Wurth 400 Picks: Kyle Larson, William Byron and Chase Elliott Loom as Best Bets

Dan Favale
By , Updated on: Apr 25, 2023 08:00 PM
Wurth 400 Picks: Kyle Larson, William Byron and Chase Elliott Loom as Best Bets

Yet another crowded field of NASCAR contenders looms entering the 2023 Wurth 400 this weekend. Let's see if we can make sense of it all.

First, though, here's everything you need to know about the upcoming race:

  • Race: Wurth 400
  • Date: Sunday, April 30
  • Time: 2 p.m. EST
  • Where: Dover Motor Speedway in Dover, Delaware
  • Length: 400 laps (400 miles)
  • 2022 Winner: Chase Elliott

With so much parity peppered throughout the 2023 NASCAR Cup Series standings this year, linemakers have generally defaulted to the biggest names and racers who have driven well on these courses in the past when building their betting odds. It's no different this time around. Just take a look at the latest online NASCAR betting odds to win the Wurth 400:

Driver to WinBetUSBovadaBetOnline
Kyle Larson+600+600+600
William Byron+650+650+650
Chase Elliott+750+750+750
Christopher Bell+900+900+900
Denny Hamlin+900+900+900
Kevin Harvick+1100+1100+1100
Martin Truex Jr.+1200+1200+1200
Alex Bowman+1200+1200+1200
Ross Chastain+1300+1300+1300
Kyle Busch+1600+1600+1600
Tyler Reddick+1700+1700+1700
Joe Logano+2200+2200+2200
Ryan Blaney+2800+2800+2800
Chris Buescher+3500+3500+3500
Brad Keselowski+3500+3500+3500
Chase Briscoe+3500+3500+3500
Daniel Suarez+3500+3500+3500
Bubba Wallace+4000+4000+4000
Ryan Preece+5500+5500+5500
Ricky Stenhouse Jr.+5500+5500+5500
Ty Gibbs+5500+5500+5500
Aric Almirola+6500+6500+6500
Auston Dillon+10000+10000+10000
Austin Cindric+10000+10000+10000
Michael McDowell+10000+10000+10000
AJ Allmendinger+15000+15000+15000
Erik Jones+1500+1500+1500
Justin Haley+1500+1500+1500
Todd Gilliland+1500+1500+1500
Brennan Poole+20000+20000+20000
Ty Dillon+20000+20000+20000
JJ Yeley+20000+20000+20000
Noah Gragson+20000+20000+20000
BJ McLeod+20000+20000+20000
Harrison Burton+20000+20000+20000
Corey Lajoie+20000+20000+20000

Make sure you refresh these NASCAR online betting odds until you have actually submitted your wager. Our Wurth 400 betting odds are accurate as of Tuesday, April 25. That gives odds providers plenty of opportunities to make adjustments ahead of the opening gun on Sunday, April 30, at around 2 p.m. EST.

Staying on top of these changes takes no effort at all when you sign up with the right sportsbook. Enter our reviews of the top online sportsbooks. We have jam-packed these catalogs with all the information you need to find the best online sports betting sites in the USA.

Will the odds-on favorite Kyle Larson (+600) take his third checkered flag of the season? Can Chase Elliott (+750) repeat as the winner at Dover? Why is William Byron (+650) laying the second-best odds of anyone? The answers to all this, and more, are just below!

When in Doubt, Kyle Larson is a Good Bet to Win the Wurth 400

Kyle Larson was uncharacteristically hit or miss to start the season. He has "just" four top-10 finishes to his name and is now fourth in the NASCAR Cup Series standings.

Still, Larson has picked it up lately. He's finished first in two of the past four races while racking up more total time as the race leader. With rain in the forecast this weekend at Dover, he looms as an especially good option because of his maneuvering in slicker conditions on mile-long tracks.

Kyle Larson To win the 2023 Wurth 400

Can Chase Elliott Pick Up His First Victory of the 2023 NASCAR Season at Dover?

Chase Elliott currently finds himself circling the drain relative to his usual standards. He arrives at the Wurth 400 in 31st place in the NASCAR Cup Series standings, with only two top-10 finishes (one top five) to his 2023 resume. 

That's somewhat concerning. But he has historically raced well on the Dover Motor Speedway track and actually won last year's Wurth 400. Given that he also mustered some time as the race leader at the Geico 500 last week, there's reason to believe his stock may be on the rise.

Chase Elliott To win the 2023 Wurth 400

Why is William Byron Valued So Highly Entering the 2023 Wurth 400?

The odds for William Byron to win the Wurth 400 appear to be riding an early-season high. Byron opened the year with back-to-back victories in March, but he has struggled since. It doesn't help that NASCAR inspected his and teammate Chase Bowman's cars last week and penalized them for apparent violations—the second time that's happened to Byron this year.

The infraction cost Byron serious ground in the standings, and he has publicly voiced his displeasure with the decision. We're not ones to predict revenge tours on the track, and that's not what we're doing here. But Byron has stayed on the periphery through a lot of races, including last week when he finished seventh at the Geico 500.

William Byron To win the 2023 Wurth 400

Better Bet to Win on Sunday: Denny Hamlin or Christopher Bell?

Both Denny Hamlin (+900) and Christopher Bell (+900) are laying 9-to-1 odds to win the Wurth 400. While Bell continues to lead the NASCAR Cup standings, he is no longer accumulating as many pole finishes. He placed eighth at the Geico 500. 

Denny Hamlin, of course, didn't fare any better. He placed 17th one week after it looked like he had turned a corner at the NOCO 400. His handful of top-10 finishes aren't enough for us to give him the edge over Bell's season-long results.

Denny Hamlin To win the 2023 Wurth 400

Best Dark Horse to Win Sunday's Race

We like Ty Gibbs (+5500) as an out-0f-nowhere pick at the Wurth 500. Indeed, he doesn't have a top-five finish, let alone a pole or first-place flag, to his credit this year. But he is among the racers who have secured four or more top-10 placements.

Skeptics will still point to his lack of experience. This will be the first time Gibbs gets a NASCAR Cup Series start at Dover Motor Speedway. Big whoop. Gibbs has started at Dover twice before as part of the Xfinity racing series—and he finished inside the top five each time.

Ty Gibbs To win the 2023 Wurth 400

Official Wurth 400 Prediction

And our best bet to win the 2023 Wurth 400 is...William Byron.

Sure, we wish the payout was a little better for someone who hasn't won since his hot start. At the same time, Byron has earned odds that paint him almost as a co-favorite.

Kyle Larson is the only driver who has led more total laps this season, and while Byron hasn't maintained leads all that long at Dover specifically, he has amassed three top-10 finishes through eight appearances. That's interesting enough for him to get our vote.

OSB Prediction: William Byron (+650)

William Byron To win the 2023 Wurth 400

Take a look at this list of the top online sportsbooks so you can decide which one to use for all of your 2023 NASCAR betting:

Meet the author

Dan Favale

Dan Favale leverages over 12 years of sports journalism expertise in his role as New York staff writer. He provides in-depth analysis across the NBA, NFL, MLB, NHL, tennis, NASCAR, college basketball, and sports betting. Dan co-hosts the popular Hardwood Knocks NBA podc...

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