Celtics to cover the spread on the road in Oklahoma City

Steve Starr
By , Updated on: Mar 12, 2026 12:00 AM
Thunder vs Celtics picks
  • What: Boston Celtics at Oklahoma City Thunder
  • Where: Paycom Center
  • When: 9:00 PM EST, Thursday, March 12, 2026

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander will host the Celtics with a chance to make history on Thursday night. The soon-to-be back-to-back NBA MVP can break Wilt Chamberlain's record for consecutive 20-point games, but he'll have to do it against the best defense in the league.

Will SGA secure the record and a Thunder win or will Boston come up big on the road? Let's look at the latest game lines. Odds are subject to change.

BetOnlineSpreadMoney LineTotal Points
Boston Celtics+6.5 (-110)+210Ov 217.5 (-110)
OKC Thunder-6.5 (-110)-255Un 217.5 (-110)

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SGA for MVP?

Oklahoma City is 6-0 since Shai Gilgeous-Alexander came back from an abdominal strain that sidelined him for nine games. On Sunday, the superstar point guard nailed a step-back 3-pointer with 2.7 seconds left to lead the Thunder to a 129-126 victory over the rival Nuggets, finishing with 35 points and a career-high 15 assists.

Tatum is back but will he play?

Jayson Tatum is listed as questionable to play on Thursday night with “right Achilles repair reconditioning.” It would be the first game he's missed since coming back from injury. Tatum had 15 points on 6-of-16 shooting, 12 rebounds and seven assists in his return to the lineup last Friday, leading the Celtics to a 120-100 win over Dallas.

In his last outing on Tuesday, Jayson Tatum scored 24 points in 27 minutes in a 125-116 loss to the Spurs. Jaylen Brown was ejected in the defeat after being called for two technical fouls.

Thunder vs Celtics key stats 

Oklahoma City (51-15) is first in the Western Conference, 2.5 games up on the Spurs, while Boston (43-22) is 3.5 games back of the Pistons for first place in the East. These are also two of the best defenses in the NBA, with the Celtics allowing opponents to average 100.4 points and Thunder opponents scoring 106.9 points per game.

OKC is 27-7 straight up at home but they're covering less than half the time (15-18). Meanwhile, Boston is 22-12 on the road straight up and against the spread, covering at a league-best 64.7% rate.

OKC Thunder vs Boston Celtics Picks

Without knowing the status of Jayson Tatum, it's difficult to make a pick, but what the hell... we'll take the Celtics +6.5 because they've been the best team on the road all season without their franchise player. Let's combine that with the UNDER 217.5 for good measure.

Boston Celtics to cover vs OKC
Bovada
+6.5

Meet the author

Steve Starr

Accomplished Sports Betting Specialist with over two decades of experience in sports analytics, strategic betting formulation, and risk management, with a particular focus on professional sports such as the NFL, NBA, and NHL. Proven success in applying statistical mo...

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