Money Predictions On How UFC 300 Plays Out

Eric Uribe
By , Updated on: Jan 5, 2024 12:00 AM
UFC 300 Bets

UFC 300 could be the biggest card in the promotion’s history. Could be because UFC President Dana White has teased so. However, much of the card is still unknown, and this mystery has created a futures betting market on what happens at UFC 300. The hypotheticals have caught our attention, which is why we have early predictions on it here.

What We Know About UFC 300

What do we know about UFC 300? Well, not a lot outside of the date, location, and a few of the undercard bouts.

The 300 fight card goes down on April 13. It will go down at their promotion’s usual home — the T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, Nevada (sorry Abu Dhabi).

The following fights have been announced for UFC 300:

  • Jiri Procházka vs. Aleksandar Rakić
  • Aljamain Sterling vs. Calvin Kattar
  • Bo Nickal vs. Cody Brundage

For what it’s worth, reporter Ariel Helwani said the UFC has a “rabbit in their hat.” He stopped short of saying what it is besides mentioning it wasn’t the main event but another special surprise. Ronda Rousey or Brock Lesnar anyone? Lesnar was the UFC 200 surprise so there’s a precedent of bringing back box-office legends of the sport.

UFC 300 Betting Predictions

The hype is so real for UFC 300 that the best betting sites for UFC have released odds for how the card goes — and not necessarily who wins potential matchups. We’re talking bets on what fights get announced and how much the show ends up selling. Before White announces more bouts, let’s make our future UFC 300 betting predictions:

Over/Under 2.5 Title Fights

Here’s a fun bet on how many title fights end up on the card. The over/under is squarely put at 2.5:

OutcomeMyBookieBetUSBetOnline
Over 2.5 Title Fights-300-300-300
Under 2.5 Title Fights+200+200+200

We should probably look at UFC 200 and 100 for context on how White likes stacking these 00 cards. At 200 back in 2016, three belts were featured — the men’s heavyweight, men’s interim featherweight, and women’s bantamweight, which was the headliner. UFC 100 had two title matches, the men’s heavyweight and welterweight. It’s important to remember though, the women’s division didn’t exist back in 2009 when UFC 100 happened.

When making this pick for UFC 300, it helps to guess what title matches could even happen in the first place. Current champions fighting at UFC 297, 298, and 299 likely won’t be on the card since the turnaround time is too short. This disqualifies a good chunk of the title holders — men’s middleweight, men’s featherweight, men’s bantamweight, and women’s bantamweight.

Because UFC 300 is taking place during Ramadan, one would think a few other title fights are off the table. Muslim lightweight champion Islam Makhachev and welterweight title founder Belal Muhammad might be no-gos. A training camp mixed in with the fasting of Ramadan would be a tall task for either of ‘em.

This predicament leaves really only two men champions available — interim heavyweight champ Tom Aspinall and light heavyweight title-holder Alex Pereira. Aspinall vs. Gane feels pre-ordained and Pereira is a big enough star to warrant a high placement in UFC 300. If White shoots for the stars, a third bout between Pereira and Israel Adesanya headlines this show.

You’d have to think the women get one title bout too. Zhang Weili, the strawweight champ, deserves a spot on the card given she’s likely the best women’s fighter in the world. Therefore, we’d slam the over bet on this prop.

Over 2.5 title fights at UFC 300
MyBookie
-300

Break Pay-Per-View Record?

Will UFC 300 break the all-time buy record for pay-per-views? That’s the task of this wager. The current record is 2.4 million buys for UFC 229 which was headlined by Conor McGregor and Khabib Nurmagomedov. Here’s the current odds for the bet:

OutcomeMyBookieBetUSBetOnline
Yes-350-350-350
No+225+225+225

We strongly, strongly doubt UFC 300 even sniffs that record. There’s almost nothing they could do to reach the hype of McGregor vs. Nurmagomedov, which had legitimate bad blood that brewed for years. Even if McGregor is on the 300 card — he said he’s fighting at International Fight Week instead — no opponent will come close to matching the rivalry with Nurmagomedov.

UFC is short on superstars without McGregor, an injured Jon Jones, and a non-signed Nate Diaz. Without them, UFC 300 falls way short of the precious buy rate record. Take the under here!

No PPV record won't be broken at UFC 300
MyBookie
+225

How To Bet On UFC 300?

UFC 300 will draw massive amounts of eyeballs and betting attention. That’ll be a boon for UFC 300 betting. To get a complete list of UFC 300 bets, we recommend one of the sites below. They’ll have every type of bet for the show imaginable. You’ll want to lock in our picks soon (especially the over/under on title fights) since that’s time-sensitive. Once the card is fully out, you’ll have even more bets at your disposal.

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Meet the author

Eric Uribe

Eric was born and raised in Nevada — the center of gambling in the United States. Throw in his natural interest in sports, and Eric was destined to be a sports bettor. This came to a head once Eric turned 21. Already a working sports journalist while in college, Er...

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