- When: Wednesday, May 10 at 7:05 PM ET
- Who: Mets at Reds
- Starting Pitchers: Justin Verlander and Hunter Greene
- Where: Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, OH
The Cincinnati Reds are looking to win the series against the New York Mets Wednesday evening.
They defeated the Mets 7-6 after Max Scherzer was a late scratch. The victory dropped the Mets to 17-19 and improved the Reds to 15-20 on the season.
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Let's break down this matchup between the Mets and the Reds before we get to our picks. Justin Verlander will be making his second start while the Reds will be sending out Hunter Greene to the mound.
Meanwhile, the Mets manager, Buck Showalter was just ejected for the first time this season.
"Obviously they were wrong"
— SNY (@SNYtv) May 10, 2023
Both pitchers are seeking their first win of the season and both the Reds and Mets have been mediocre this season.
Neither team has a winning record and the Mets have a payroll that's equivalent to the GDP of a small country. Both pitchers have quite the reputations as strikeout machines, let's take a look at some pitching props for this matchup.
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Justin Verlander was one of many big-ticket acquisitions for the Mets this offseason and he has had a slow start to this season.
Perhaps that's due to the teres major muscle strain he suffered mere hours before Opening Day, we still have a lot of season left to see.
|Verlander O 6.5||-105||-105||-110|
|Verlander U 6.5||-120||-115||-115|
I didn't understand why the oddsmakers have set his total at 6.5 strikeouts. That seems very high for a pitcher that has yet to win a game, much less pitch more than 5 innings.
Verlander has shown some flashes of past success but has not been able to maintain it.
Justin Verlander's 2Ks in the 5th.
5Ks thru 5 pic.twitter.com/hFbnNwfQU1
— Rob Friedman (@PitchingNinja) May 4, 2023
This is a mistake by the oddsmakers that we need to take advantage of.
I would recommend betting Under 6.5 strikeouts for Justin Verlander at -120 odds at Bovada.
Now, let's talk about tonight's total of 9 runs. If we take a closer look at the recent offensive production of both teams, it becomes clear that this number is likely too high.
|Over 9 Runs||-100||+105||-100|
|Under 9 Runs||-120||-125||-120|
The Mets' offense hasn't been firing on all cylinders, while the Reds have shown some signs of life but still struggle to consistently put runs on the board.
So, there you have it, folks. All the data, stats, and recent history point toward a low-scoring duel between the Reds and the Mets.
The total of 9 runs feels overly optimistic, and we're all in on the under.
Just remember, while we're providing you with all the analysis and insight you need, nothing in sports betting is ever a sure thing.
That being said, tonight's under looks like a solid pick for a thrilling night of Major League Baseball.
I would recommend betting on Under 9 runs in this game at -120 odds at Bovada.
The Mets and Justin Verlander get back on track with this game. They've lost 6 of their last 7 games and something has to change soon.
The Reds are the perfect team and the Mets are in the perfect spot for a get-right game.
This is that game, the Mets can get out early and give Verlander some run support and he will deliver the win for them.
I would recommend betting on the Mets to win this game on the money line.
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