Connor McDavid's Oilers an intriguing Stanley Cup longshot pick

Steve Starr
By , Updated on: Jan 22, 2026 12:00 AM
2026 stanley cup longshot picks

Colorado has a chance to break the single-season points record of 135 set by Boston in 2022-23, but that doesn't make the Avalanche a lock to win the Stanley Cup. Just ask that very Bruins team, which ended up losing their first-round series in seven games to the eventual champion Florida Panthers.

More than any other sport, upsets are a certainty in hockey. With that in mind, let's look at the latest Stanley Cup futures to find some longshots. Odds are subject to change.

Stanley Cup ChampionBetOnlineBovadaMyBookie
Colorado Avalanche+270+270+270
Tampa Bay Lightning+575+575+575
Carolina Hurricanes+750+750+750
Vegas Golden Knights+850+850+850
Edmonton Oilers+900+900+900
Florida Panthers+1100+1100+1100
Dallas Stars+1400+1400+1400
Minnesota Wild+1800+1800+1800
Washington Capitals+2500+2500+2500
Los Angeles Kings+4500+4500+4500
Toronto Maple Leafs+5000+5000+5000
Buffalo Sabres+6600+6600+6600
Detroit Red Wings+6600+6600+6600
Montreal Canadiens+6600+6600+6600
Utah Mammoth+6600+6600+6600
New Jersey Devils+8000+8000+8000
New York Islanders+8000+8000+8000
Ottawa Senators+8000+8000+8000
Anaheim Ducks+10000+10000+10000
Philadelphia Flyers+10000+10000+10000
Pittsburgh Penguins+10000+10000+10000
Nashville Predators+15000+15000+15000
Winnipeg Jets+20000+20000+20000
Boston Bruins+25000+25000+25000

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The Stanley Cup favorites

Colorado (+270) lost in regulation only twice in their first 40 games, however, they already have three regulation losses since the New Year. While that's nothing to be concerned about, the Avalanche need to make it through the rest of the season (and the upcoming Olympic break) with all their star players healthy.

Nathan Mackinnon leads the league in goals (38) and is tied for most points (85) with Connor McDavid. Cale Makar is pacing all defenseman with 54 points while goaltender Scott Wedgewood is second in save percentage (.917) and third in goals against average (2.19 GAA).

How the West was won

Vegas (+850) is in top spot in the Pacific after a recent seven-game winning streak. In addition to bringing in Mitch Marner in free agency to join Jack Eichel and Mark Stone up front, the Golden Knights fortified their back end by acquiring defenseman Rasmus Andersson from Calgary last week.

Dallas (+1400) and Minnesota (+1800) are ice cold at the moment with the Stars losing 10 of 12 and the Wild dropping five of their last seven contests. But both teams are still in the upper echelon of the NHL, and the Avalanche will have to face one of them in the 2nd round to get out of the Central division.

Who's coming out of the East?

Tampa Bay (+575) is tied with the Hurricanes (+750) for the most points in the Eastern Conference following their recent 11-game winning streak. With both Nikita Kucherov and Andrei Vasilevskiy in top form, the Lightning just might return to the winner's circle after hoisting back-to-back Cups in 2020 and 2021.

Florida (+1100) is one of the worst wagers you can make. While Matthew Tkachuk is finally back in the lineup, captain Aleksander Barkov is out for the foreseeable future and the Panthers are five points out of a playoff spot.

2026 NHL Stanley Cup Longshot Picks

Edmonton (+900) has made consecutive Stanley Cup Finals appearances. Leon Draisaitl has 25 goals and 42 assists through 48 games this season and Connor McDavid recently enjoyed a 20-game point streak where he put up a whopping 46 points.

The Oilers' goaltending has even improved with Connor Ingram allowing only six goals in five games since being called up from the AHL. With the Panthers finally out of the picture, take the Oilers (+900) to win the championship and end Canada's 32-year Stanley Cup drought.

Edmonton Oilers to win Stanley Cup
Bovada
+900

Meet the author

Steve Starr

Accomplished Sports Betting Specialist with over two decades of experience in sports analytics, strategic betting formulation, and risk management, with a particular focus on professional sports such as the NFL, NBA, and NHL. Proven success in applying statistical mo...

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