williams (+800)
There was a time where we wouldn't have even needed to discuss any other candidates. Serena Williams was always the answer. At 39, though, here the game has slowed down a bit, and it's starting to show.
Still, Williams will always be a genuine option to beat anyone. She continues to generate a ton of power, and the Australian Open, which she last won in 2017, represents yet another chance for her to snag her 24th Grand Slam title.
Bianca Andreescu (+1200)
Bianca Andreescu is a true dark horse. Many have forgotten about how talented she is since she missed all of 2020 with a left knee injury and part of 2019 with some health problems.
Rest assured, though, she remains a high-level threat. Back in 2019, she was converting a whopping 61.8 percent of her first serves while winning over 73 percent of the games she served. Bettors have thus far overlooked her. You can buck that trend.
Women's Australian Open Prediction
We've decided to be boring and select Naomi Osaka.
She's improving at too rapid of a clip to ignore. Everything from her play at the net to her service game to the angles she uses on her backhand is getting better. That should ultimately prove terrifying for the rest of the tour.
On the bright side, going with the favorite in this case still means a 6-to-1 payout.
OSB Prediction: Naomi Osaka (+600)
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