Naoya Inoue puts his undisputed junior featherweight title on the line against Luis Nery when the two meet in Tokyo in early May. Inoue is heavily favored to win. But he can’t take the experienced Nery lightly if he wants to avoid being on the wrong end of a shock result. We tell you who will win and the best bets to place in our latest boxing betting picks.
- What: Junior Featherweight Championship
- Who: Naoya Inoue vs. Luis Nery
- Where: Tokyo Dome, Tokyo, Japan
- When: Monday, May 6th, 2024
- Time: 4 a.m ET
Japan’s Naoye Inoue is the The Ring, WBC, WBO, IBF, and WBA world junior featherweight champion. He is putting his belts on the line against dangerous Mexican Luis Nery when the two men meet in the Tokyo Dome on May 6th.
The fight was confirmed on January 6th, 2024. And it will be the first time that Naoye Inoue will put all five belts on the line, having only added the WBA, IBF, and The Ring titles to his WBC and WBO crowns when he defeated Marlon Tapales by KO in December 2023.
THE MONSTER 🔥
Naoya Inoue beats Marlon Tapales by KO10 and now is the Super Bantamweight Undisputed Champion. Congratulations @naoyainoue_410 🏆🥊#Boxing #Boxeo #WBABoxing #WBA pic.twitter.com/yXTLokRjtK
— WBA Boxing (@WBABoxing) December 26, 2023
Naoya Inoue vs. Luis Nery Betting
Before we look at the Inoue vs. Nery fight in more detail, you might want to take a look at our Saul Canelo Álvarez vs. Jaime Munguía betting picks and predictions. Álvarez is putting his WBC, WBA, IBF, and WBO super middleweight belts on the line against the unbeaten Munguía just a few hours before the big fight in Japan.
The fight kicks off what promises to be a spectacular month of boxing in May, with Tyson Fury and Oleksandr Usyk set to meet later in the month to decide who is the undisputed heavyweight champion of the world. We will also be providing betting picks for that fight.
Back to the betting to win the fight between Inoue and Nery, and it’s fair to say the bookmakers can only see one winner.
On the money line, Naoya Inoue is heavily favored to win at -1250. The challenger, Luis Nery, is a big outsider at +700.
Onto the props markets, and in the total rounds betting, over 6.5 rounds is -115, with under 6.5 at -115. The line is low, and when you see Inoue’s KO record, you will understand why.
Keep an eye out for more props betting markets coming live in the days leading up to the fight.
More boxing betting odds are available on our odds table. For our prices, we have only used the best betting sites for wagering on boxing.
| Naoya Inoue vs. Luis Nery |  |  |  |
|---|---|---|---|
| Naoya Inoue | -1250 | -1250 | -1250 |
| Luis Nery | +700 | +700 | +700 |
| Over 6.5 Rounds | -115 | -115 | -115 |
| Under 6.5 Rounds | -115 | -115 | -115 |
Naoya Inoue Career Breakdown
Naoya Inoue has an unblemished 26-0 record in professional boxing. Included in his 26 wins are 23 knockouts, showing why the total rounds spread is so low.
Alongside Terrance Crawford, Inoue is a superstar of the sport. The Ring rates Crawford as the No.1 pound-for-pound fighter on the planet. And he is the only man ahead of Japan’s Inoue in their eyes. Others say it is Inoue. It is that close.
To underline what the Japanese fighter has achieved, just look at his record. He was the first man to hold the undisputed title at junior featherweight. He was also the first fighter to unify the bantamweight division. As it stands, Inoue and Crawford are the only two men to unify two weight divisions.
Inoue has won his last seven fights by KO or TKO. The last man to take him the distance was Nonito Donaire in November 2019. Inoue won that fight by unanimous decision.
Luis Nery Career Breakdown
So how does Luis Nery follow that? Well, the short answer is he can’t.
Nevertheless, Nery does have a good boxing record. The 29-year-old Mexican has fought 36 times, winning 35 and losing one. His solitary defeat came against Brandon Figueroa when Nery fought the American for his then WBA super bantamweight title and also lost his own WBC title at the same time.
Nery recovered from that setback in May 2021 and is now on a four-fight winning streak. His most recent win came against Froilan Saludar, with Nery ending the contest early with a 2nd-round TKO victory.
Showcasing Nery’s punching power, 27 of his 35 wins have come by knockout. Eight were by decision.
Naoya Inoue vs. Luis Nery Picks and Predictions
A bet on Naoya Inoue at -1250 probably isn’t to be advised. The Japanese fighter should win, but Luis Nery is a strong puncher with a good KO record, so he does have the proverbial puncher's chance.
Naoya Inoue will know this. And using his superior boxing skills, it’s likely that Inoue will try to get the contest finished early. So for our betting pick, we are going for under 6.5 rounds on the total round market.
For a bet on Naoya Inoue, we would back him to win in the first half of the fight for the better odds.
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