Another weekend, another big opportunity to make money betting on UFC. This weekendās card features a doozy of a main event between Strickland and Magomedov. You know we have free UFC betting picks on it, plus other fights on the card. Keep reading for our expert advice!
- What: UFC Vegas 76
- When: Saturday, July 1
- Where: UFC Apex in Las Vegas, Nevada
Sean Strickland vs. Abus Magomedov
The main event goes down in the middleweight class. Currently, Strickland is the slight -175 betting favorite across the best betting sites for UFC. But rather than going down the moneyline, weāll be taking on the Strickland-Magomedov over/under. Itās at 3.5 rounds and hereās how it shakes out:
Strickland certainly is the name attraction here. The top-10-ranked middleweight has been a fixture in the division for multiple years now. However, Strickland has lost to the top-caliber fighters ā Alex Pereira and Jared Cannonier ā and is stuck at the good, but not great tier of middleweights. Still, he has the big-level experience that Magomedov doesn't. This will mark only the second fight in the UFC for Magomedov.
Hereās what those unaware of Magomedov should be aware of: Magomedov is a much more balanced fighter than Strickland. In his only UFC fight, he demolished Dustin Stoltzfus with a first-round KO. It was all striking from Magomedov that night, but given the last name and heās born in Dagestan (but fights out of Germany) you know heās a capable wrestler too. This is a "prove it" fight for Magomedov. On paper, he looks good but Strickland is another caliber in completion too.
Strickland wonāt hold a lick to him if this fight goes to the ground, but standing up is his big advantage. You can almost guarantee Strickland will be throwing a barrage of punches. How Magomedov handles that volume could be the X-factor. Regardless, we think this goes the distance. Either Stricklandās output wears out Magomedov over five rounds or Magomedov does the same only with wrestling. Either way, we got the judges deciding who wins this one.
Damir Ismagulov vs. Grant Dawson Betting Pick
Hereās a lightweight match weāre dying to see. Why? Because itās the most evenly-matched fight of the whole night. Both fighters are outside of the top-10 rankings, but we wouldnāt be surprised to see one of āem in the title mix over the next two years. This fight is close enough that bookies have set the Ismagulov-Dawson moneyline odds at pick em:
Ismagulov would likely be the betting favorite had he not lost last time out to Arman Tsarukyan. He had been on a 19-fight winning streak and looked like a sure-fire title contender. Then Tsarukyan made him look silly with seven successful takedowns en route to a decision victory.
Thatās problematic because Dawson is also a wrestler. Is he as good as Tsarukyan at wrestling? Probably not, but heās not that far behind. Dawson averages 3.8 takedowns per fight in the UFC. If he could do something similar in this one, heāll be tough to beat. So yes, Dawson is the pick to make. Heās got 13 submission victories over his career and it might become 14 by the end of it.
Max Griffin vs. Michael Morales Betting Pick
Hereās classic UFC bookmaking ā an aging veteran (Griffin) versus a young prospect with big potential (Morales). Per usual with these types of fights, the prospect is expected to win as Morales is a convincing -245 favorite. Here are the full betting odds:
What casual bettors need to know about Morales is heās 14-0 with a unique mix of skills. The Ecuadorean won championships in both wrestling and Muy Thai background in his native country. In two UFC fights, heās scored consecutive KO victories. Many are penciling in this kid as the ānext big thingā but still, heās largely unproven at this level.
In Griffin, Morales is getting the biggest test of his career. The 37-year-old Griffin can bang when standing up, landing 4.33 strikes per minute. Heās been with the UFC since 2016 so the experience will certainly be in his favor. But our money is still going to Morales. Weāre buying his hype and expect him to put on a show here with a statement win.
How To Bet On UFC Vegas 76
UFC betting doesnāt get much better than one of the underneath bookmakers. Any one of them will offer every type of bet you can imagine for the upcoming card (plus others on the horizon like UFC 290). There are a dozen fights to gamble on when you account for prelims so the UFC Vegas 76 bet opportunities are far and wide this Saturday.
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