Avoid favorite MVG at the 2023 German Darts Championship

Dean Etheridge
By , Updated on: Dec 19, 2023 07:00 PM
Avoid favorite MVG at the 2023 German Darts Championship

Michael van Gerwen (+275) is the favorite to win the 2023 German Darts Championship starting in Hildesheim on Friday. But MVG will have stiff competition from Luke Humpries (+500) and Dave Chisnall (+1400). In our latest darts betting picks, we look ahead to the competition and name our best bets to win the final event on the 2023 PDC European Tour roster.

  • What; 2023 German Darts Championship
  • Where; Halle 39, Hildesheim, Germany
  • When; Friday, October 13th - Sunday, October 15th, 2023

Yes, this is the thirteenth and final event of the 2023 PDC European Tour. At the end of this event, the 32 players with the most points qualify for the lucrative 2023 European Championship, to be held in Dortmund at the end of the month.

As the top points scorer on the tour this year, Dave Chisnall is the top seed to win the event. Chisnall already has three wins on the European Tour this season, and if he wins this, he will ensure he finishes the season ranked number one on the European Tour of Merit.

The main threats to Chisnall should come from the new World Grand Prix champion, Luke Humpries, and the former world number one and three times World Champion, Michael van Gerwen.

Underlining the strength of the PDC, current World Champion and world number one, Michael Smith is also present this week, as are Rob Cross, Peter Wright, Josh Rock, Nathan Aspinall, and Jonny Clayton.

2023 German Championship Format

The tournament format sees 32 players meet in the opening round on Friday. The winners of those matches head to the second round, where they will meet one of the 16-seeded players.

The 16 seeds sit out the first round which is made up of a combination of players from across the PDC. These players include host nation invites, as well as players like Chris Dobey who haven’t secured enough European Tour ranking points across the season to be seeded.

The first three rounds and the quarter-finals are all played over the best of 11 legs. The semi-finals are over the best of 13 legs, and the final is the best of 15 (first to eight).

Michael van Gerwen is the defending champion. He defeated Rob Cross 8-5 in last season's final. And as you’re about to read, he’s also the favorite to win again this weekend.

Betting to win the 2023 German Championship Darts

Michael van Gerwen is the +275 favorite to win the 2023 German Championship with the best online darts betting sites. MVG is followed by Luke Humpries (+500), Michael Smith (+600), and Dave Chisnall (+1400).

Considering Chisnall has won three of the 12 events held on the European circuit this year, he looks very appealing at those odds.

More betting on the 2023 German Championship outright winner market is on our darts odds table. All the odds we use are from the best online sports betting sites, ensuring the best odds for your darts wagers.

Outright Winner BettingBovadaBetOnlineMyBookie
Michael van Gerwen+275+275+275
Luke Humphries+500+500+500
Michael Smith+600+600+600
Dave Chisnall+1400+1400+1400
Dirk van Duijvenbode+1600+1600+1600
Jonny Clayton+1600+1600+1600
Rob Cross+1800+1800+1800
Nathan Aspinall+2000+2000+2000
Josh Rock+2200+2200+2200
Damon Heta+2200+2200+2200
Joe Cullen+2500+2500+2500
Danny Noppert+2500+2500+2500
Peter Wright+2500+2500+2500
Ryan Searle+2800+2800+2800
Chris Dobey+3300+3300+3300
Gian van Veen+3300+3300+3300

Why MVG is worth Avoiding

Michael van Gerwen is the obvious choice to win any darts competition, but we find these days he is just too inconsistent to pick.

When MVG performs to his best, he usually wins. He is quick enough to usually point out that the other guy only won because he didn’t play to his potential. And as annoying as that can be, he does have a point, as he generally does win when he plays well.

MVG was dumped out of the recent World Grand Prix in just the second round. It would be no shock to see him win in Germany. But we are not backing him. He’s too short in the betting and too much of a risk.

Our Picks to Win

Instead, we are hedging our bets on Luke Humpries (+500) and Dave Chisnall (+1400). At those odds, we are in the money if either player wins. And there are good reasons why either player could win.

Let's start with Luke Humpries, who is in the form of his life. He can top the European Tour Order of Merit with a win this weekend, and he is also fresh from winning the 2023 World Grand Prix last Sunday.

Luke Humpries To Win 2023 German Darts Championship

Now, onto Dave Chisnall and why he can win this weekend.

Chizzy has already won three times on the European Tour. He has been going through a bit of a renaissance in recent months, and although he hasn’t borne any PDC Major titles, he does lead the European Tour of Merit.

Chisnall will not want to lose the top spot to Luke Humpries at this late stage of the season. And with three titles in the bag, why not a fourth?

Dave Chisnall To Win 2023 German Darts Championship

Make sure you check out our top-rated sportsbooks below. These are our recommended betting partners that you can read more about on our sportsbook reviews page:

Meet the author

Dean Etheridge

Dean Etheridge brings decades of sports knowledge and betting insights to his writing. Hailing from Coventry, England, he offers an engaging British perspective on everything from soccer to cricket. Dean has established himself as a reputable voice on English Premier L...

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