- When: Thursday, Oct 19 at 5:07 PM ET
- Who: Philadelphia Phillies at Arizona Diamondbacks
- Starting Pitchers: Ranger Suarez and Brandon Pfaadt
- Where: Chase Field in Phoenix, AZ
Expect the Diamondbacks to strike back in the defining Game 3, turning their home turf advantage into a game-changing win.
Now, I know what you're thinking. After the Diamondbacks' rough start in Philly, dropping the first two games of the NLCS, our beloved Snakes are against the ropes. But hold your horses, sports fans. We've got a plot twist coming up.
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Game Preview
I'm here to tell you that I'm backing the Diamondbacks to pull off a big win in Game 3. Why? Let's break it down.
| Money Line |  |  |  |
|---|---|---|---|
| Phillies | -135 | -130 | -130 |
| Diamondbacks | +113 | +120 | +120 |
First off, the Snakes are heading home to Chase Field. I know it's not exactly a heavyweight in terms of playoff atmosphere, but home is where the heart is, right?
Something about that familiar dirt and the home crowd's roar could be the spark the Diamondbacks need to turn things around.
Plus, with Game 3 being a must-win scenario, you can bet the fans will be out in force, pumping up the volume and adding some much-needed home-field intensity.
But it's not just the home-field advantage I'm banking on.
Let's talk about Brandon Pfaadt, the rookie right-hander the Diamondbacks are throwing in this pivotal game. I'll be straight with you – his stats don't scream 'savior of the series.' But hear me out.
No place like home. 🏠 pic.twitter.com/ZLojEF87YO
— Arizona Diamondbacks (@Dbacks) October 18, 2023
Pfaadt's fastball might not be a showstopper, but it's his primary pitch. And it's not about how hard you throw; it's about where and when.
Pfaadt has the chance to flip the script by tweaking his pitch selection and placement.
I would not recommend backing the Phillies in this game and think it's a mistake by oddsmakers to favor them.
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Total Runs
If he can do that, he could take the Phillies by surprise and turn his biggest weakness into a game-changer.
| Total Runs | | | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 9 Runs | -115 | -118 | -120 |
| Under 9 Runs | -105 | -102 | +100 |
And let's not forget the Phillies' pitcher, Ranger Saurez. He's been hot in the postseason, but the Diamondbacks have an opportunity here.
In the second half of the season, they might not have been the best against left-handed pitching, but every game is a new opportunity, and the Snakes have proved time and again they can rise from the ashes.
They'll be gunning for Saurez, ready to exploit any chinks in his armor and rack up those hits. As for the Phillies' bullpen, it might be rested, but that doesn't mean it's impervious.
Seized the Bohment#RedOctober x @SEIInvestments pic.twitter.com/0fpaQEVaWB
— Philadelphia Phillies (@Phillies) October 18, 2023
The Diamondbacks have the firepower to crack it open, so wait to count them out. Now, let's talk odds. The Diamondbacks at home at +120 on the moneyline? That's a tasty proposition. Don't be swayed by the underdog label, it's no stranger to the Snakes.
They've thrived under pressure before, and they can do it again. And the total of 9 runs? It feels low. With the Diamondbacks' backs against the wall, I anticipate an offensive onslaught that could push the total over the edge.
Betting over 9 runs at -118 at Betonline sounds like a savvy move.
So there you have it, folks. Game 3 could be the turning point for the Diamondbacks. They have the home-field advantage, a rookie pitcher with something to prove, and an underdog spirit that could make for a thrilling comeback.
I'm standing by the Snakes to strike back and make some noise in this NLCS. Buckle up, sports fans – we're in for a wild ride!
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