After Kyle Busch cruised to victory in Illinois last weekend, the NASCAR Cup Series now shifts its focus to the Toyota Save Mart 350 on Sunday, which is set to take place at Sonoma Raceway in Sunny California. Heading in, Tyler Reddick is actually the favorite at +450 odds, followed by Kyle Larson (+475), Chase Elliott (+550), William Byron (+800), and Kyle Busch (+900). The reigning champion of this race is Daniel Suarez, who sits at +1600 odds to repeat. He's currently 16th in the standings, though. Find the Toyota Save Mart 350 picks below.
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Toyota Save Mart 350 Odds
The Toyota Save Mart 350 joined the NASCAR circuit way back in 1989. It takes place at the Sonoma Raceway, which isn't far from San Francisco in the Bay Area. The track has a rather unique shape that typically sparks a ton of chatter amongst fans.
There are 218.9 miles in total in this event, with 110 laps. Stage 1 has 25, stage 2 has 35, and stage 3 has 50. Jeff Gordon, who is of course now retired, has won the most races here with five titles. Hendrick Motorsports is the most successful team with seven victories. When it comes to the current field, Martin Truex Jr and Kyle Busch have both won at Sonoma two times apiece.
Tyler Reddick (+450)
Reddick might've been 35th in this race a year ago, but he tends to dominate on road courses. He won at Road America and Indy in 2022. Reddick won at COTA this season and has finished top-10 in four of his last six races, including a pair of top-five finishes. Reddick is certainly worth a look when it comes to Sunday. He's historically good on these types of tracks. Keep an eye on him.
Kyle Larson (+475)
It's actually a bit puzzling to see Larson as such a favorite here because he is really not doing that well as of late. While he's still third in the Cup Series standings, Larson has finished 20th or lower in three of his last five races. the 2022 edition of Sonoma saw him come in 15th spot. On a more positive note, Larson did just win the All-Star Race and was second at Kansas a few weeks ago. He drives for Hendrick Motorsports and Chevrolet too, who always succeed it seems at Sonoma. You can't count him out.
Chase Elliott (+550)
Remember, Elliott was the best driver all season in 22' before failing to produce when the playoffs rolled around. An injury early in the current campaign hurt his groove, sitting in 27th in the standings right now. Yikes. Elliott just served a suspension and returns in time for a road course, the type of track where Elliott always does well. He is winless in 2023. Could he break the skid here? Elliott has only finished top five twice in 23'.
William Byron (+800)
Byron does not drive well at Sonoma. His last four starts go as follows: 25th, 19th, 35th, and ninth. However, Byron appears to be trending in the right direction. He's finished top 10 in six of the last seven races, including a win at Darlington and a second-place finish at Charlotte. Oh, he was also fifth at COTA, one of the premier road courses. Byron has shown that he's capable. Perhaps another victory is in the cards come Sunday at Sonoma? Only time will tell.
Kyle Busch (+900)
You have to discuss a guy who has won here before. Busch has finished top-five numerous times at Sonoma aside from the two victories. It's a place where he clearly has a ton of confidence. The veteran is currently second in the Cup Series standings and just won last weekend. In fact, he's the only driver this season to grab three wins. Busch is in fantastic form. Don't count him out Sunday for a fourth in the Toyota Save Mart 350 picks.
Daniel Suarez (+1600)
Yes, Suarez won at Sonoma last June, but he is having a rough campaign. The Mexican has only finished top five once and tends to finish in 20th or lower as of late. At COTA, he was 27th. It's safe to say a repeat is probably not in the cards.
Martin Truex Jr (+3300)
Truex is a massive longshot, but aside from the two wins at Sonoma, he's actually driving well lately. Truex Jr was fifth last weekend and third at Charlotte. However, he didn't finish better than 13th in all six road courses in 2022. Probably a good reason to fade Truex Jr, especially because he also finished 17th at COTA in March.
Toyota Save Mart 350 picks
There are a few bets worth making here. First, take Chevrolet to win. They've won 13 times at Sonoma. Next, take Byron for a top five finish. That just seems like it'll be in the cards considering how much confidence he has right now. As for the winner, I believe Chase Elliott will finally get one.