Check out our picks for every fight currently taking place at the July 24 UFC fight night!
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Summer is in full swing, which also means that the UFC fight night train continues to chug along. Some people might not care. They only make a big deal out of the major pay-per-view events. Don't be one of those people. These events matter. That's why we've got UFC betting odds and picks for July 24 fight night.
Let's check out the latest UFC odds courtesy of the folks at BetOnline:
|Cory Sandhagen||-163||+120||TJ Dillashaw|
|Punahele Soriano||-220||+185||Brendan Allen|
|Chris Daukaus||-185||+160||Shamil Abdurakhimov|
|Cameron Else||-110||-110||Aaron Phillips|
Since we still have a ways to go before the opening bell, you'll want to confirm these UFC betting lines don't shift at BetOnline or other top online sportsbooks before deciding on a wager. We also highly recommend sifting through the best UFC betting apps to see which specials you're able to capitalize on.
UFC July 24 Fight Night Betting Breakdown
It would also behoove you to keep track of this fight card itself. UFC fight nights can sometimes have up to seven or eight matchups. As of now, this one is only slated to have four. There's a chance that holds, but there's also wiggle room for UFC to add a couple of showdowns.
Fortunately, the potential for extra fights doesn't impact our mission here. We've got predictions on the outright winner for all four of these should-be great battles, beginning with the much-anticipated meeting between Cory Sandhagen and TJ Dillashaw.
Cory Sandhagen (-163) vs. TJ Dillashaw (+120)
Consider us surprised that TJ Dillashaw isn't a heavier underdog entering this matchup.
Sure, he has won four of his past five fights, but he is giving up five inches of height and three inches of length to Cory Sandhagen. He is going to struggle to evade the latter's combinations and will need to put extra force on his uppercuts to make sure he's adequately connecting with the upper part of Sandhagen's body.
Then again, because Dillashaw is so much smaller, it will put pressure on Sandhagen to maintain his accuracy while fighting downward. He is going to lose some volume because of the height tradeoff.
Luckily for him, he's got the volume to spare. Sandhagen is averaging nearly seven significant strikes per minute. Fighting Dillashaw won't be a huge adjustment for him.
OSB Prediction: Cory Sandhagen (-163)
Punahele Soriano (-220) vs. Brendan Allen (+185)
Though Punahele Soriano does not have the most extensive resume, he remains a perfect 8-0 at the UFC level. What's more, each of his past two victories have come by TKO, and the one before that came by a unanimous decision.
Because that's not enough, Soriano throws opponents off with his southpaw motions and his stamina. Even some of his winning knockouts have come in later rounds, with decisions seemingly on the table.
Opponents must figure out a way to make him work harder earlier. Brendan Allen, in our estimation, isn't that fighter.
With only 3.35 significant strikes landed per minute and suboptimal takedown defense, Allen's best hope at turning this into a real match lies with using his 6'2" frame to go for the kill in Round 1.
OSB Prediction: Punahele Soriano (-220)
Chris Daukaus (-185) vs. Shamil Abdurakhimov (+165)
Shamil Abdurakhimov seems to set up for failure here.
Not only is he facing off against a fellow 6'3" behemoth who is eight years younger, but the age-39 fighter is also tasked with making up an absurdly wide speed gap. For context, over his past few fights, Chris Daukaus is landing 11.78 significant strikes per minute. That is not a typo. Abdurakhimov, by comparison, is connecting on fewer than three significant strikes per minute.
Maybe Abdurakhimov gets lucky and lands one of his trademark knockout punches in the first couple of minutes. Aside from that, though, it's tough to imagine him picking up the victory in this one.
OSB Prediction: Chris Daukaus (-185)
Cameron Else (-110) vs. Aaron Phillips (-110)
The line on this Cameron Else-Aaron Phillips matchup is one to watch.
Phillips seems to be currying favor because of his slightly deeper resume. He has 16 fights under his belt to Else's 15. But this is also just his second official UFC fight since 2014, and he's on a three-match losing streak dating back more than a half-decade. It feels like he should be listed as the underdog.
Of course, Else hasn't done much recently to inspire confidence. His switch stance has not held up when defending against strikes, and even for the 135-pound card, he's a little weak when it comes to wrestling.
To Else's credit, he has fought more recently, back in October. But he lasted just 22 seconds before getting KO'd. We just don't have enough faith in him against someone like Phillips—who, despite all his flaws, has the bandwidth to generate more power on his strike combinations.
OSB Prediction: Aaron Phillips (-110)
Check out this list of the top online sportsbooks so you can decide which one to use for all your UFC betting: