UFC 317 Picks: Topuria vs Oliveira Best Bets

Ilia Topuria vs. Charles Oliveira will be the main event at UFC 317 this upcoming June 28. Okay, this Men's Lightweight fight could be one for the ages. Topuria vs Oliveira best bets expects to feature plenty of action and excitement.

Who will win as this PPV finale? Will this go as expected or will there be an upset? Let’s go! But first, here are some particulars:

What: UFC 317
When: Saturday, June 28, 2025
Start Time: 6:30 pm EDT (early prelims), 8 p.m. EDT (preliminary bouts), 10 p.m. EDT (main card)
Where: Las Vegas, Nevada
Venue: T-Mobile Center
Where to Watch: ESPN+ or Disney+ and ESPN (subscription required) for Prelims and Early Prelims, 10pm (PPV+) for main card
Main Event: Ilia Topuria vs. Charles Oliveira

Topuria vs Oliveira: A Thinking Man's War

This is like a thinking man's war. Ilia Topuria remains a perfect 16-0 and will be trying to again fight like a tactician. The man from Georgia (yes, the country), is only 28, but fights like a ring general. It is sometimes hard to explain but Topuria controls his fights often from the opening bell. His 16 wins have seen a little of everything. That includes a 4+ year run which has seen him beat eight quality opponents and several primetime featherweight contenders/champions.

After destroying Alexander Volkanovski (KO - Punches), Topuria defended his then Featherweight belt by clinically taking out Max Holloway with a barrage of punches in a third round bloodbath. The Georgian is a citizen of Spain as well. Stepping up to face Charles Oliveira will not be easy. Topuria knows this well. Oliveira was a Lightweight champion at one time and at 35 has fought in the UFC since 2010.

Charles Oliveira comes in at 35-10 (1 NC) rolling off a decision win against Michael Chandler. Sure, the Brazilian UFC fighter has been in the business for what feels like forever. It is his experience and stamina that stand out along with some very illustrious records in the lightweight division. However, he has split his previous four fights. Some do openly wonder if this main event at a PPV may be his last one.

Oliveira's biggest wins are probably the Michael Chandler wins. The first one gave him the title. However, I would argue the Dustin Poirier victory cemented his status as a master of the rear-naked choke. He also possesses an anaconda and guillotine version of the chokehold. The Brazilian has a whopping 21 wins by submission including 16 in the UFC. Despite all this success, Oliveira seems to have issues with making weight a lot. The hope is he can here.

UFC 317 Main Event: Ilia Topuria vs. Charles Oliveira Betting Lines

This UFC 317 main even bout ends the PPV in a big way on the Las Vegas Strop. Scanning through the top online UFC betting odds favor the former featherweight champion heavily. Yes, early numbers have this playing out like the young boss teaching the old veteran a lesson. One never knows but here is the table below.

UFC 317 Main Event
Ilia Topuria	-455	-500	-500
Charles Oliveira	+350	+375	+370

So, keep peeking at those UFC 317 betting odds right up until you decide to make your wager. Our UFC 317 online betting odds are accurate entering Wednesday, June 25. This gives time for the best online UFC betting sites to adjust ahead of this pay-per-view on Saturday, June 28th.

For this fight, specifically, this really may be more about the props from round props to decision to even yes, the point spread. There are only a few days until the matchup. So, do not expect that moneyline to swing too much. The hard part may be trying to figure out whether there will be a knockout or submission. The UFC 317 betting lines call for an early end to this main event.

Can Ilia Topuria Get Win Number 17?

Can Ilia Topuria get win number 17? One of the biggest dilemmas is trying to figure out knockout or submission. It may be too challenging for Oliveira to go five rounds with Topuria. A younger version of the Brazilian probably could. However, times have changed. We take several risks here because of the -455 moneyline as most books are moving to around -500. What else is there for Topuria vs Oliveira best bets?

Topuria comes in ready to use his wits, his legs, and his fists. The fighter believes he can get inside on Oliveira (even with a five inch reach disadvantage). Also, the former featherweight champion is three inches shorter. That matters little here. Topuria features an arsenal of ground moves to go along with his combination power.

Honestly, the moneyline is far from enough. The question here is whether we see a third straight win by punches or a submission. That KO clocks in at a tidy -160. However, the submission is an intriguing +550. The other battle is which round. We will get to that one later. Topuria wants to beat Oliveira at his own game. Watch for the punches to win out in the end.

Ilia Topuria To beat Charles Oliveira at UFC 317 by KO/TKO

-160

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What Is The Only Chance For Charles Oliveira?

Topuria vs Oliveira bets ask what is the only chance for the Brazilian? Oliveira battling Father Time and Topuria does not seem ideal. However, he can still catch anyone. Oliveira has come back so often. This would actually be his best upset if he could pull this off.

A submission stands at +700 but Topuria is too wise for that (his takedown defense is of legend). Oliveria must get Topuria off balance and stun him. It's the only way - to win by a combination of punches and the KO.

Charles Oliveira To win by KO/TKO at UFC 317

+1100

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