WBC junior middleweight title boxing picks / 3-20-2026 / OSB

What: Boxing Picks, WBC Junior Middleweight Title
Who: Sebastian Fundora (C) vs Keith Thurman
When: Saturday, March 28, 2026, 11 p.m. ET
Where: MGM Grand Garden Arena, Las Vegas, Nevada
Watch: Prime Video Pay-Per-View

Sebastian Fundora is putting his WBC junior middleweight title on the line against Keith Thurman, and in the boxing picks, Fundora is a solid choice to continue to wear the belt.

Oddsmakers are setting Fundora as the -450 favorite in the boxing betting odds. Thurman is being assigned underdog odds of +300.

Let’s look at the latest boxing betting lines for this bout. Remember, the odds are always subject to change.

WBC Junior Middleweight Title Odds	The Pick
Sebastian Fundora (c) vs Keith Thurman	Fundora	-450	-350	-335

In this article, OSB will review each fighter, predict the winner of the matchup, and provide additional notes and information on boxing picks and betting.

Fight Overview: Sebastian Fundora vs Keith Thurman

Fundora is a southpaw who owns a 10-inch height advantage (6-foot-5 to 5-foot-7) and an 11-inch reach advantage (80 to 69 inches). At 27, he's also nine years younger than the 36-year-old Thurman.

This fight was originally scheduled for October 2025 but was postponed after Fundora suffered a hand injury while sparring.

Fighter Spotlight: Sebastian Fundora

The WBC champion since March 2024, Fundora (23-1-1, 14 KOs) has successfully defended the belt twice since winning it. He previously held the World Boxing Organization (WBO) light middleweight title from 2024 to 2025.

https://twitter.com/ringmagazine/status/2034449807465460037

Fundora's only loss was a seventh-round KO at the hands of Brian Mendoza in 2022. He's 10-1 over his last 11 bouts.

Fighter Spotlight: Keith Thurman

The veteran Thurman (31-1, 23 KOs) is the former unified welterweight world champion. He held the WBA title from 2016 to 2019, and the WBC title from 2017 to 2018. His only loss was a split-decision setback in 2019 against boxing icon Manny Pacquiao.

https://twitter.com/Sourceofboxing/status/2018513263173222519

Inactivity is a concern of the Thurman camp. He went 31 months after his loss to Pacquiao before stepping in the ring again to defeat Mario Barrios by unanimous decision in 2022. Another three years would pass on the calendar before Thurman's next fight. He knocked out Brock Jarvis in 2025.

That's only two bouts since 2019. It's certainly not a lot to keep Thurman sharp for a tough test like Fundora. And his power advantage could also fade. Inactivity tends to sap a fighter's punching power.

Best Fundora vs Thurman Prop Bets

In the boxing props for this bout, the total rounds for the fight are set at 9.5. Play the over or the under, and you'll get the same boxing betting line of -115. It's +135 that the fight will go the distance, and -175 that it won't.

The champion Fundora is given -125 in the boxing betting odds to win the fight by knockout, technical knockout, or disqualification. Thurman winning by any of these means is set with a betting line of +650. Fundora is given odds of +275 to win by decision or technical decision. It's +600 that Thurman wins the bout by decision or technical decision.

The odds are +2000 that the fight ends in a draw on the judges' scorecards. Fundora winning by decision is the +200 chalk in a round betting prop play. In group betting, Fundora to win in rounds 7-12 is the +175 favorite.

Best Bet For Fundora vs Thurman Boxing Picks

Known as the Towering Inferno, Fundora is a freak of nature, a 6-foot-5 beast who is built more like a super middleweight. He fights with a ferocity that can see him deliver as many as 80 punches a round, overwhelming his smaller opponents with his massive reach advantage.

Sebastian Fundora To retain WBC junior middleweight title

-450

Bet Now!

The veteran Thurman has an edge in punching power and experience, and Fundora has a history of taking hard shots in fights. If Thurman were only a few years younger, we could back him for the upset. He'll put up a gallant fight, but Fundora will take over in the late rounds. Bet Fundora to win in the WBC junior middleweight boxing picks.

Other Notes And Info Regarding Your Boxing Picks

Once you have settled on the wagers you will be making on the boxing betting odds for this Fundora vs Thurman WBC junior middleweight title bout, you’ll want to be sure to have a look at the massive amounts of data available to you only at OSB. For a more insightful analysis of this bout, be certain to have a look at the boxing betting guide. These guides provide the latest assessments for all of the betting lines that the oddsmakers are setting on the sport. This information will help you assemble some solid boxing picks.

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