- When: Friday, July 28 at 7:05 PM ET
- Who: Angels at Blue Jays
- Starting Pitchers: Lucas Giolito and Kevin Gausman
- Where: Rogers Centre in Toronto, ON
If there's one thing we love about baseball, it's the unpredictability. But if there's one thing we love about sports betting, it's finding that sweet spot where the odds align with the game's narrative.
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The Los Angeles Angels are headed to Toronto to take on the Blue Jays in a series that could have playoff implications. The Blue Jays lead the Angels by three games in the AL Wild Card race.
Game Preview
We're honing in on the Los Angeles Angels vs. Toronto Blue Jays matchup, and we've got a gut feeling this one's going under 8.5 runs.
| Money Line |  |  |  |
|---|---|---|---|
| Angels | +157 | +170 | +167 |
| Astros | -192 | -186 | -187 |
The Angels have been on fire recently, winning 8 of their last 9 games. A large chunk of that credit goes to Shohei Ohtani, a player whose name has become synonymous with 'unstoppable.'
Did Shohei wrap up Player of the Week honors in just one day? pic.twitter.com/utaYL3BfML
— MLB (@MLB) July 28, 2023
Ohtani has locked up the MVP and is on the hunt for the home run record. While his offensive prowess is undeniable, it's important to remember that this isn't a home run derby - it's a game of strategy and precision.
In games like these, pitching prowess becomes the game-changer. The mound will be graced by two strikeout artists - Kevin Gausman for the Blue Jays and the newly acquired Lucas Giolito for the Angels.
Kevin Gausman, K'ing the Side. pic.twitter.com/mOGDHaXTcU
— Rob Friedman (@PitchingNinja) July 22, 2023
Gausman and the Blue Jays are favored to the price of -200 on the money line. The implied probability of that price is 66%, which seems like a mistake.
These teams are much closer than those odds suggest. I would not bet on the Blue Jays to win this game on the money line at -200 at BetUS.
Both pitchers have demonstrated their ability to keep runs at bay, adding to our confidence in an under 8.5 runs game.
Giolito, mainly, is a wild card. Fresh off his trade from the Chicago White Sox, he's set to make his Angels debut in this critical three-game series against the Blue Jays.
Huge series starts tomorrow in Toronto with newly acquired Lucas Giolito on the mound making his @Angels debut.
Let’s kick some butt boys! #GoHalos pic.twitter.com/Qwa2dEnU6M
— AngelsWin.com (@AngelsWin) July 28, 2023
On the other hand, Gausman has been a consistent force for the Blue Jays. His knack for striking out batters could be crucial in keeping the Angels' runs in check. Considering the pitching pedigree on show, the total at 8.5 runs feels a touch high.
Both teams are known for their strong pitching lineups, not just their offensive capabilities. Gausman and Giolito, in particular, are no strangers to keeping hitters swinging and missing.
However, it's not just about the pitchers here. The Angels' hitters have been delivering as well. Taylor Ward and Luis Rengifo are in hot form, and Mickey Moniak could also benefit from three projected games against right-handed starters.
The Angels are looking for an upset, and we're right there with them. They've shown us their ability to grind out results, and with Ohtani leading the charge, they've got the firepower to make it happen.
I would recommend betting on the Angels to pull the upset at +170 odds at BetUS.
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Total Runs
| Total Runs | | | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 8.5 Runs | -110 | -110 | -105 |
| Under 8.5 Runs | -110 | -110 | -115 |
But remember, this isn't just about the Angels' offense. It's about the combined prowess of Gausman and Giolito, the strikeout artists who could turn this game into a low-scoring, high-intensity duel.
So, let's buckle up for an adrenaline-filled game where every pitch could make the difference. An under 8.5 runs game? It's more likely than you think.
I would recommend betting under 8.5 runs in this game at BetUS at -115 odds.
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