After another victory for Kyle Larson at Bowling at The Glen, Nascar is moving on to Indianapolis for their next big-time race of the season. And that's our cue to tackle betting odds and predictions for the Nascar Verizon 200 at The Brickyard.
Before we get into anything here are the latest Nascar betting odds, courtesy of MyBookie:
|Driver To Win|
|Martin Truex Jr.||+900|
|Ricky Stenhouse Jr.||+20000|
Though the Verizon 200 at the Brickyard is nearing the opening gun, there can still be changes made to the betting lines. Make sure you're rechecking these Nascar odds at MyBookie and other top online sportsbooks prior to deciding on any specific wagers.
Nascar Verizon 200 at The Brickyard Picks
Every Nascar race is enveloped in storylines. That's infinitely true now, with the race for the Nascar Cup Series Championship reaching fever pitch.
The Nascar Playoffs are just around the corner, which means that every lap of every event counts more than it has all year. That should absolutely impact how you bet on these races, but you needn't worry about identifying the best bets and biggest storylines. We've done that for you.
Should Kyle Larson Be Such a Heavy Favorite?
At this point, it's difficult to fault oddsmakers for making Kyle Larson a wildy heavy favorite. Following his victory in Bowling at The Glen, he now has a Nascar-leading five first-place finishes on the season. Nobody else in the field has more than three checkered flags to their name.
Larson has been so good he's almost turned the Nascar Cup Series Championship into a farce. He has 917 total points, punctuated by 12 overall top-five finishes. There are races in which he feels unbeatable from the moment he crosses the starting line.
Normally, we'd be more cautious about endorsing someone for back-to-back victories. Larson is different. His first four wins of the season were blocked off into two back-to-backs. This is absolutely a race he can dominate, and it makes sense that oddsmakers have billed him a favorite that doesn't even pay out 3-to-1.
Is Martin Truex Jr. Undervalued?
Despite Larson's overpowering 2021 season, Martin Truex Jr. (+900) is having quite the year himself. He sits in second place on the Nascar points leaderboard, trailing only Larson himself, and joins Alex Bowman (+1200) as the only two other drivers with at least three first-place finishers to their resume.
This begs the question: What gives?
At 9-to-1, Truex just grabs one of the top-five odds. That feels low for someone who has a fairly strong hold on second place on the Nascar leaderboard.
Then again, sportsbooks appear to be accounting for Truex's recent dry spell. He hasn't won a race since the Nascar Cup Series at Darlington, which took place all the way back in May. His top-five and top-10 finishes are down during this time span, as well. This isn't to say he's not a worthwhile investment, but just remember there's a reason behind his borderline dark-horse betting odds.
Does Kurt Busch Deserve More Love?
More and more often, Kurt Busch (+3300) is being left out of the elite-driver discussion. And the exclusion is not unfounded.
Busch has just one victory this year and only three top-five finishes overall. At 43 years old, some believe he has lost a step and is more prone to a conservative racing style that prioritizes top-10 finishes—of which he has seven this year—rather than outright victories or pole positions.
Still, Busch does seem to have reached a different gear of late. His lone victory of the year actually came three races ago, in July, when he won the Nascar Cup Series at Atlanta. He may be more concerned about maintaining a relatively high position in the standings in advance of the playoffs, but he's clearly busted out a heavier foot in the past four or five races. It's not a bad idea to consider him if you have stab-in-the-dark money to spare.
Official Nascar Verizon 200 at The Brickyard Prediction
One name we haven't yet discussed: Chase Elliott (+650), which is a little weird considering he has the second-best odds of the large field.
Granted, this type of treatment is still new for him. After a topsy-turvy start to the year, he's really evened out his performance. His last four races, in particular, have been absolutely stellar. He came in second at The Glen, seventh in Atlanta and won the Nascar Cup Series at Road America. The lone race he failed to grab a top-seven finish, in New Hampshire, saw a few freak pit stops ruin his third-place start.
Indianapolis feels like another place in which Elliott will continue to shine. He's been driving mistake-free for weeks and climbing up the standings in the process. It should not surprise you if he picks up his third win of the season.
OSB Prediction: Chase Elliott (+650)
Take a look at this list of the top online sportsbooks so you can decide which one to use for all your Nascar betting: