Pirates set to plunder favored Padres

When: Wednesday, June 28 at 7:05 PM ET
Who: Padres at Pirates
Starting Pitchers: Bryce Snell and Mitch Keller
Where: PNC Park in Pittsburgh, PA

Alright, my sports-loving compadres, it's time to dive deep into the upcoming MLB clash between the San Diego Padres and Pittsburgh Pirates.

Before continuing, please check out our MLB Betting Guide, which will help you prepare for any MLB props you may be interested in.

Game Preview

Don't be fooled by the naysayers because the Pirates are ready to pull off an upset on home turf. Let's unpack this, shall we?

Money Line
Padres	-165	-157	-165
Pirates	+139	+145	+145

Pirates

First off, let's talk about the Pirates' recent record. Marcano and Hayes have struggled, but remember that baseball is a team sport. You don't win or lose on the performance of a couple of players alone.

Marcano's 3-for-13 and Hayes' .337 average since the start of June might not seem spectacular, but let's not forget their potential to bounce back. And in the realm of sports betting, potential equals value.

Our Pirates have more than a few tricks up their sleeve. Nick Gonzales and Ji Hwan Bae are stepping in for Marcano at shortstop and second base, respectively, and they've got the chops to hold their own.

Plus, Rodolfo Castro is set to replace Hayes at third base. Castro's got a solid track record and a knack for stepping up when the pressure is on.

Now, let's get into the nitty-gritty of our pitchers. Keller has been quietly making a name for himself, putting together a great season. He has an overall record of 8-3, but his 3 losses have come in his last 4 starts.

That being said, he's still performing well, striking out 113 already this season, along with an ERA of 3.45.

Mitch Keller, Nasty 95mph Two Seamer 😨 pic.twitter.com/IGmhrhchK7

— Rob Friedman (@PitchingNinja) June 22, 2023

Despite suffering a few losses recently, the right-hander has shown grit and determination, traits that will serve him well in the upcoming game.

On the other hand, Snell's also showcased some serious skills on the mound. His matchup against the Giants was spectacular. He struck out 11 in 6 innings. He's only allowed 4 earned runs in his last 6 starts combined.

Blake Snell's 9th, 10th and 11th Ks.

Thru 6 pic.twitter.com/jFuElrvymb

— Rob Friedman (@PitchingNinja) June 22, 2023

We are in for a pitcher's duel in this matchup.

Padres

But what about the Padres? Remember, they're playing away from home, which can often throw a wrench into the most well-oiled machine.

The Padres are led by heavy hitters Manny Machado, Juan Soto, and Fernando Tatis. Over the past week, Machado and Soto have been playing well.

Machado is batting .318 in the past week, while Soto is batting .400 in the past week.

Manny Machado hits the Padres second 3 run HR of the game! 🚀

(Via @Padres)
pic.twitter.com/5Mig4IxsAZ

— FOX Sports: MLB (@MLBONFOX) June 22, 2023

Their offense has been struggling to score runs, despite Machado and Soto's success behind the plate.

San Diego Padres To win game

-165

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The Pirates have a home-field advantage, an often underrated factor that can significantly influence the game's outcome.

Lastly, let's touch on the run projection. The line has been set at under 8 runs at a cost of -110. It's a tempting proposition, given the recent performances of both teams.

Total Runs
Over 8 Runs	-115	-110	-110
Under 8 Runs	-105	-110	-110

Neither team has been particularly explosive offensively, and with the quality of pitching we're expecting to see, it wouldn't be surprising to see a low-scoring game.

Under 8 Runs San Diego Padres vs Pittsburgh Pirates

-110

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At the end of the day, it's about finding value where others don't. So, forget the naysayers and the doubters.

The Pittsburgh Pirates are ready to step up to the plate and deliver a performance that could very well upset the San Diego Padres.

And remember: in sports, as in life, expect the unexpected. Now, let's get ready to root for our Pirates. Let's go, Bucs!

Pittsburgh Pirates To win game

+139

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