Marc Marquez Favored To Win In Italy

Chris Wassel
By , Updated on: Jun 20, 2025 12:00 AM
OSB Marc Marquez Favored To Win In Italy

The MotoGP riders head into Italy next. Yes, the Mugellol Circuit is where the ninth race will be held. Now, the riders are knee deep into the European leg of the schedule. We examine several MotoGP 2025 Italy Bets worth taking that plunge along with some betting news and updates.

  • What: 2025 Brembo Grand Prix of Italy
  • When: Sunday, June 22 at 8:00 am EDT
  • Where:  Mugello Circuit - Mugello, Italy

So June keeps on cranking as the World Championship standings have become a battle of the Marquez brothers. Now, Marc Márquez carries a 32 point lead over his brother Alex. However, Francesco Bagnaia has won the last three races here at Mugello. At Online Sports Betting, we get the latest numbers from what is one of the fastest tracks in the entire MotoGP tour.

Italy Grand Prix Table Time

2025 MotoGP ItalyBovadaBetOnlineMyBookie
Marc Marquez-200-225-220
Francesco Bagnaia+225+250+240
Alex Marquez+650+700+700
Marco Bezzecchi+2200+2500+2200
Fabio DiGiannantonio+2200+2500+2500
Franco Morbidelli+2200+2500+2500
Fabio Quartararo+2800+3000+3000
Femin Aldequer+3300+3500+3500
As always, do not forget the updated MotoGP betting numbers.

Italy Continues The Heart Of The European Season

Italy continues the heart of the European season. Racers start the summer at the Mugello Circuit. Furthermore, Marc and Álex Márquez have enjoyed quite a run so far in 2025. Alex has five results of 29+ points in 2025 while Mark completed his fourth sweep (37 points). The sprint main race in Spain was dominated by the duo. Francesco Bagnaia was never a factor and now stands 93 points away from the elder Marquez.

The Mugello Circuit hosts the sprint and main event 25 lap race on Sunday afternoon It airs around mid-morning in the United States and the Americas. Now, the 3.259-mile course features 15 turns in all. Curves merely slow the riders down only a little with an extremely long straightaway where speeds feel like they rival the imagination. It will be intriguing to see if anyone can break Jorge Martin's fast lap of 1:44:04. Marc Márquez may have a shot.

This race feels like a Marc and Álex Márquez battle again. While Bagnaia has won the last three races at Mugello, the Italian just cannot carry speed consistently and his braking with the Ducati has been off all Spring. Without Jorge Martín, much of the enthusiasm for the 2025 season got dealt a significant blow. However, we roll onward.

Okay, this race is massive for Francesco Bagnaia. If he wants to make a charge and win another World Championship, he needs to make a stand in Italy. Now, it does seem if the books are giving a little bit of a bump to the Italian as he loves the speed of this track With a 1.141 kilometer straightaway, riders can reach speeds close to 200 miles per hour.

MotoGP 2025 Italy Bets And Bagnaia Chances

The MotoGP 2025 Italy Bets look at Bagnaia chances for Sunday. So, currently Marc Marquez is a -200 to -225 favorite on a few books after another Spanish sweep. Bagnaia has looked rejuvenated in Italy every single year since 2021. Even in 2021, Bagnaia was nearly the fastest rider on the track. Times have changed and Bagnaia may not be able to create the same pace especially when it comes to the Sprint and qualifying sessions.

Yes, the race between Marquez and Bagnaia might be the main event here. Bagnaia keeps making mistakes and that has cost him in the last several races. He crashed out at Le Mans and Silverstone. In Spain, Bagnaia managed a mere 16 points as the Marquez Brothers continued to pull away in the standings. The good news is after Italy, there are still 13 races to go hopefully. Unfortunately, the bad news for Bagnaia is time will grow short quickly.

The finality of the MotoGP 2025 Italy Picks is this. Given how Marquez and Marquez have looked the Italian faces an uphill climb.

Francesco Bagnaia To win the MotoGp In Italy Sunday
Bovada
+225

Can Anyone Else Slow Down The Marquez Brothers?

The MotoGP 2025 Spain Bets wonder can anyone else slow down the Marquez Brothers? While Francesco Bagnaia has taken a race, Marc Marquez has four sweeps in eight races and a few more podiums as well. Alex had a big win and four podiums. With sprint points not going to Martin, they have been dominated by the Marquez duo. If Francesco Bagnaia cannot win, then who might be a longer shot with some potential.

Sadly, Franco Morbidelli has largely struggled since Qatar without totaling 20+ points since. Marco Bezzecchi had one result at Silverstone with 31 points but struggled mightily almost everywhere else. Italy is a different story with being the home track. Maybe +2200 to win is not such a bad move here. Check the weather for Sunday at Mugello. It will not take much to dramatically alter some lines especially if rain is in the forecast.

Alright, one of the younger drivers has caught the eye of some books and no it is not Pedro Acosta. Fermin Aldeguer is only 20 years old and yet looks like a veteran driver at times. One difference between him and Acosta is this. Aldeguer looks like he can adapt a little better to changing conditions. The Spaniard nabbed his first MotoGP podium in France. Now, he is +3300 to win and one has to wonder if a second podium could be a prop to watch after practice and qualifying.

Taking Aldeguer as a long shot upset is not far-fetched given how good Álex Márquez and Gresini have been all season. Aldeguer has not been too far behind at all.

Fermin Aldeguer To win the MotoGP in Italy
MyBookie
+3500

MotoGP Asks What Lies Ahead

MotoGP bets asks what lies ahead. So, the top online sportsbook reviews have the Netherlands to end June. Many types of sporting bets will be at our disposal at Online Sports Betting. Remember July features Germany and Czechia before a summer break that lasts four weeks. Good luck!

Meet the author

Chris Wassel

Chris Wassel AA, AAS CURRENTLY Sports Writer and Journalist RESIDES IN Rahway, NJ EDUCATION Union County College, Montclair State University EXPERTISE Business, Writing, Sports, Food, Grilling, Olympics, Injuries, Politics, and Baking Cookies Summary A long s...

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