Canelo Alvarez vs. Caleb Plant: Predictions for Undisputed Championship Fight

Eric Uribe
By , Updated on: Apr 9, 2024 08:00 PM
Canelo Alvarez vs. Caleb Plant: Predictions for Undisputed Championship Fight

Seldom does betting on boxing online include a singular fight with untold stakes, but that's exactly what we're getting Saturday night when Canelo Alvarez and Caleb Plant square off. So many titles are on the line that we've basically lost count. It's best to not even think about the enormity of this matchup and get right to Canelo Alvarez vs. Caleb Plant predictions for the undisputed championship fight.

First, let's take a look at the latest Canelo Alvarez vs. Caleb Plant betting odds, courtesy of the folks over at BetOnline:

Canelo Alvarez-1000+600Caleb Plant

Though this showdown is just around the corner, you'll still want to double-check Canelo Alvarez betting odds and Caleb Plant betting odds before settling on any of your boxing picks. The moneyline will continue to move at the best online sportsbooks right up until the opening bell. For reference, these Canelo vs. Plant odds are accurate as of Thursday, November 4.

Canelo vs. Plant Predictions

  • When: Saturday, November 6
  • Start Time: Approximately 12 a.m. EST
  • Where: MGM Grand Garden Arena in Las Vegas, Nevada
  • Championship Belts on the Line: WBA, WBC, WBO, IBF and Ring Magazine Super Middleweight Titles 

There is more to Canelo vs. Plant betting odds than just the outright winner. Plenty of boxing props are available for you to invest in during this fight. And it makes all the sense in the world to capitalize on them.

So not only will we be making our official Canelo Alvarez vs. Caleb Plant moneyline picks, but we'll also be predicting Canelo vs. Plant props.

Should Canelo be the Ultra-Heavy Moneyline Favorite Over Plant?

Caleb Plant is no stranger to long odds. He sports a perfect 22-0 record in the ring as a pro, but he's had to eke out victories as the underdog on numerous occasions.

This will not be one of them.

Plant can hold his own as a puncher and does a nice job baiting opponents into failed head shots, which then open up jabbing lanes at the torso and above the shoulders for him to capitalize on. But Canelo Alvarez is one of the smartest boxers to ever set foot in the ring, and many believe he's the best pound-for-pound boxer of all time. He won't be coaxed in vulnerable stances as easily as others. 

For us, this isn't really a question of whether Alvarez will take the IBF belt from Plant, who has held it since January 2019. It's a matter of when and how.

OSB Prediction: Canelo Alvarez (-1000)

Canelo Alvarez To beat Caleb Plant

How will Canelo Alvarez Beat Caleb Plant?

Here are latest odds for the different methods of victory in Canelo vs. Plant:

  • Canelo Alvarez by Decision or Technical Decision: +210
  • Canelo Alvarezy by KO, TKO or DQ: -200
  • Caleb Plant by Decision or Technical Decision: +1000
  • Caleb Plant by KO, TKO or DQ: +2000
  • Draw or Technical Draw: +2200

Canelo's knockout odds are legitimatley tempting. Thirty-eight of his 56 victories have come by KO or TKO—a whopping 67.9 percent. Most, in fact, clearly expect the fight to end in that manner.

However, we like the 2.1-to-1 odds on a decision. Plant may not be in Canelo's skill-set class, but he has great stamina and should be able to win a couple of rounds early on, thereby prolonging the fight. Prepare for a Canelo victory by KO or TKO. Just don't be surprised if this matchup goes the distance.

OSB Prediction: Canelo Alvarez by Decision or Technical Decision (+210)

Canelo Alvarez To beat Caleb Plant by Decision or Technical Decision

How Many Rounds will Canelo vs. Plant Last?

Rather than predict the specific round in which Canelo will dispatch plant, we like the idea of investing in a range of different outcomes. The overall payout is slightly lower, but you have a better chance of hitting and will still net better than even money if you're successful.

Check out the betting odds for the range of rounds when Canelo vs. Plant will end. We've included Caleb Plant's odds as well for anyone considering going the underdog route:

  • Canelo Alvarez by Round 1-3: +750
  • Canelo Alvarez by Round 4-6: +350
  • Canelo Alvarez by Round 7-9: +300
  • Canelo Alvarez by Round 10-12: +425
  • Caleb Plant by Round 1-3: +5500
  • Caleb Plant by Round 4-6: +4000
  • Caleb Plant by Round 7-9: +3300
  • Caleb Plant by Round 10-12: +3300

Since we're already betting on Canelo winning by a decision, we might as well double-down and roll the dice on this fight spilling into Round 10 or beyond. Remember, Plant himself has never lost, and only a little more than half of his victories have come by KO/TKO. He has needed to carry himself through late-round slogs.

Ultimately, we expect Canelo's superior blend of speed and precision to get the job done. But he's never been someone who looks for the killshot right away. He overwhelms opponents and knocks them out by sheer accuracy and volume. We're merely banking on Plant to hold on longer than most before racking up a loss.

OSB Prediction: Canelo Alvarez by Round 10-12 (+425)

Canelo Alvarez To beat Caleb Plant in Round 10-12

Check out this list of the best online sportsbooks so you can decide which one to use for all your boxing bets:

Meet the author

Eric Uribe

Eric has been passionate about sports since he was 10 years old. He brings over 10 years of sports journalism experience to his expert coverage of sports betting. Hailing from the US, Eric leverages his diverse expertise covering sports at all levels – from high schoo...

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