- When: Thursday, May 25 at 3:10 PM ET
- Who: Marlins at Rockies
- Starting Pitchers: Braxton Garrett and Kyle Freeland
- Where: Coors Field in Denver, CO
The Rockies are stepping up to the plate as +110 underdogs in their upcoming MLB face-off against the Miami Marlins, and frankly, it's an opportunity that's too good to pass up.
With the value of betting on the Rockies at home and a total of 11 runs that feels generous, this is the perfect chance for you to cash in on Colorado's potential to win this series.
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Game Preview
First of all, let's talk about the Rockies' home advantage. Coors Field has a reputation for being a hitter's paradise, with its mile-high altitude causing balls to soar through the air. According to recent weather reports, this has led to a 21% projected increase in expected runs for games at this venue.
And, with a record of seven out of the past ten meetings between the Marlins and Rockies at Coors Field hitting over 11 runs, it's clear that the Rockies have a strong chance of coming out on top.
| Money Line |  |  |  |
|---|---|---|---|
| Marlins | -115 | +123 | -120 |
| Rockies | +105 | +103 | +110 |
Rockies
The Rockies are led by C.J. Cron, who is batting .228 with 6 home runs and 20 RBIs. Cron is one of the hottest hitters in baseball, and he will be a crucial player for the Rockies in this game. The Rockies also have a strong pitching staff led by Kyle Freeland.
Freeland is 4-5 with a 3.88 ERA this season, but he has been pitching better lately. Freeland has allowed just ten runs in 36 innings in his last five starts.
Marlins
The Marlins are led by Jazz Chisholm Jr., batting .229 with 7 home runs and 16 RBIs. Chisholm is a dynamic player who can do it all and will be a crucial player for the Marlins in this game. The Marlins also have a strong pitching staff led by Braxton Garrett.
Garrett is 1-2 with a 4.61 ERA this season, but he has been pitching better lately. In his last start, Garrett allowed just one run in six innings.
The Rockies are the home team but the underdogs in this game. The Marlins are the better team on paper and coming off a win.
I would not recommend betting on the Marlins to win this game on the money line, despite them being favored.
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Total Runs
Now, let's address the elephant in the room – 11 runs. With Kyle Freeland set to keep things low-scoring for the Rockies, we'll likely see a tighter game than the total suggests.
| Total Runs | | | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 11 Runs | -100 | -126 | -120 |
| Under 11 Runs | +103 | -100 | +105 |
Freeland, known for keeping the ball on the ground and limiting damage, will be a critical factor in keeping the Marlins' offense in check. In fact, during his career, Freeland has logged a 45.1% ground ball rate and a 23.8% soft contact rate, making him an ideal candidate to stifle Miami's struggling hitters.
The Rockies can win this game if they get to Garrett early. Garrett has struggled in his last two starts, and the Rockies have a strong lineup that can put up runs.
A total of 11 runs seems like an overreaction to Coors Field, I would recommend betting Under 11 runs at BetUS.
Money Line
Considering all of this, the stage is set for the Colorado Rockies to defy the odds and come out victorious in this home series against the Miami Marlins. With a solid roster, home-field advantage, and a favorable pitching matchup, there's no reason not to put your money on the Rockies to win on the money line.
So, gather your betting buddies and prepare to celebrate a Mile High Showdown that's sure to be one for the books.
I would recommend betting on the Rockies money line at +110 odds at BetUS.
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