UFC 255 Betting Picks: Tips and Predictions for Figueiredo vs. Perez Title Fight
We will provide you with the best UFC 255 betting picks.
Two title matchups are on UFC 255 fight card, along with a host of other interesting matchups. From the main event featuring Deiveson Figueiredo and Alex Perez to the battle between Valentina Shevchenko and Jennifer Maia, this November 21 extravaganza is loaded with strong betting opportunities.
Before we get to our UFC 255 picks, let's take a look at the latest UFC 255 odds courtesy of Bovada:
|Deiveson Figueiredo||-310||+240||Alex Perez|
|Valentina Shevchenko||-1400||+750||Jennifer Maia|
|Brandon Moreno||-190||+155||Brandon Royval|
|Paul Craig||-190||+155||Mauricio Rua|
|Joaquin Buckley||-300||+130||Jordan Wright|
Please note that these odds are accurate as of November 8. Lines will move between now and the opening bells, so be sure to always confirm the numbers before placing a wager. Let's get to some predictions.
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- 01Deiveson Figueiredo (-310) vs. Alex Perez (+240)
- 02Valentina Shevchenko (-1400) vs. Jennifer Maia (+750)
- 03Brandon Moreno (-190) vs. Brandon Royval (+155)
- 04UFC 255 Parlay Recommendation
Deiveson Figueiredo (-310) vs. Alex Perez (+240)
Cody Garbrandt was initially slated to challenge Deiveson Figueiredo for the flyweight championship, but a bicep injury has forced him out of action, which leads to a golden opportunity for Alex Perez.
Just so we're clear, it won't be an easy go for Perez. Figueiredo has lost just once in UFC's Octagon (8-1) is the first man to get Joseph Benavidez to submit, with his victory back in July. His ultra-aggressive style lends itself to quick finishes when his throws are connecting, and Perez has slightly less experience fighting at this level.
Then again, Perez is on a roll himself. He's won three in a row, including back-to-back dispatches of Jordan Espinosa and Jussier Formiga. Like Figueiredo, Perez likes to fight forward, preferring to remain on offense as he attempts to turn matches into a matter of who's stamina can hold up under immense power.
Give how similar these two are stylistic, we should expect a war. Don't be surprised if it goes the distance, and also don't be surprised if Perez catches everyone off-guard, as he's been doing over his past few fights. He has a slight mobility edge to go along with near-equal power, and we expect that to be the difference. If you're willing to step out on this limb with us, you'll be looking at a potential return of $240 for every $100 you bet.
OSB Prediction: Alex Perez (+240)
Valentina Shevchenko (-1400) vs. Jennifer Maia (+750)
No one is giving Jennifer Maia much of a chance in what will be the second flyweight championship matchup of UFC 255. The odds reflect as much, and if we're being honest, it makes sense.
Shevchenko has already successfully defended her title three times entering her fight with Maia. At the same time, these are unprecedented circumstances for the 32-year-old. This is her first fight since she had surgery to repair a torn MCL back in July, and though she's obviously confident enough in her recovery to have scheduled a fight, we've yet to see what she looks like.
Doing a better job of protecting her legs will be important moving forward. Shevchenko's offensive attacks and counters are incredibly potent, and they reach absurd speeds, but her open stances previously left her susceptible to hits and takedowns that put too much pressure on her lower body.
Ultimately, it's tough for us to rail against her when, prior to the injury, she was the perfect blend of agility, power, and IQ. Bargain bettors might do well to roll the dice on Jennnifer Maia, who many believe is Shevchenko's toughest challenge yet, but we don't recommend that route if you're trying to select the most likely outcome.
OSB Prediction: Valentina Shevchenko (-1400)
Brandon Moreno (-190) vs. Brandon Royval (+155)
With Perez moving up to the flyweight championship tilt, Bradon Royval gets the call to go up against Brandon Morenzo, and he poses a nice opportunity for those in the market for underdog payouts.
While Royval has just two UFC appearances to his resume, he's already left quite the impression. He's tallied submission wins over both Tim Elliott and Kai-Kara France. A whopping eight of his 12 MMA victories have actually come by submission.
Going up against Moreno will hardly be a cakewalk. Known as "The Assassin Baby," he's a perfect 3-0 at the UFC level since making his return in September of 2019. His combination of stamina and power is absurd. Twelve of his 17 career victories have come by submission or TKO, but he's also won five decisions.
Interestingly enough, every loss for both Moreno and Royval has gone to a decision. Neither, then, will be thrown off by a grind-it-out slugfest. Their stamina is up to stuff.
Overall, though, we think Royval has a slight edge in both power and quickness when fighting on his feet. Plus, he returns $155 for every $100 you wager.
But no matter where you land on this decision, be prepared for this sparring to potentially end up as the fight of the night.
OSB Prediction: Brandon Royval (+155)
UFC 255 Parlay Recommendation
Believe it or not, we're digging a five-outcome parlay entering UFC 255. Here are the bets we're favoring:
- Alex Perez (+240)
- Brandon Royval (+155)
- Valentina Shevchenko (-1400)
- Paul Craig (-190)
- Joaquin Buckley (-300)
We fully admit this parlay is rife with risk. So many of these fights figure to go to a decision. UFC 255 has the potential to blow UFC 254 out of the water.
Still, we're pretty confident if favorites Paul Craig and Joaquin Buckley. They're both equipped to win fights that go to decisions, and they're also fairly accurate strikers.
Valentina Shevchenko's return from surgery is absolutely a concern. But she was dominating beforehand. She should be viewed as a virtual lock.
Alex Perez may be an underdog in the conventional sense, but we don't truly consider him one. He can outpace Deiveson Figueiredo while rivaling his standup power.
Brandon Royval is probably our shakiest selection. And that's actually pretty good. It's always weird rolling with an underdog who wasn't even supposed to make the fight card, but he has a better chance of ending his matchup with Brandon Moreno before it goes the distance.
The payout on this parlay, if successful, is nearly 18-to-1. A $100 investment could net you around $1,800 in pure profit. We like those odds relative to our confidence level in these picks.
Check out the below list of the top online sportsbooks to see which one is the best fit for all your UFC betting: