Motorsports Betting News This Month | Kimi Antonelli Dominates F1, Tyler Reddick Leads NASCAR | June, 2026

By Will Chace, Updated on: Jun 2, 2026 12:00 AM

Biggest futures, outright and title moves this month

Recent results across F1, NASCAR, and MotoGP have caused the biggest shifts in this month’s championship betting markets.

Formula 1 futures

After going 1-2 in every grand prix this season, it’s no surprise to see Mercedes drivers Kimi Antonelli and George Russell in the lead to win the Drivers’ Championship. After heading into the Canadian Grand Prix with odds around (-140), Antonelli is anywhere from (-140) to (-200) to win the title, depending on the book. The team is (-1000) to win the Constructors’ Championship as well, making them a near lock to break their five-year title drought. Mercedes was (-350) just a few weeks ago.

The biggest movement is actually lower on the odds board. Lando Norris jumped to (+325) from (+2600) after fans witnessed McLaren’s improvements in Miami, but one race later and he’s back down to (+1400). It appears bettors no longer trust the defending champion to make a run and see Mercedes defending their premier status as the season continues.

NASCAR Cup Series futures

The line movement in NASCAR is much less noticeable, but there are a few slight changes after a couple of races in May. Denny Hamlin has moved up to (+450) from (+500) after winning at the Cracker Barrel 400. Tyler Reddick enjoys some positive movement but mostly neutral across top online sportsbooks. Christopher Bell and Ryan Blaney have also slightly improved their odds to win the Cup Series. This month’s NASCAR betting analysis essentially indicates longshot candidates are dropping off as we move into the summer, solidifying the positions of the top candidates.

MotoGP futures

Marco Bezzecchi maintains provisional pole of the MotoGP title race as the current favorite. His teammate Jorge Martin, who finished 2nd in Italy, remains in the running as well. The two Aprilia drivers now make up the vast majority of the title win equity, effectively pushing Ducati out of the race this year. Their best rider, Marc Marquez, finished 7th in Italy in a major comeback statement from injury.

Driver, team moves and injuries impacting odds

Marc Marquez’s return from his crash at the Le Mans sprints marks the biggest injury update in MotoGP betting news. The Ducati rider has battled shoulder injuries all career and this year is no different, but Marquez is determined to not see this year as a defeat. Sitting 102 points behind the current leader, the preseason favorite Marquez is effectively out of title contention before the summer even begins. Framing 2026 as a “rebuilding phase,” Marquez intends to prolong his career by focusing on improving his lines and tire management.

While there have been no significant driver or team-related moves across formula and stock car racing, some interesting dynamics are shaping up. Most importantly, there is a two-driver problem developing at Mercedes. While not at all a bad problem to have, Antonelli and Russell are competing for resources and favoritism in team strategy. As of now, Kimi Antonelli may have earned his right to be the de facto no. 1 driver at Mercedes, leapfrogging preseason title favorite George Russell. Antonelli says the team is allowing the two to race freely but vows to not let the situation get out of hand.

As previously mentioned, the tragic loss of Kyle Busch opened up a Cup Series seat for Austin Hill. The team chose to temporarily retire the no. 8 car out of respect for Busch, whose 11-year-old son Brexton will look to continue the no. 8 legacy if he is eventually called up to the big leagues.

Futures market check

As we enter the dog days of the year, let’s check up on the state of the futures market. To begin our motorsports betting analysis we find Kimi Antonelli as the clear frontrunner to win the F1 Drivers’ Championship. His efforts, along with his teammate, have propelled Mercedes to the top of the Constructors’ Championship title with a whopping 219 points. The next-closest team is Ferrari with 147, who are likely to improve on that tally and make some ground on the leaders at Monaco this weekend.

NASCAR sees Tyler Reddick poised for his first-ever Cup Series championship. Denny Hamlin is also still looking for his first-ever title, widely regarded as the best driver to ever not win a NASCAR Cup Series championship. Some books have odds for the winner of the In-Season Challenge. That market is essentially a toss-up with seven drivers priced as favorites between (+800) to (+1000), the shortest being Denny Hamlin.

MotoGP is much more straightforward. Bettors can expect a two-horse race between Aprilia drivers Marco Bezzecchi and Jorge Martin to determine the world title. Bezzecchi leads the pack after another win at Mugello, but Martin followed right behind with a 2nd-placed finish. Prospective bettors should consider if there is any value on Martin as a potentially underlooked rider with the best bike on tour.

The cleanest betting read is that F1 and MotoGP have become more top-heavy, while NASCAR remains more open. As the weeks go by, the path to the top will get narrower and the longshots in NASCAR will likely fade.

Betting trends we’re watching this month

Sharp action is pushing the favorites further and further ahead and the underdogs further behind. Lando Norris, who was backed by sharps after a strong showing in Miami, has dipped back to (+1400), giving him less than a 10% chance of defending his title. Meanwhile, Antonelli has strengthened his case for a maiden title victory at just 19 years of age.

The same trend is occurring in MotoGP. Mugello was another statement for the Aprilia team as they earned a 1-2 finish to bolster their efforts to sweep this year’s futures markets. Aprilia appears to be running away with the constructor championship at odds of (-1000).

Another trend to consider is teammate pricing. Antonelli vs. Russell and Bezzecchi vs. Martin are marquee matchups worth keeping an eye on. When teammates are close on equipment, the gap between their odds can become more important than the outright favorite itself, especially regarding individual race odds.

NASCAR betting news stands out from the rest of the motorsports betting news. Here we see a wide-open race largely remaining unchanged after multiple races, emphasizing the parity inherent to chaotic stock car racing. Tyler Reddick and Denny Hamlin have been excellent but still hold less than 25% chances of winning the title.

What could move odds before next month’s update

Monaco is going to be a massive factor in the F1 title race. Ferrari is set to make a push in the Constructors’ Championship with cars that excel on starts. If the Ferrari drivers can manage front row positions through qualifying, it’s hard to envisage anyone else pulling ahead of them. Charles Leclerc thrives in road circuits, especially at his home in Monaco. Leclerc won the GP in Monaco in 2024 and finished runner-up to Norris last year.

Michigan, Pocono, Naval Base Coronado, and Sonoma will test whether Reddick’s favorite status is durable across different track types. Road course results could also move prices for specialist drivers who are not obvious title favorites.

Over in MotoGP action, the European run continues through Hungary, Czechia and the Netherlands. Marc Marquez will be on his last legs with any defeat likely drifting his odds out of the realistic title picture. If Bezzecchi can string together some more victories, the pressure will pile on his teammate Jorge Martin quickly.

Previous motorsports betting news updates

• [May 19]: Lando Norris moves from longshot to close contender after Miami improvements
• [May 19]: Antonelli jumps ahead of Mercedes teammate Russell in F1 title lead
• [April 9-16]: Reddick’s top-5 finish places him into tie as top Cup Series favorite
• [March 22-29]: Marco Bezzecchi wins in Austin and jumps ahead of Marc Marquez

Meet the author

Will Chace

Sports betting analyst covering soccer, tennis, golf, MMA, and major US sports. Boston-based writer with published work at SportyTrader and TechTarget. Graduated cum laude from Bentley University with a degree in Marketing. Known for clear, no-frills betting analysis...