Arkansas To Squeeze Out A Cover On Monday Night

Chris Wassel
By , Updated on: Apr 9, 2024 08:00 PM
Arkansas To Squeeze Out A Cover On Monday Night

Things sometimes get quirky with the college basketball season. Teams go through some crazy up and downturns. Now, Arkansas has been one of those teams all season. Okay, it is time to travel on down to Arkansas. Online Sports Betting sees if the Razorbacks can get on a winning streak before Christmas. It has been awhile. So, first, let us take a look at those NCAAM Basketball Prime Bets featuring the Arkansas Razorbacks.

  • WHAT: Furman Paladins versus Arkansas Razorbacks
  • WHEN: Monday, December 4th, 2023, 8:00 pm ET on SEC Network
  • WHERE: Bud Walton Arena, Fayetteville, Arkansas
  • WHY: How will Arkansas respond after beating Duke? 

College exams and break are looming quickly here for the student athletes. The NCAAM Basketball Prime Bets try to figure out if Arkansas can beat the spread twice in a row among a few other wagers. Now, NCAA College Men's basketball betting sites I can be one whale of a ride. The Razorbacks just crossed the 12-point favorite mark and moneylines are not a good idea at this juncture. Here is a quick table for Purdue on Monday night, courtesy of the Bovada Online Sportsbook.

Big 10 NCAAM Monday NumbersBovadaBetOnlineMyBookie
Furman Paladins-110-110-108
Arkansas Razorbacks (-12)-110-110-112

Monday NCAAM Basketball Prime Bets Like Arkansas Again

Monday NCAAM Basketball Prime Bets like Arkansas again. So, Arkansas kind of did a thing last week. The Razorbacks shocked the Duke Blue Devils at home by a score of 80-75. This is after a very bad stretch where Arkansas lost three of four games including a nasty trip to Atlantis. The Razorbacks' only win there was a 77-74 double overtime win over Stanford. Rock bottom was a 15-point loss to North Carolina where the Eric Musselman team fell to 4-3.

Despite that, Arkansas then turned in their best game of the season a mere five days later. The Razorbacks were able to stay with Duke even in the second half. When the Blue Devils kicked into a higher gear, Arkansas kept pace. For them to score 47 points against Duke in the final 20 minutes is impressive. Everyone knows the next question. Can the Razorbacks do it again? Sure, Furman is an easier opponent but Arkansas does play Oklahoma on Saturday.

Games like these are important because teams like Arkansas should kick it into a higher gear once SEC play fully gets underway. Typical Eric Musselman teams seem to not like the neutral site part of the schedule.

The Trouble With Fouls and Foul Shots?

NCAAM Basketball Prime Bets understand that there is the trouble with fouls and foul shots. Arkansas fouls often and even against Duke, there were those 21 fouls. In a game where there were 61 combined foul shots, the Razorbacks only shot 63% from the line. Overall on the season, Arkansas shoots just under 70% which is okay but that number has dropped below 65% over the past five contests.

So, Arkansas ranks fifth in the nation and attempts 29 foul shots per game. Opponents average nearly 25 a game though. Between that and the turnovers, the Razorbacks often can find themselves in foul and/or turnover trouble. There is no true assist-driven point guard at Arkansas. Khalif Battle, from Edison in New Jersey, has 1.5 assists a game but often comes in as a reserve because of foul concerns.

For those who worry about spreads and such, if Arkansas shoots around 70% from the foul line, that could bode well. Furman looked poor in three of their losses but almost beat Princeton recently. The Tigers narrowly escaped against the Paladins with a one-point victory. While Princeton and Arkansas are different, the Razorbacks do have to look out.

Again, the Paladins shoot 70.2% from the line but only attempt 21 free shows while making about 15 a night. There is a balance with four players in double figures. Arkansas needs to use its slight weight advantage on Monday night. If they do not, they will not get to the line enough to make a difference with the spread.

Can Arkansas Cover At 12 Points?

NCAAM Basketball Prime Bets ask if Arkansas can cover at 12 points? While the Razorbacks have struggled ATS too often this season, they did beat Gardner-Webb by 18. When it comes to SRS (Simple Rating Score). that represents a similar team to Furman. While the Paladins can score some points, unfortunately this is a team that can yield points in bunches.

The Paladins average more than 82 points a contest. Arkansas scores at an 80.6 clip. If one is wondering about the Over in this game, we will get there. In the meantime, the bigger question is can the Razorbacks limit those turnovers? If they can somewhat do that while creating opportunities, they have a chance at beating the spread on Monday night.

The Razorbacks did have a +10 in the foul shot differential. Again, limit the turnovers, shoot more foul shots, and profit. We will take the plunge with Arkansas.

Arkansase To win by 13 or more points on Monday
EVEN
Bovada

NCAAM Basketball Prime Bets And The Under

Lastly, NCAAM Basketball Prime Bets asks about the under for tonight. This game saw the total go as high as 160.5. Now, it has backed off into the 158.5 to 159 range. That is still a high amount of points. Arkansas likely has to get into the Mid 80's while Furman must get into the low to mid 70's. That may prove to be an uphill struggle for the Paladins who have a tough time against fast and big guards. Plus, again there is some of that weight and strength issue.

Yes, the Game Under could be risky on Monday night. However, Arkansas has an 89% chance of winning and greater than a 65% likelihood that the Razorbacks cover. With that and the propensity for fewer points here, even the first-half under might be a good idea.

Furman and Arkansass To score less than 159 points
-110
Bovada

What Online Sportsbook Reviews To Consider?

What online sportsbook reviews to consider given the kind of week it could be. Things will pick up soon enough.

Meet the author

Chris Wassel

Chris Wassel is a veteran sports writer with over 20 years of experience publishing thoughtful analysis and insightful perspectives on everything from hockey to basketball, football, and more. As a seasoned journalist, Chris has established himself as a leading voice o...

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