- When: Friday, August 11 at 1:05 PM ET
- Who: Atlanta Braves at New York Mets
- Starting Pitchers: Craig Morton and Tyler Megill
- Where: Shea Stadium in Queens, NY
As we inch closer to the next thrilling encounter between the Atlanta Braves and the New York Mets, the air is thick with anticipation and a hint of déjà vu. Having dominated the NL East most of the season, the Braves look primed to pile on the pain for their rivals.
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Game Preview
Let's go ahead and break down these money-line odds for this matchup between the Braves and the Mets.
| Money Line |  |  |  |
|---|---|---|---|
| Braves | -175 | -167 | -167 |
| Mets | +144 | +153 | +147 |
Just a month ago, the Braves dealt the Mets a significant blow, sweeping them in a series that catapulted Atlanta to the top of the NL East leaderboard. The Braves consider sealing the deal and ensuring their rivals' divisional hopes are crushed. And here's why I believe they will.
Firstly, the recent form is heavily skewed in favor of the Braves. They've taken six of the last seven games against the Mets, showing a clear dominance in this rivalry. They've got the momentum and proven they can handle the pressure of these high-stakes encounters.
Pete Alonso is the first Met in franchise history to have 4 seasons with 35 or more home runs pic.twitter.com/PeQGQaIBvP
— SNY Mets (@SNY_Mets) August 10, 2023
The Mets are priced at +147 on the money line, and the implied probability of those odds is about 40%. I do not like those odds, and I don't like the Mets chances in this game.
I would not recommend betting on the Mets to win this game at +147 odds at BetUS.
Secondly, the odds are in Atlanta's favor. According to most sportsbooks' MLB odds, the Braves have -10000 odds of winning the NL East, while the Mets lag at +3000. This is a significant gap that indicates the market has confidence in the Braves to pull off the win.
40 homers for @mattolson21 🔥#ForTheA pic.twitter.com/yc16TaMEAM
— Atlanta Braves (@Braves) August 10, 2023
The Braves are enormous favorites to win the division but are only priced at -167 at BetUS to win this game. The implied probability of a -167 favorite to win this game is about 63%.
The Braves winning this game is a no-brainer, and I would bet on them to win this at -167 odds at BetUS.
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Total Runs
The total is something we can target as well. Even though the total is set at a relatively high number at 9.5 runs, I like the over.
| Total Runs | | | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 9.5 Runs | -105 | -105 | -110 |
| Under 9.5 Runs | -115 | -115 | -110 |
But what about the Mets? While they technically still have a chance to win the NL East if they pull off a miraculous three-game winning streak and the Braves lose three in a row, the likelihood of this happening seems slim.
Atlanta's recent sweep feels like a funeral for the Mets' divisional hopes, and it's hard to see them bouncing back from such a setback.
The Mets-Braves rivalry is undeniably electric, but as we look ahead to their next face-off, it's difficult not to see the Braves as the favorites. While the Mets may still have a theoretical chance of clinching the NL East, the Braves hold all the cards.
So, as the dust settles and the stage is set for another epic Braves-Mets showdown, the odds, the form, and the momentum all point to an Atlanta victory. The Braves have repeatedly shown that they are the real deal, and it's hard to see anything but a Braves win in this upcoming encounter.
Of course, in sports, as in life, there are no guarantees. But based on the evidence, it's looking like the Braves have this one in the bag. So, Mets fans, brace yourselves. The Braves are coming, and they're bringing their A-game.
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