Sabalenka favored over Swiatek at 2025 Women's US Open

Steve Starr
By , Updated on: Jul 15, 2025 12:00 AM
2025 women's us open picks
  • What: 2025 Women's US Open Tennis Championships
  • Where: Flushing Meadows, Queens, New York City
  • When: August 24- September 7, 2025

Iga Swiatek claimed her first Wimbledon championship in just 57 minutes, becoming the first woman in 114 years to blank her opponent in the final with a 6-0, 6-0 victory over Amanda Anisimova.

But despite winning her sixth-career major title, Swiatek is not the favorite at the upcoming US Open. Let's look at the early betting lines for the event. Odds are subject to change.

WinnerBovadaBetOnlineMyBookie
Aryna Sabalenka+210+210+210
Iga Swiatek+450+450+450
Coco Gauff+600+600+600
Mirra Andreeva+600+600+600
Elena Rybakina+1100+1100+1100
Madison Keys+1500+1500+1500
Qinwen Zheng+1500+1500+1500
Jessica Pegula+2000+2000+2000
Amanda Anisimova+2500+2500+2500
Naomi Osaka+2500+2500+2500
Karolina Muchova+2800+2800+2800
Emma Navarro+3300+3300+3300
Emma Raducanu+4000+4000+4000
Jasmine Paolini+4000+4000+4000
Paula Badosa+4000+4000+4000

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Sabalenka favored to repeat

Aryna Sabalenka is a +210 favorite to repeat as US Open champion. A win at Flushing Meadows would help the 27-year-old Belarusian ease the pain of what's been a frustrating 2025 season.

After losing in the finals at both the Australian Open and French Open, Sabalenka was upset by Amanda Anisimova in the Wimbledon semifinals

In addition to winning the 2024 US Open title, the three-time Grand Slam champion also made the finals at the 2023 event.

Swiatek proves her critics wrong

After failing to reach the French Open final for the first time since 2021, Iga Swiatek (+450) captured her maiden title at the All England Club, improving to 6-0 in Grand Slam finals. Before Wimbledon, the 24-year-old Polish star was almost written off because she held no grass court titles.

Now she heads to New York City looking for her second US Open championship. Following her 2022 win, Swiatek exited in the Round of 16 in 2023 before bowing out in last year's quarter final.

Contenders at Flushing Meadows

Coco Gauff (+600) defeated Sabalenka in the 2023 US Open final, becoming he first American teenager to win the event since Serena Williams in 1999. Now 21, Gauff picked up her second major title in Roland Garros earlier this year before being upset in the first round of Wimbledon.

Madison Keys (+1500) made a third-round exit at Wimbledon and lost to Gauff in the quarters at the French Open. However, the 30-year-old cannot be dismissed after claiming the season's first hard-court major. A narrow three-set victory (6-3, 2-6, 7-5) over Sabalenka in the Australian Open final.

Best longshot bet

Karolina Muchova (+2800) has made the US Open semifinals in each of the past two years. However, be warned that the 28-year-old Czech bowed out in the first round at both Wimbledon and the French Open.

2025 Women's US Open Championship Picks

While men's tennis has the "Big Two", there are three clear frontrunners in the women's sport at the moment. With Sabalenka struggling with her mental game and Swiatek newly crowned at Wimbledon, we'll take Coco Gauff (+600) to win her third-career Grand Slam and second US Open Championship.

Coco Gauff to win 2025 US Open
Bovada
+600

Meet the author

Steve Starr

Accomplished Sports Betting Specialist with over two decades of experience in sports analytics, strategic betting formulation, and risk management, with a particular focus on professional sports such as the NFL, NBA, and NHL. Proven success in applying statistical mo...

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