- When: Tuesday, November 28 at 8:10 PM ET
- Who: OKC Thunder at Minnesota Timberwolves
- Where: Target Center in Minneapolis, MN
Let's set the stage. The Minnesota Timberwolves, bolstered by their impenetrable defense, are set to clash with the Oklahoma City Thunder.
The spotlight, however, is on Anthony Edwards, the Timberwolves' jack-of-all-trades, whose season stats are off the charts.
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Let's take a look at the money line odds for this matchup between the Thunder and the Timberwolves.
All signs point to the Minnesota Timberwolves, led by their defensive prowess and Anthony Edwards's all-round play, to put a lid on Oklahoma City in their upcoming NBA matchup.
Why, you ask? Let's break it down.
Edwards's numbers are insane, no doubt. He leads the Timberwolves in scoring, averaging an impressive 26.6 points per game, complemented by 5.9 rebounds and 5.3 assists.
Mike Conley contributes to the team's performance with averages of 10.4 points, 5.8 assists, and 2.8 rebounds per game. Meanwhile, Rudy Gobert adds 12.1 points, 1.3 assists, and an impressive 11.3 rebounds per matchup.
In terms of three-point shooting, Edwards leads the active Timberwolves, making an average of 2.5 shots per game from beyond the arc.
Defensively, Edwards showcases his skills with an average of 1.4 steals per game, while Gobert excels in shot-blocking, swatting away an impressive 2.2 shots per contest.
In the 2023-24 season, the Timberwolves score 2.0 more points per home game on average than on the road (114.4 at home, 112.4 on the road), but are allowing 11.0 fewer points per home game compared to road games (100.9 at home, 111.9 on the road).
Let's take a look at the other side of the court and what the Thunder are bringing to the court. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has delivered an impressive performance this season, showcasing strong scoring and facilitating skills with averages of 30.4 points and 6.2 assists per game, complemented by 6.1 rebounds per contest.
Chet Holmgren has been a valuable contributor with per-game averages of 18.1 points, 2.5 assists, and 8.0 rebounds.
Isaiah Joe demonstrates his proficiency beyond the arc by knocking down an average of 2.9 three-pointers per game.
On the defensive end, Gilgeous-Alexander's 2.3 steals and Holmgren's 2.3 blocks per game play a crucial role in bolstering the Thunder's defensive efforts.
Jalen Williams will play tomorrow vs the Wolves.
JDub is back.
— Brandon Rahbar (@BrandonRahbar) November 27, 2023
The Thunder will also be getting Jalen Williams back in the lineup. He returns to the lineup averaging 17.5 points per game while shooting 52% from the field and 37% from 3.
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|Over 225.5 Points
|Under 225.5 Points
So, why the under? Simple. It's all about the Timberwolves' defense.
The Timberwolves have been one of the best defensive teams in the league this season. They're not just stopping opponents; they're shutting them down.
This defensive dominance will be the cornerstone of their victory against Oklahoma City. With the Wolves' focus on defense, it's likely that despite his explosive play, Edwards may not need to rack up as many points, assists, or rebounds.
Moreover, the Timberwolves' success this season isn't just about Edwards. He's been phenomenal, but it's a team sport, folks.
The Wolves' winning record is a testament to their depth and balance. When one player's stats dip, others step up. That's the sign of a solid team.
took care of business. pic.twitter.com/qVWDl8Twc2
— Minnesota Timberwolves (@Timberwolves) November 27, 2023
So, while I'm all in for the Timberwolves to take this game at -170 on the money line, I'm also betting under 225.5 points at -110 odds. Why? The Timberwolves' defense isn't just about stopping the other team; it's about controlling the pace of the game and reducing scoring opportunities on both ends of the court.
While Edwards will undoubtedly make his presence felt, I believe the Timberwolves' game plan will focus on their defensive strength, which will impact the overall scoring, including Edwards's numbers.
So, if you're looking to make a wager, consider the under and the Timberwolves' defense to seal the victory. Remember, it's not just about one player's stats; it's about the performance of the team as a whole.
And the Timberwolves have what it takes to win this one.
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