- When: Tuesday, June 6 at 7:07 PM ET
- Who: Astros at Blue Jays
- Starting Pitchers: Hunter Brown and Kevin Gausman
- Where: Rogers Centre in Toronto, ON
The Astros are +124 underdogs against the Blue Jays on Tuesday, and it's a mistake by the oddsmakers. You need to take advantage of this before they realize their mistake.
In addition to the Astros being underdogs, the total runs are set at 8.5, and it feels very generous, considering both teams combined for 15 runs yesterday.
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The Astros are a young team that is still finding its identity. They have a lot of potential, but they have also struggled this season. The Blue Jays are a veteran team that is one of the best in baseball. They are the favorites in this matchup, but the Astros can pull off the upset.
While it's true that Toronto has the better offense in this matchup – ranking eighth in OPS (.755) compared to Houston's 21st (.714), the Astros did just score 11 runs against he Blue Jays yesterday. Let's take a closer look at the pitching matchup.
Hunter Brown leads the Astros. Brown is a right-handed pitcher who has been impressive in his minor-league career. He has a fastball that can reach the mid-90s and a good slider and curveball.
Hunter Brown, K'ing the Side.
5Ks thru 2. pic.twitter.com/EsQkUUQ6Td
— Rob Friedman (@PitchingNinja) June 1, 2023
Throughout his career, Brown has pitched 82 innings and struck out 96 batters. His earned run average stands at 2.94, allowing 27 earned runs, and he has a career WHIP of 1.198. Brown has given up 72 hits, averaging 7.8 hits per nine innings, and issued 27 walks. With a win-loss record of 7-2, he has a FIP of 2.67 and has faced 337 hitters in the major leagues.
Shifting to the Toronto Blue Jays, they have a team slugging percentage of .422 and score an average of 4.67 runs per game, ranking 11th in baseball. They have recorded 109 doubles, drew 199 walks, and scored 280 runs.
With 68 home runs and 263 runs batted in, they have registered 555 hits but have also struck out 470 times (26th in the league). The Blue Jays have an on-base percentage (OBP) of .333 and a team batting average of .265.
The Blue Jays' pitching staff holds a WHIP of 1.261 and a FIP of 4.35. They boast a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 9.50 (562 strikeouts vs. 202 walks). Their pitchers have relinquished 469 hits, including 78 home runs, and allow an average of 4.21 runs per 9 innings (9th in MLB). They have given up a total of 249 runs this season,
Throughout his career, Gausman has faced numerous challenges on the mound. He has allowed 1,418 hits while impressively earning 1,466 strikeouts in 1,427 innings pitched. Despite conceding a total of 614 earned runs, he has maintained a WHIP of 1.268 and a FIP of 3.6.
Kevin Gausman's 9th, 10th, and 11th Ks.
99mph on his 100th pitch. 🔥 pic.twitter.com/79W1z9k6CN
— Rob Friedman (@PitchingNinja) June 1, 2023
With a K/BB ratio of 3.74, Gausman has faced a total of 5,996 hitters during his professional baseball career. Holding a win-loss record of 80-85, he owns an earned run average of 3.87 and has allowed an average of 8.9 hits per nine innings.
I would not recommend betting on the Blue Jays to win this game, even though they are favored at -134 at BetUs.
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Now let's talk about that under 8.5 runs prop at -105. With Brown's solid performances this season, it's hard not to feel confident about this.
|Over 8.5 Runs||-100||-115||-115|
|Under 8.5 Runs||-120||-105||-105|
Defensively, the Astros have converted 68.9% of batted balls into outs in their 4,731 innings, placing them 16th in professional baseball. They have recorded 1,577 putouts, 481 assists, and committed 22 errors, resulting in a fielding percentage of .989, the 4th best in the league. They have also turned 52 double plays.
The Toronto Blue Jays have executed 45 double plays and maintained a fielding rate of .986, ranking 18th in Major League Baseball.
They have accumulated 478 assists, committed 30 errors, and recorded 1,598 putouts this season. In their 4,794 innings played, the Blue Jays have displayed a defensive efficiency of 70.3%, placing them 7th in professional baseball.
Considering both teams ' pitching and injury situations, the under 8.5 runs prop at -105 is a solid bet.
To sum it all up, the Houston Astros are looking like a prime underdog pick to snag a win against the Toronto Blue Jays. So, my fellow sports fanatics, don't sleep on the Astros – they're out to prove that they're more than just underdogs.
I would recommend betting on the Houston Astros to win this game at +124 odds at BetUs.
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