At long last, it's time we drop our Tyson Fury vs. Deontay Wilder 3 betting predictions for the WBC World Title. Let's not waste any time, because there's a lot to unpack.
Here are the latest odds on who will win Tyson Fury-Deontay Wilder 3, courtesy of BetOnline:
| Favorite |  | | Underdog |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tyson Fury | -266 | +226 | Deontay Wilder |
Make sure to double-check these boxing odds before making your official Tyson Fury-Deontay Wilder picks. The numbers are subject to change at BetOnline and other top online sportsbooks.
Tyson Fury-Deontay Wilder 3 Predictions
- When: Saturday, October 9
- Time: 11:30 p.m. ET
- Where: T-Mobile Arena in Paradise, Nevada
For anyone who might be new to boxing picks, there is more to our Tyson Fury-Deontay Wilder predictions than just identifying the flat-out winner.
Beyond just selecting the straight victory, we also have the ability to indulge in Tyson Fury-Deontay Wilder props, which include predicting the method of victory as well as the round in which the fight will actually end. We will begin with our official Fury-Wilder pick and then delve into these boxing props thereafter.
Tyson Fury (-266) vs. Deontay Wilder (+226)
Few high-profile boxing matches are as highly anticipated as this Fury-Wilder bout. It is the third meeting between these two fights, and a square-off that is more than three years in the making.
Their first meeting came together in 2019, when both had undefeated records. Fury dominated much of the fight, appearing well on his way to a win by decision. But Wilder then knocked Fury to the ground in Rounds 9 and 12, earning plenty of momentum heading into the final bell. Though many wondered whether Fury was on the verge of a knockout in Round 12, he regained his composure just before the clock struck zero. Judges scored the fight a split decision—a tie.
Fast forward to their second meeting, in 2020, and Fury, having won two more fights since his tie with Wilder, promised a much more aggressive approach. And then he delivered. He came out uncorking a bunch of swift, cutting combinations that overwhelmed Wilder almost from the opening bell. Eventually, in Round 7, the people in Wilder's corner waved the white flag and Fury was crowned the victor.
Oddsmakers seem to be placing stock in that outcome. While Wilder has said he injured himself walking to the ring in a costume that weighed over 30 pounds, he didn't look like a viable match for Fury's blend of speed, accuracy and power. There's a chance Fury is the greatest active boxer alive right now. People are already looking ahead to a prospective matchup with Anthony Joshua, suggesting Wilder has regressed to a tier below Fury.
And frankly, we're inclined to agree. Many think Fury should've also won the first fight with Wilder. He was thoroughly in control aside from those two late-round knockdowns, and we can't help but wonder whether there'd even be a third fight had he emerged victorious from the first two. To us, then, this isn't a matter of if Fury will win. It's a matter of how he'll get the latest W.
OSB Prediction: Tyson Fury (-266)
Tyson Fury vs. Deontay Wilder Method of Victory
Below are all the odds on how the winner of Fury-Wilder will be declared:
| Method of Victory | |
|---|---|
| Tyson Fury by KO | TKO or DQ |
| Tyson Fury by Decision or Technical Decision | +250 |
| Deontay Wilder by KO | TKO or DQ |
| Deontay Wilder by Decision or Technical Decision | +1200 |
| Draw or Technical Draw | +2200 |
Some bettors might be intrigued by the 22-to-1 payout on a draw. After all, Fury and Wilder have already tied once. Couldn't it happen again?
Perhaps. But as we already mentioned, that tie was essentially an upset. Many still believe Fury was the rightful victory. If Wilder is going to snag a win, his best chance comes by knockout, in our opinion. He needs to land punches on Fury's upper body early and often, because we don't see him having the stamina to go a full 12 rounds.
Still, Fury remains our overall pick. And given how the last fight ended, in Round 7 by submission, we have to think a similar outcome is on the horizon.
OSB Prediction: Tyson Fury by KO, TKO or DQ (+250)
Tyson Fury vs. Deontay Wilder Round Prediction
Since we've already picked Fury to win the third installment of this rivalry, we are only concerned with the boxing props offered on when he'll actually end the fight. Here they are:
| Round Victory | |
|---|---|
| Tyson Fury - Round 1 | +2500 |
| Tyson Fury - Round 2 | +2000 |
| Tyson Fury - Round 3 | +1400 |
| Tyson Fury - Round 4 | +1200 |
| Tyson Fury - Round 5 | +1200 |
| Tyson Fury - Round 6 | +1000 |
| Tyson Fury - Round 7 | +1200 |
| Tyson Fury - Round 8 | +1200 |
| Tyson Fury - Round 9 | +1400 |
| Tyson Fury - Round 10 | +2000 |
| Tyson Fury - Round 11 | +2200 |
| Tyson Fury - Round 12 | +3000 |
Those who believe Fury can net an early-round knockout should look at Round 1 (+2500) or Round 2 (+2000). That being said, for as good as Fury has become, both he and Wilder know each other's tendencies after two matchups and a total of 19 rounds versus one another.
Theoretically, this isn't a fight that should end especially quickly, even if Fury picks up the win without much doubt. Any bet in the Round 5 through Round 10 range feels right. We're taking Round 9, because of the 14-to-1 payout it offers.
OSB Prediction: Round 9 (+1400)
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