NBA Betting - Free Pick For 4-14-2009

706 LA Lakers ??? over Utah

Posting this at about midnight on Monday, the free odds page at Don Best does not list a price on this game. The sysem in play here is a general one. The record is 152-85 ATS, including 12-7 this season and 35-20 since I started tracking it.

I’m from the Detroit area. Learning of Mark Fidrych’s death today was tough. I was there in April of ‘76 to see the Bird’s first start. I was 12. It was my friend Rick E’s 10th birthday, and his parents threw a surprise party. Box seats, upper deck a bit past first base.

In the bottom of the 6th, I caught a ball off Rusty Staub. I played the short hop. I’m afraid of heights, and I felt safer that way. Still, it was clean glove work. Not bad, considering I’d left this particular glove, a cheap yard sale pickup, on our garage most of the winter. Rick’s dad was disappointed though.

When I came up with the ball I spied a red light on the camera across the field in the boxes behind third. I was on TV for a moment. For some reason it was the NBC Game of the Week, at least regionally. The only person who recognized me was my brother’s coach. My own mom didn’t notice me.

I noted the young guy pitching. He seemed odd, but beating the Indians wasn’t going to win you any medals. Later that spring I finally felt comfortable talking to myself on the mound the way Mark did. I’d done it on the sly the previous couple of seasons. My dad drew the line at manicuring the mound.

I do feel a little older tonight.

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NBA Betting - Free Picks For 4-13-2009

507 Charlotte +3 over New Jersey
511 Minnesota +11.5 over Dallas
515 LA Clippers ? over Utah
521 Oklahoma City +14 over Portland

Odds listed are from the Don Best free odds page at the time of posting. Since this post is going up about midnight Sunday its unlikely most readers will see the same prices as above.

We’ve got nothing but road teams on the Monday NBA card. A pair of systems support these selections. One pair of plays come from the same system used on Saturday to bag an easy double-digit win on Golden State as a double-digit dog. This late season system is now 48-12 ATS, including 3-0 this year. All three wins have been on underdogs pulling the upset. Which is a bit odd, since there is no line parameter in the terms of this situation.

The other two picks are from another late season system that is 43-11 ATS and has an excellent cover margin out of sample that is over +6 points per game.

Unfortunately today is the last day either of these systems will produce any selections this season. While I’ll endeavor to cap the final two days of the regular season, its unlikely I’ll be able to match the seven selections that I’ve posted over the past three days. I’ll be back Monday night with a look at the Tuesday card.

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NBA Betting - No Free Play On 4-12-2009

Much thanks to bookmakers for getting lines up early on an Easter morning. Unfortunately, I just can’t pull the trigger on any of today’s games. The closest I have is a strong lean on Memphis over the LA Lakers. I have a pair of systems in the game; one favoring Memphis and the other against the Lakers. Both have good records out of sample, but just not quite good enough to make an official call. I’m kicking myself for not cutting corners yesterday and adding a play on New Jersey over Orlando yesterday. Similar circumstances were involved, but with THREE systems in play.

Still, when you come off a 3-0 ATS day it doesn’t hurt all that much to take a pass. Especially when you’d rather be spending the day with family anyway. It wouldn’t hurt you to do the same. Happy Easter!

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