The 2023 Ashes series between England and Australia moves north this week, with Headingley Stadium in Leeds hosting the 3rd Test. Australia won a controversial 2nd Test at Lord’s. And with both sides now fired up, we’re in for another cracker in Leeds this week. In our latest cricket betting picks, we look ahead to the 3rd Test. And with Australia needing just one more win to clinch the Ashes, we tell you if they’re going to get it this week.
- What; The Ashes 3rd Test match
- Who; England vs Australia (0-2)
- Where; Headingley Stadium, Leeds, West Yorkshire, England
- When; July 6th-10th, 2023
We’ve had two absolute blockbuster Test matches so far in this 2023 Ashes series. Australia won the 2nd Test at Lord’s, and they are now 2-0 up in the series.
A 43-run win at Lord’s and our Aussie men take a 2-0 lead in the #Ashes! 🙌 pic.twitter.com/WHsHK4KPQj
— Cricket Australia (@CricketAus) July 2, 2023
A win at Headingley this week will see them win the Ashes outright. And if they can achieve that, they will become the first Aussie team to win the Urn on English soil since 2001.
While a draw in Leeds this week would see Australia retain the Ashes, the best England could hope for would be a tied series (which would see Australia, as holders, keep the Ashes).
So now, let’s see how the latest developments have affected the betting to win the Urn.
Betting to win the 2023 Ashes
With the Aussies 2-0 up in this best-of-five Ashes series, they are now just -700 to win outright with the best cricket betting online sites. England is +800, with a drawn series at +900.
At the start of the series, the best betting sites had the Aussies at -120, with England at +150, and a drawn series at +600.
One final point to bear in mind; England has never won an Ashes series after going 2-0 down! Only one team ever has, Australia in 1936/37.
England vs Australia; 3rd Test Betting
Australia is the favorite with the bookmakers to win the 3rd Test. Pat Cummins’ team is +165, with England at +125 and the draw at +320.
There hasn’t been much difference in the betting odds on any of the three Test matches of the series to date. In the 2nd Test, the Aussies were +160, with England at +115 and the draw at +400. The draw is the big mover in the betting ahead of the 3rd Test. This is down to the weather forecast not looking the best.
If you're worried about the potential for rain, the draw no-bet market might be the best option. Here the odds are the same as they were at Lord's. Australia is -138, with England at +100.
More cricket betting odds are available on our Ashes betting table below. The odds are taken from the best cricket betting sites, ensuring you get the best value for money on your cricket wagers.
| England vs Australia 3rd Test Betting |  |  |  |
|---|---|---|---|
| England | +165 | +165 | +165 |
| Australia | +125 | +125 | +125 |
| Draw | +320 | +320 | +320 |
| Draw No Bet | |||
| England | +110 | +110 | +110 |
| Australia | -138 | -138 | -138 |
Expect more fireworks at the 3rd Test in Leeds
Ashes series are rarely quiet affairs. And with tempers flaring over Alex Carey’s controversial - but within the rules - stumping of Jonny Bairstow at Lord’s, expect the atmosphere in Leeds this week to be even more febrile.
Headingley is already a notoriously rowdy ground, and the Australians will now be bracing themselves for an even more hostile welcome when the two teams enter the arena on Thursday. But the Aussies are tough nuts to crack. They’ve taken abuse before, and they almost revel in it.
As Australia showed in the Bairstow stumping, they are a ruthless side prepared to win at all costs. Fans and commentators may well bemoan the spirit of the game. But the Aussies are here to win, and they won’t care a damn what anybody thinks or says about them.
Jonny Bairstow is run out! ❌
A MASSIVE moment in this Test match. pic.twitter.com/CyNn0JUYSI
— Sky Sports Cricket (@SkyCricket) July 2, 2023
Alex Carey’s ruthless stumping of Bairstow also highlighted how much more streetwise Australia is, compared to England. And this has been reflected in just about every aspect of the two Test matches.
Yes, England has put up a fight in both matches. And given a bit of luck here or there, they may well be 2-0 up, not 2-0 down. But the facts are in the crucial moments, Australia has gotten more things right than their English counterparts.
Whether it be taking a half chance in the field, or knowing when to reign in attacking instincts and not play that rash shot, the Aussies have shown England a thing or two about match awareness, and this is the real reason why they are 2-0 up.
Our Pick
Continuing on that theme, we believe that even though England is well capable of winning the match, Australia is the team who looks the better bet.
The Aussies seem to see England coming from a mile away. Ben Stokes and his team have had Australia on the back foot in both the 1st and 2nd Tests, and have somehow contrived to throw away match-winning positions in both Tests.
And it’s not necessarily been down to brilliance from Australia that has seen them win from dodgy positions. It’s generally been down to England being too predictable and rash.
England will no doubt talk it up in the media this week. Claim they have nothing to lose, and that makes them more dangerous. And while that may be true, it still makes more sense to back Australia.
The Aussies haven’t tried to be too cute. When under pressure, Australia has kept its cool, knowing England will self-destruct. There’s no reason why that won’t change at Headingley this week. Back Australia to win again.
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