The WNBA playoffs have been unfolding as anticipated, with a notable exception being the Minnesota Lynx's Sunday victory over the Sun, tying the series at one game each. Meanwhile, the Las Vegas Aces boast a commanding 2-0 series lead, and the New York Liberty and Dallas Wings each hold 1-0 advantages. Today, our attention turns to the second matchup between the Washington Mystics and the New York Liberty.
Check out our comprehensive guide to WNBA betting odds for all the information you need.
2023 WNBA Championship Odds
| WNBA Outright Winner |  |  |  |
|---|---|---|---|
| Las Vegas Aces | -150 | -165 | -161 |
| New York Liberty | +150 | +151 | +140 |
| Connecticut Sun | +1500 | +2200 | +2100 |
| Dallas Wings | +2000 | +2100 | +2500 |
| Washington Mystics | +10000 | +8000 | +5500 |
| Atlanta Dream | +12500 | +10000 | +20000 |
| Minnesota Lynx | +50000 | +13000 | +25000 |
Washington Mystics vs. New York Liberty
- When: Tuesday, September 19, 2023 at 7:00 PM ET
- Where: Barclays Center in Brooklyn, New York
- TV: ESPN
Let's kick off this preview by delving into our prediction for the Mystics vs. Liberty showdown in the heart of New York. In the first game, the New York team seized a formidable 12-point advantage heading into the fourth quarter, never relinquishing control and ultimately securing a convincing 15-point victory. The Liberty showcased their prowess as one of the WNBA's offensive powerhouses this season, also ranking among the league's top five in defensive prowess.
However, the same cannot be said for the Washington squad, which occupied a middle-of-the-pack position in terms of defensive performance throughout the season and found themselves near the league's offensive basement.
New York clearly stands out as the superior and more talented team in not only this particular game but in the series as a whole. Sabrina Ionescu, in particular, is currently in top form, exploding for an impressive 29 points in the initial contest. We don't anticipate Washington managing to contain her effectively, and even if they do, their offensive consistency doesn't inspire confidence when matched against the formidable New York squad. Therefore, our prediction for the Mystics vs. Liberty clash leans decisively in favor of the New York team.
As you can see, these odds don't offer a great deal of value. Therefore we recommend the spread bet to improve these odds.
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Bovada has a large number of betting markets on this and all the WNBA playoffs so make sure to take a look.
HER. 👑 pic.twitter.com/yTxe9VHSWX
— New York Liberty (@nyliberty) September 16, 2023
Washington Mystics Betting Insights
Here are some key statistics to consider when evaluating Washington's performance this season:
- Underdog Record: Washington has faced the underdog label 15 times this season and managed to secure victory only on two occasions.
- Longshot Scenario: When Washington played as an underdog with odds of +425 or more, they came up short, suffering a loss.
- Against the Spread (ATS): The Mystics have covered the spread in 17 out of 39 games this season.
- Big Underdogs: As underdogs of 10.5 points or more, Washington has an ATS record of 3-2, showing their ability to occasionally outperform expectations in such situations.
- Over/Under: Out of the 39 games played by Washington this season, 15 have gone over the projected total points.
- Average Points: On average, Mystics games this season have seen 161.4 total points scored, which is 2.1 points less than the total points projected for this specific game.
Down, but not out. We'll see you Tuesday.#BallOnOurTerms | @Ticketmaster pic.twitter.com/fTV2D3rPid
— Washington Mystics (@WashMystics) September 16, 2023
New York Liberty Betting Insights
Here are some key statistics to consider when assessing the New York Liberty's performance this season:
- Moneyline Favorites: New York has been exceptionally strong as a moneyline favorite, winning a remarkable 86.1% of their games (31-5) in this role.
- Short-Odds Favorites: When the Liberty have played as moneyline favorites with odds of -600 or shorter, they hold a solid 10-3 record, translating to a 76.9% win rate.
- Against the Spread (ATS): New York's ATS record for the season stands at 19-20-0, indicating a relatively even performance in meeting or exceeding point spreads.
- Large Favorites: As 10.5-point favorites or more, the Liberty have a 7-9 record, showcasing their ability to win convincingly in some instances.
- Over/Under: In 22 out of their 39 games this season, New York's contests have surpassed the projected total points, reflecting their tendency to engage in high-scoring matchups.
- Average Points: On average, the Liberty's games this season have featured a total of 169.8 points, which is 6.3 points higher than the over/under for this particular game.
These statistics provide valuable insights into the New York Liberty's performance as favorites, both in terms of moneyline and point spread, as well as their propensity for high-scoring games throughout the season.
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